Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
ACP
Articles | Volume 17, issue 14
Articles | Volume 17, issue 14
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-9205-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-9205-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Articles | Volume 17, issue 14
Research article
 | 
31 Jul 2017
Research article |  | 31 Jul 2017

Uncertainty assessment and applicability of an inversion method for volcanic ash forecasting

Birthe Marie Steensen, Arve Kylling, Nina Iren Kristiansen, and Michael Schulz

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Short summary
An inversion method is tested in a forecasting setting for constraining ash dispersion by satellite observations. The sensitivity of a priori and satellite uncertainties is tested for the a posteriori term. The a posteriori is also tested with four different assumptions affecting the retrieved ash satellite data. In forecasting mode, the a posteriori changes after only 12 h of satellite observations and produces better forecasts than a priori.
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