Articles | Volume 16, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-7317-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-7317-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
13 Jun 2016
Research article |
| 13 Jun 2016
Simulated 2050 aviation radiative forcing from contrails and aerosols
Chih-Chieh Chen
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
National Center for Atmospheric Research, P.O. box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307-3000, USA
Andrew Gettelman
National Center for Atmospheric Research, P.O. box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307-3000, USA
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Cited
18 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Long-lived contrails and convective cirrus above the tropical tropopause U. Schumann et al. 10.5194/acp-17-2311-2017
- Marginal climate and air quality costs of aviation emissions C. Grobler et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4942
- Statistical analysis of contrail to cirrus evolution during the Contrail and Cirrus Experiment (CONCERT) A. Chauvigné et al. 10.5194/acp-18-9803-2018
- Impacts of multi-layer overlap on contrail radiative forcing I. Sanz-Morère et al. 10.5194/acp-21-1649-2021
- Powering aircraft with 100 % sustainable aviation fuel reduces ice crystals in contrails R. Märkl et al. 10.5194/acp-24-3813-2024
- Contrail cirrus radiative forcing for future air traffic L. Bock & U. Burkhardt 10.5194/acp-19-8163-2019
- COVID-19 and pathways to low-carbon air transport until 2050 S. Gössling et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abe90b
- Improvement and Uncertainties of Global Simulation of Sulfate Concentration and Radiative Forcing in CESM2 W. Ge et al. 10.1029/2022JD037623
- Predicting the climate impact of aviation for en-route emissions: the algorithmic climate change function submodel ACCF 1.0 of EMAC 2.53 F. Yin et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-3313-2023
- Understanding the role of contrails and contrail cirrus in climate change: a global perspective D. Singh et al. 10.5194/acp-24-9219-2024
- Formation and radiative forcing of contrail cirrus B. Kärcher 10.1038/s41467-018-04068-0
- Estimating the Effective Radiative Forcing of Contrail Cirrus M. Bickel et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0467.1
- Individual Condensation Trails in Aircraft Trajectory Optimization J. Rosenow & H. Fricke 10.3390/su11216082
- Cleaner burning aviation fuels can reduce contrail cloudiness C. Voigt et al. 10.1038/s43247-021-00174-y
- Analysis of secondary organic aerosol simulation bias in the Community Earth System Model (CESM2.1) Y. Liu et al. 10.5194/acp-21-8003-2021
- Radiative Forcing of Climate: The Historical Evolution of the Radiative Forcing Concept, the Forcing Agents and their Quantification, and Applications V. Ramaswamy et al. 10.1175/AMSMONOGRAPHS-D-19-0001.1
- Modifying emissions scenario projections to account for the effects of COVID-19: protocol for CovidMIP R. Lamboll et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-3683-2021
- The global impact of the transport sectors on atmospheric aerosol in 2030 – Part 2: Aviation M. Righi et al. 10.5194/acp-16-4481-2016
17 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Long-lived contrails and convective cirrus above the tropical tropopause U. Schumann et al. 10.5194/acp-17-2311-2017
- Marginal climate and air quality costs of aviation emissions C. Grobler et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4942
- Statistical analysis of contrail to cirrus evolution during the Contrail and Cirrus Experiment (CONCERT) A. Chauvigné et al. 10.5194/acp-18-9803-2018
- Impacts of multi-layer overlap on contrail radiative forcing I. Sanz-Morère et al. 10.5194/acp-21-1649-2021
- Powering aircraft with 100 % sustainable aviation fuel reduces ice crystals in contrails R. Märkl et al. 10.5194/acp-24-3813-2024
- Contrail cirrus radiative forcing for future air traffic L. Bock & U. Burkhardt 10.5194/acp-19-8163-2019
- COVID-19 and pathways to low-carbon air transport until 2050 S. Gössling et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abe90b
- Improvement and Uncertainties of Global Simulation of Sulfate Concentration and Radiative Forcing in CESM2 W. Ge et al. 10.1029/2022JD037623
- Predicting the climate impact of aviation for en-route emissions: the algorithmic climate change function submodel ACCF 1.0 of EMAC 2.53 F. Yin et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-3313-2023
- Understanding the role of contrails and contrail cirrus in climate change: a global perspective D. Singh et al. 10.5194/acp-24-9219-2024
- Formation and radiative forcing of contrail cirrus B. Kärcher 10.1038/s41467-018-04068-0
- Estimating the Effective Radiative Forcing of Contrail Cirrus M. Bickel et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0467.1
- Individual Condensation Trails in Aircraft Trajectory Optimization J. Rosenow & H. Fricke 10.3390/su11216082
- Cleaner burning aviation fuels can reduce contrail cloudiness C. Voigt et al. 10.1038/s43247-021-00174-y
- Analysis of secondary organic aerosol simulation bias in the Community Earth System Model (CESM2.1) Y. Liu et al. 10.5194/acp-21-8003-2021
- Radiative Forcing of Climate: The Historical Evolution of the Radiative Forcing Concept, the Forcing Agents and their Quantification, and Applications V. Ramaswamy et al. 10.1175/AMSMONOGRAPHS-D-19-0001.1
- Modifying emissions scenario projections to account for the effects of COVID-19: protocol for CovidMIP R. Lamboll et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-3683-2021
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Saved (preprint)
Latest update: 14 Dec 2024
Short summary
The impact of aviation emissions through 2050 is simulated by a comprehensive global climate model. Four different future emission scenarios of the same flight tracks are considered. The results reveal that the global radiative forcing of contrail cirrus is positive and can increase by a factor of 7 in 2050 from the 2006 level. The aviation aerosols can produce negative forcing, mainly over the oceans, and increase by a factor of 4 in 2050 from the 2006 level.
The impact of aviation emissions through 2050 is simulated by a comprehensive global climate...
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