Articles | Volume 26, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-5085-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-5085-2026
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16 Apr 2026
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 16 Apr 2026

Drivers and implications of declining fossil fuel CO2 concentrations in Chinese cities revealed by radiocarbon measurements

Pingyang Li, Boji Lin, Zhineng Cheng, Jing Li, Jun Li, Duohong Chen, Tao Zhang, Run Lin, Sanyuan Zhu, Jun Liu, Yujun Lin, Shizhen Zhao, Guangcai Zhong, Zhenchuan Niu, Ping Ding, and Gan Zhang

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Editorial statement
This study presents the first multi-city observational assessment of fossil-fuel CO₂ emissions in major and mid-sized Chinese cities using Δ(¹⁴C) and δ(¹³C). The measurements reveal substantial declines in fossil-fuel CO₂ concentrations, consistent with documented reductions in coal consumption, increased reliance on natural gas, and notable improvements in combustion efficiency. However, the observed decreases are larger than those reported by bottom‑up emission inventories, suggesting that current inventories may systematically underestimate real-world CO₂ mitigation. These findings hold important policy implications for evaluating the effectiveness of China’s clean‑air measures and for advancing accurate urban emissions monitoring.
Short summary
Our study indicates fossil fuel CO2 (CO2ff) reductions in Chinese megacities via atmospheric Δ(14CO2) and δ(13CO2) measurements, driven by coal-to-gas transitions and combustion efficiency improvement. The 24-year record show steeper declined urban RCO/CO2ff ratios than inventory estimates, implying underestimation of efficiency improvements and CO reductions. Integrating top-down observations with inventories is critical to track policy-driven emission shifts and optimize co-benefit strategies.
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