Articles | Volume 26, issue 21
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-15915-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-15915-2026
Research article
 | 
11 Nov 2026
Research article |  | 11 Nov 2026

Probabilities of detection of methane plumes by remote sensing and implications for inferred emissions distributions

Ethan Manninen, Apisada Chulakadabba, Maryann Sargent, Zhan Zhang, Harshil Kamdar, Jack Warren, Sébastien Roche, Christopher Chan Miller, Ethan Kyzivat, Joshua Benmergui, Jasna Pittman, Eleanor Walker, Jacob Bushey, Jenna Samra, Jacob Hawthorne, Bingkun Luo, Maya Nasr, Kang Sun, Jonathan Franklin, Xiong Liu, Jia Chen, and Steven Wofsy

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Latest update: 11 Nov 2026
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Short summary
In this work, my coauthors and I interpret methane emissions observed by remote sensing systems as plumes, or point sources. We model the probability that a general imaging spectrometer will detect a plume, and apply this framework to multiple remote sensing systems. We show how two recent systems- MethanAIR and MethaneSAT- provide enough sensitivity to facility scale point sources to effectively characterize most plume emissions in the Permian Basin.
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