Articles | Volume 17, issue 22
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-13967-2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-13967-2017
Research article
 | 
23 Nov 2017
Research article |  | 23 Nov 2017

Potential influences of neglecting aerosol effects on the NCEP GFS precipitation forecast

Mengjiao Jiang, Jinqin Feng, Zhanqing Li, Ruiyu Sun, Yu-Tai Hou, Yuejian Zhu, Bingcheng Wan, Jianping Guo, and Maureen Cribb

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Latest update: 15 Jul 2024
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Short summary
Aerosol–cloud interactions have been recognized as playing an important role in precipitation. As a benchmark evaluation of model results that exclude aerosol effects, the operational precipitation forecast (before any aerosol effects included) is evaluated using multiple datasets with the goal of determining if there is any link between the model bias and aerosol loading. The forecast model overestimates light and underestimates heavy rain. Aerosols suppress light rain and enhance heavy rain.
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