Articles | Volume 16, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-7317-2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-7317-2016
Research article
 | 
13 Jun 2016
Research article |  | 13 Jun 2016

Simulated 2050 aviation radiative forcing from contrails and aerosols

Chih-Chieh Chen and Andrew Gettelman

Related authors

Impact of host climate model on contrail cirrus effective radiative forcing estimates
Weiyu Zhang, Kwinten Van Weverberg, Cyril J. Morcrette, Wuhu Feng, Kalli Furtado, Paul R. Field, Chih-Chieh Chen, Andrew Gettelman, Piers M. Forster, Daniel R. Marsh, and Alexandru Rap
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 473–489, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-473-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-473-2025, 2025
Short summary
The impact of cloud microphysics and ice nucleation on Southern Ocean clouds assessed with single-column modeling and instrument simulators
Andrew Gettelman, Richard Forbes, Roger Marchand, Chih-Chieh Chen, and Mark Fielding
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 8069–8092, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-8069-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-8069-2024, 2024
Short summary
QBOi El Nino Southern Oscillation experiments Part I: Overview of experiment design and ENSO modulation of the QBO
Yoshio Kawatani, Kevin Hamilton, Shingo Watanabe, James A. Anstey, Jadwiga H. Richter, Neal Butchart, Clara Orbe, Scott M. Osprey, Hiroaki Naoe, Dillon Elsbury, Chih-Chieh Chen, Javier García-Serrano, Anne Glanville, Tobias Kerzenmacher, François Lott, Froila M. Palmerio, Mijeong Park, Federico Serva, Masakazu Taguchi, Stefan Versick, and Kohei Yoshioda
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3270,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3270, 2024
Short summary
The E3SM Diagnostics Package (E3SM Diags v2.7): a Python-based diagnostics package for Earth system model evaluation
Chengzhu Zhang, Jean-Christophe Golaz, Ryan Forsyth, Tom Vo, Shaocheng Xie, Zeshawn Shaheen, Gerald L. Potter, Xylar S. Asay-Davis, Charles S. Zender, Wuyin Lin, Chih-Chieh Chen, Chris R. Terai, Salil Mahajan, Tian Zhou, Karthik Balaguru, Qi Tang, Cheng Tao, Yuying Zhang, Todd Emmenegger, Susannah Burrows, and Paul A. Ullrich
Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 9031–9056, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-9031-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-9031-2022, 2022
Short summary
The climate impact of COVID-19-induced contrail changes
Andrew Gettelman, Chieh-Chieh Chen, and Charles G. Bardeen
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 9405–9416, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-9405-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-9405-2021, 2021
Short summary

Related subject area

Subject: Clouds and Precipitation | Research Activity: Atmospheric Modelling and Data Analysis | Altitude Range: Troposphere | Science Focus: Physics (physical properties and processes)
Correction of ERA5 temperature and relative humidity biases by bivariate quantile mapping for contrail formation analysis
Kevin Wolf, Nicolas Bellouin, Olivier Boucher, Susanne Rohs, and Yun Li
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 157–181, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-157-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-157-2025, 2025
Short summary
Can pollen affect precipitation?
Marje Prank, Juha Tonttila, Xiaoxia Shang, Sami Romakkaniemi, and Tomi Raatikainen
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 183–197, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-183-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-183-2025, 2025
Short summary
Potential impacts of marine fuel regulations on an Arctic stratocumulus case and its radiative response
Luís Filipe Escusa dos Santos, Hannah C. Frostenberg, Alejandro Baró Pérez, Annica M. L. Ekman, Luisa Ickes, and Erik S. Thomson
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 119–142, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-119-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-119-2025, 2025
Short summary
The impact of the mesh size and microphysics scheme on the representation of mid-level clouds in the ICON model in hilly and complex terrain
Nadja Omanovic, Brigitta Goger, and Ulrike Lohmann
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 24, 14145–14175, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-14145-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-14145-2024, 2024
Short summary
The role of ascent timescales for warm conveyor belt (WCB) moisture transport into the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS)
Cornelis Schwenk and Annette Miltenberger
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 24, 14073–14099, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-14073-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-14073-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Albrecht, B.: Aerosols, cloud microphysics, and fractional cloudiness, Science, 245, 1227–1230, 1989.
Appleman, H.: The formation of exhaust condensation trails by jet aircraft, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 34, 14–20, 1953.
Barrett, S., Britter, R. E., and Waitz, I. A.: Global mortality to aircraft cruise emissions, Environ. Sci. Technol., 44, 7736–7742, https://doi.org/10.1021/es101325r, 2010a.
Barret, S., Prather, M., Penner, J., Selkirk, H., Balasubramania, S., Dopelheuer, A., Fleming, G., Gupta, M., Halthore, R., Hileman, J., Jacobson, M., Kuhn, S., Lukachko, S., Miake-Lye, R., Petzold, A., Roof, C., Schaefer, M., Schumann, U., Waitz, I., and Wayson, R.: Guidance on the Use of AEDT Gridded aircraft Emissions in Atmospheric Models. MIT Laboratory for Aviation and the Environment Rep. LAE-2010-008-N, 13 pp., available at: http://lae.mit.edu/uploads/LAE_report_series/2010/LAE-2010-008-N.pdf (last access: 20 September 2012), 2010b.
Boucher, O., Randall, D., Artaxo, P., Bretherton, C., Feingold, G., Forster, P., Kerminen, V. M., Kondo, Y., Liao, H., Lohmann, U., Rasch, P., Satheesh, S. K., Sherwood, S., Stevens, B., and Zhang, X. Y.: Clouds and aerosols, in: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Working Group 1 (WG)1 Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 5th Assessment Report (AR5), edited by: Stocker, T. F., Qin, D., Plattner, G.-K., Tignor, M. M. B., Allen, S. K., Boschung, J., Nauels, A., Xia, Y., Bex, V., and Midgley, P. M., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 2013.
Download
Short summary
The impact of aviation emissions through 2050 is simulated by a comprehensive global climate model. Four different future emission scenarios of the same flight tracks are considered. The results reveal that the global radiative forcing of contrail cirrus is positive and can increase by a factor of 7 in 2050 from the 2006 level. The aviation aerosols can produce negative forcing, mainly over the oceans, and increase by a factor of 4 in 2050 from the 2006 level.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint