Articles | Volume 19, issue 8
Research article
30 Apr 2019
Research article |  | 30 Apr 2019

Calibration of a multi-physics ensemble for estimating the uncertainty of a greenhouse gas atmospheric transport model

Liza I. Díaz-Isaac, Thomas Lauvaux, Marc Bocquet, and Kenneth J. Davis

Data sets

NACP MCI: Tower Atmospheric CO2 Concentrations, Upper Midwest Region, USA, 2007-2009 N. L. Miles, S. J. Richardson, K. J. Davis, A. E. Andrews, T. J. Griffis, V. Bandaru, and K. P. Hosman

Short summary
We demonstrate that transport model errors, one of the main contributors to the uncertainty in regional CO2 inversions, can be represented by a small-size ensemble carefully calibrated with meteorological data. Our results also confirm transport model errors represent a significant fraction of the model–data mismatch in CO2 mole fractions and hence in regional inverse CO2 fluxes.
Final-revised paper