Articles | Volume 16, issue 15
Research article
05 Aug 2016
Research article |  | 05 Aug 2016

The effect of future ambient air pollution on human premature mortality to 2100 using output from the ACCMIP model ensemble

Raquel A. Silva, J. Jason West, Jean-François Lamarque, Drew T. Shindell, William J. Collins, Stig Dalsoren, Greg Faluvegi, Gerd Folberth, Larry W. Horowitz, Tatsuya Nagashima, Vaishali Naik, Steven T. Rumbold, Kengo Sudo, Toshihiko Takemura, Daniel Bergmann, Philip Cameron-Smith, Irene Cionni, Ruth M. Doherty, Veronika Eyring, Beatrice Josse, Ian A. MacKenzie, David Plummer, Mattia Righi, David S. Stevenson, Sarah Strode, Sophie Szopa, and Guang Zengast


Total article views: 8,110 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total Supplement BibTeX EndNote
5,710 2,190 210 8,110 1,117 139 157
  • HTML: 5,710
  • PDF: 2,190
  • XML: 210
  • Total: 8,110
  • Supplement: 1,117
  • BibTeX: 139
  • EndNote: 157
Views and downloads (calculated since 04 Feb 2016)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 04 Feb 2016)


Saved (preprint)

Latest update: 25 May 2024

The requested paper has a corresponding corrigendum published. Please read the corrigendum first before downloading the article.

Short summary
Using ozone and PM2.5 concentrations from the ACCMIP ensemble of chemistry-climate models for the four Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios (RCPs), together with projections of future population and baseline mortality rates, we quantify the human premature mortality impacts of future ambient air pollution in 2030, 2050 and 2100, relative to 2000 concentrations. We also estimate the global mortality burden of ozone and PM2.5 in 2000 and each future period.
Final-revised paper