Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
ACP
Articles | Volume 26, issue 5
Articles | Volume 26, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-3669-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-3669-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 26, issue 5
Research article
 | 
12 Mar 2026
Research article |  | 12 Mar 2026

Historical and future changes of surface ozone over China from CMIP6 models, including an assessment of present-day uncertainties in model prediction

Shuai Li, Hua Zhang, Qi Chen, Yonghang Chen, Qi An, Zhili Wang, and Xinping Wu

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Short summary
This study evaluates the uncertainties of CMIP6 models in simulating surface O3 over China, using the Tracking Air Pollution in China (TAP) dataset under varying temperature, cloud cover, land-surface types, and pollutant levels. Historical changes are analyzed to provide context, while future O3 projections are assessed under different SSPs. Comparison of CMIP6 models under SSP3-7.0 highlights sources of inter-model differences, providing insights for O3 prediction and control in China.
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