Articles | Volume 17, issue 23
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-14333-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-14333-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
04 Dec 2017
Research article |
| 04 Dec 2017
Impact of uncertainties in inorganic chemical rate constants on tropospheric composition and ozone radiative forcing
Ben Newsome
Wolfson Atmospheric Chemistry Laboratories, Department of Chemistry, University of York, York, YO10 5DD, UK
Wolfson Atmospheric Chemistry Laboratories, Department of Chemistry, University of York, York, YO10 5DD, UK
National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Department of Chemistry, University of York, York, YO10 5DD, UK
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- Kinetics of the OH + NO2 reaction: rate coefficients (217–333 K, 16–1200 mbar) and fall-off parameters for N2 and O2 bath gases D. Amedro et al. 10.5194/acp-19-10643-2019
- Correcting ozone biases in a global chemistry–climate model: implications for future ozone Z. Liu et al. 10.5194/acp-22-12543-2022
- Pressure and Temperature Dependencies of Rate Coefficients for the Reaction OH + NO2 + M → Products F. Winiberg et al. 10.1021/acs.jpca.0c08920
- Interactive effects of changing stratospheric ozone and climate on tropospheric composition and air quality, and the consequences for human and ecosystem health S. Wilson et al. 10.1039/c8pp90064g
- Incorporating Oxygen Isotopes of Oxidized Reactive Nitrogen in the Regional Atmospheric Chemistry Mechanism, version 2 (ICOIN-RACM2) W. Walters et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-4673-2024
- Diurnal variations in oxygen and nitrogen isotopes of atmospheric nitrogen dioxide and nitrate: implications for tracing NOx oxidation pathways and emission sources S. Albertin et al. 10.5194/acp-24-1361-2024
- Global sensitivity analysis of chemistry–climate model budgets of tropospheric ozone and OH: exploring model diversity O. Wild et al. 10.5194/acp-20-4047-2020
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- Global sensitivity analysis of GEOS-Chem modeled ozone and hydrogen oxides during the INTEX campaigns K. Christian et al. 10.5194/acp-18-2443-2018
- Intercomparison of the representations of the atmospheric chemistry of pre-industrial methane and ozone in earth system and other global chemistry-transport models R. Derwent et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2021.118248
- Observed NO/NO2 Ratios in the Upper Troposphere Imply Errors in NO‐NO2‐O3 Cycling Kinetics or an Unaccounted NOx Reservoir R. Silvern et al. 10.1029/2018GL077728
- Worldwide Evaluation of Ozone Radiative Forcing in the UV-B Range between 1979 and 2014 D. Mateos & M. Antón 10.3390/rs12030436
- The Common Representative Intermediates Mechanism Version 2 in the United Kingdom Chemistry and Aerosols Model S. Archer‐Nicholls et al. 10.1029/2020MS002420
- Ozone production and precursor emission from wildfires in Africa J. Lee et al. 10.1039/D1EA00041A
- Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report A. Archibald et al. 10.1525/elementa.2020.034
- Reaction kinetics of OH + HNO3 under conditions relevant to the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere F. Winiberg et al. 10.1039/C8CP04193H
- Positive feedback mechanism between biogenic volatile organic compounds and the methane lifetime in future climates M. Boy et al. 10.1038/s41612-022-00292-0
- Kinetics of the reactions of OH with CO, NO, and NO2 and of HO2 with NO2 in air at 1 atm pressure, room temperature, and tropospheric water vapour concentrations M. Rolletter et al. 10.5194/acp-25-3481-2025
- Improving the prediction of an atmospheric chemistry transport model using gradient-boosted regression trees P. Ivatt & M. Evans 10.5194/acp-20-8063-2020
- Monte Carlo analyses of the uncertainties in the predictions from global tropospheric ozone models: Tropospheric burdens and seasonal cycles R. Derwent 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117545
- Kinetics of the OH + NO2 reaction: effect of water vapour and new parameterization for global modelling D. Amedro et al. 10.5194/acp-20-3091-2020
- Modeling the Oxygen Isotope Anomaly (Δ17O) of Reactive Nitrogen in the Community Multiscale Air Quality Model: Insights into Nitrogen Oxide Chemistry in the Northeastern United States W. Walters et al. 10.1021/acsestair.3c00056
- Global Warming Potential (GWP) for Methane: Monte Carlo Analysis of the Uncertainties in Global Tropospheric Model Predictions R. Derwent 10.3390/atmos11050486
- Perspective on Mechanism Development and Structure‐Activity Relationships for Gas‐Phase Atmospheric Chemistry L. Vereecken et al. 10.1002/kin.21172
26 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Global inorganic nitrate production mechanisms: comparison of a global model with nitrate isotope observations B. Alexander et al. 10.5194/acp-20-3859-2020
- Climate and Tropospheric Oxidizing Capacity A. Fiore et al. 10.1146/annurev-earth-032320-090307
- Kinetics of the OH + NO2 reaction: rate coefficients (217–333 K, 16–1200 mbar) and fall-off parameters for N2 and O2 bath gases D. Amedro et al. 10.5194/acp-19-10643-2019
- Correcting ozone biases in a global chemistry–climate model: implications for future ozone Z. Liu et al. 10.5194/acp-22-12543-2022
- Pressure and Temperature Dependencies of Rate Coefficients for the Reaction OH + NO2 + M → Products F. Winiberg et al. 10.1021/acs.jpca.0c08920
- Interactive effects of changing stratospheric ozone and climate on tropospheric composition and air quality, and the consequences for human and ecosystem health S. Wilson et al. 10.1039/c8pp90064g
- Incorporating Oxygen Isotopes of Oxidized Reactive Nitrogen in the Regional Atmospheric Chemistry Mechanism, version 2 (ICOIN-RACM2) W. Walters et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-4673-2024
- Diurnal variations in oxygen and nitrogen isotopes of atmospheric nitrogen dioxide and nitrate: implications for tracing NOx oxidation pathways and emission sources S. Albertin et al. 10.5194/acp-24-1361-2024
- Global sensitivity analysis of chemistry–climate model budgets of tropospheric ozone and OH: exploring model diversity O. Wild et al. 10.5194/acp-20-4047-2020
- Temperature-(208–318 K) and pressure-(18–696 Torr) dependent rate coefficients for the reaction between OH and HNO3 K. Dulitz et al. 10.5194/acp-18-2381-2018
- Global sensitivity analysis of GEOS-Chem modeled ozone and hydrogen oxides during the INTEX campaigns K. Christian et al. 10.5194/acp-18-2443-2018
- Intercomparison of the representations of the atmospheric chemistry of pre-industrial methane and ozone in earth system and other global chemistry-transport models R. Derwent et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2021.118248
- Observed NO/NO2 Ratios in the Upper Troposphere Imply Errors in NO‐NO2‐O3 Cycling Kinetics or an Unaccounted NOx Reservoir R. Silvern et al. 10.1029/2018GL077728
- Worldwide Evaluation of Ozone Radiative Forcing in the UV-B Range between 1979 and 2014 D. Mateos & M. Antón 10.3390/rs12030436
- The Common Representative Intermediates Mechanism Version 2 in the United Kingdom Chemistry and Aerosols Model S. Archer‐Nicholls et al. 10.1029/2020MS002420
- Ozone production and precursor emission from wildfires in Africa J. Lee et al. 10.1039/D1EA00041A
- Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report A. Archibald et al. 10.1525/elementa.2020.034
- Reaction kinetics of OH + HNO3 under conditions relevant to the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere F. Winiberg et al. 10.1039/C8CP04193H
- Positive feedback mechanism between biogenic volatile organic compounds and the methane lifetime in future climates M. Boy et al. 10.1038/s41612-022-00292-0
- Kinetics of the reactions of OH with CO, NO, and NO2 and of HO2 with NO2 in air at 1 atm pressure, room temperature, and tropospheric water vapour concentrations M. Rolletter et al. 10.5194/acp-25-3481-2025
- Improving the prediction of an atmospheric chemistry transport model using gradient-boosted regression trees P. Ivatt & M. Evans 10.5194/acp-20-8063-2020
- Monte Carlo analyses of the uncertainties in the predictions from global tropospheric ozone models: Tropospheric burdens and seasonal cycles R. Derwent 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117545
- Kinetics of the OH + NO2 reaction: effect of water vapour and new parameterization for global modelling D. Amedro et al. 10.5194/acp-20-3091-2020
- Modeling the Oxygen Isotope Anomaly (Δ17O) of Reactive Nitrogen in the Community Multiscale Air Quality Model: Insights into Nitrogen Oxide Chemistry in the Northeastern United States W. Walters et al. 10.1021/acsestair.3c00056
- Global Warming Potential (GWP) for Methane: Monte Carlo Analysis of the Uncertainties in Global Tropospheric Model Predictions R. Derwent 10.3390/atmos11050486
- Perspective on Mechanism Development and Structure‐Activity Relationships for Gas‐Phase Atmospheric Chemistry L. Vereecken et al. 10.1002/kin.21172
Latest update: 06 Jul 2025
Short summary
We explore the uncertainty in the predictions of a chemical transport model (GEOS-Chem) from uncertainty in 60 inorganic rate constants and photolysis rates. We find uncertainty in the global mean ozone burden of 10 %, in global mean OH of 16 %, methane lifetimes of 16 %, and tropospheric ozone radiative forcings of 13 %. Reductions in the uncertainty of rate constants of these simple reactions would reduce uncertainty in our understanding of atmospheric composition.
We explore the uncertainty in the predictions of a chemical transport model (GEOS-Chem) from...
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