Implications of potential future grand solar minimum for ozone layer and climate

Arsenovic, Pavle; Rozanov, Eugene; Anet, Julien; Stenke, Andrea; Schmutz, Werner; Peter, Thomas

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-3469-2018

Articles | Volume 18, issue 5

https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-3469-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-3469-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 18, issue 5

Research article

|

08 Mar 2018

Research article |

| 08 Mar 2018

Implications of potential future grand solar minimum for ozone layer and climate

Pavle Arsenovic, Eugene Rozanov, Julien Anet, Andrea Stenke, Werner Schmutz, and Thomas Peter

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Final revised paper (published on 08 Mar 2018)
Preprint (discussion started on 04 Oct 2017)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Review "Implications of potential future grand solar minimum for ozone layer and climate" by Arsenovic et al.', Anonymous Referee #1, 05 Nov 2017
- AC1: 'Author's comments', Pavle Arsenovic, 10 Jan 2018
RC2: 'Reviewer's report on Arsenovic et al', Anonymous Referee #2, 16 Nov 2017
- AC2: 'Author's comments', Pavle Arsenovic, 10 Jan 2018

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

AR by Pavle Arsenovic on behalf of the Authors (10 Jan 2018) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Publish as is (30 Jan 2018) by Christopher Hoyle

Short summary

Global warming will persist in the 21st century, even if the solar activity undergoes an unusually strong and long decline. Decreased ozone production caused by reduction of solar activity and change of atmospheric dynamics due to the global warming might result in further thinning of the tropical ozone layer. Globally, total ozone would not recover to the pre-ozone hole values as long as the decline of solar activity lasts. This may let more ultra-violet radiation reach the Earth's surface.