Articles | Volume 17, issue 14
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 9205–9222, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-9205-2017
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 9205–9222, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-9205-2017

Research article 31 Jul 2017

Research article | 31 Jul 2017

Uncertainty assessment and applicability of an inversion method for volcanic ash forecasting

Birthe Marie Steensen et al.

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Short summary
An inversion method is tested in a forecasting setting for constraining ash dispersion by satellite observations. The sensitivity of a priori and satellite uncertainties is tested for the a posteriori term. The a posteriori is also tested with four different assumptions affecting the retrieved ash satellite data. In forecasting mode, the a posteriori changes after only 12 h of satellite observations and produces better forecasts than a priori.
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