Articles | Volume 26, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-1021-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Impact of the Indian Ocean sea surface temperature on the Southern Hemisphere middle atmosphere
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- Final revised paper (published on 21 Jan 2026)
- Supplement to the final revised paper
- Preprint (discussion started on 23 Sep 2025)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4367', Anonymous Referee #1, 03 Oct 2025
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Chengyun Yang, 16 Dec 2025
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4367', Anonymous Referee #2, 09 Oct 2025
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Chengyun Yang, 16 Dec 2025
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Chengyun Yang on behalf of the Authors (16 Dec 2025)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
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ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (16 Dec 2025) by John Plane
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (22 Dec 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (31 Dec 2025)
ED: Publish as is (31 Dec 2025) by John Plane
AR by Chengyun Yang on behalf of the Authors (01 Jan 2026)
Author's response
Manuscript
This manuscript introduces a new climate index, the "Middle-latitude Indian Ocean Dipole" (MIOD), and investigates its influence on the Southern Hemisphere's middle and upper atmosphere. The study uses a multi-faceted approach combining reanalysis, satellite data, and model simulations to build a compelling narrative. The proposed physical mechanism links positive MIOD events to enhanced planetary wave activity, which in turn drives significant stratospheric and mesospheric changes. This mechanism is logical, well-articulated, and represents a potentially significant contribution to our understanding of ocean-atmosphere coupling. The finding of a strong asymmetry in the atmospheric response between positive and negative MIOD events is particularly noteworthy.
However, the manuscript in its current form is undermined by several methodological flaws and a lack of careful preparation that question the validity and reproducibility of its core findings. Most central is the pre-removal of EESC from SST prior to the EOF, which is unusual and risks biasing the MIOD pattern. Second is event selection that is vulnerable to ENSO aliasing (e.g., 2016). Furthermore, the statistical robustness is limited by a small sample size, and errors in figure labels and captions detract from the paper's credibility. With stronger methodological circumspection, a set of focused robustness checks, and cleaner presentation, the paper can reach the level the idea deserves.
All my concerns are detailed below. I do not necessarily expect the authors to address every point, but I do expect the critical issues to be dealt with convincingly for the work to be credible.
Major comments
1) SST preprocessing with EESC before the EOF
The manuscript removes EESC from JJA SST prior to the EOF but largely treats this as routine. It is not. EESC is a stratospheric halogen proxy : a direct, widely accepted causal pathway to basin-scale SST variability is not established. Regressing out a non-linear, parabolic-like trajectory from SST can reshape low-frequency variance and therefore the EOF structures themselves. In other words, the MIOD pattern may be sensitive to this step. If the intention is to isolate an SST pattern “untainted” by ozone-related radiative trends, that needs a clear physical rationale. Otherwise, a standard approach is to detrend SST (and, if desired, apply ENSO/SIOD partialing in atmospheric fields, not in SST itself). At minimum the preprocessing must be made prominent in the figure caption and methods, and the results shown to be robust to its omission.
2) Event selection and ENSO aliasing
The paper aims to separate MIOD impacts from ENSO, but the threshold-based exclusion (JJA Niño-3.4 ±1σ) is a blunt tool. A case in point is 2016: the trailing influence of the 2015–16 El Niño plausibly persists into mid-2016, yet 2016 enters the “positive MIOD” set. Given the small sample, one influential year can strongly color the composites in Fig. 3. Threshold exclusion is weaker than regression-based control. The latter is standard and makes better use of the record. At a minimum the reader needs to see a 2016-excluded positive composite and a regression-controlled view to judge robustness.
3) Positive–negative asymmetry: mechanism and power
The descriptive evidence for asymmetry is good (Fig. 5), but the paper stops short of explaining why the SST patterns in Fig. 4 project so differently onto the large-scale wave field. There is room, and need, for a more mechanistic line: stationary-wave sources/diabatic heating anomalies, Charney–Drazin refractive index/waveguide diagnostics, or MIOD→WN-1 amplitude regressions would move the argument beyond “constructive vs destructive interference”. The negative-event null should also be tempered by an explicit acknowledgement of limited power (7 cases) and supported by leave-one-out and threshold-sensitivity checks. A brief discussion of MIOD’s relationship to the SAM would give useful context for vertical propagation and annular-mode fingerprints.
4) SD-WACCM6 framing
The SD configuration is nudged to reanalysis : it provides diagnostic consistency (e.g., gravity-wave drag, MLT structure) rather than an independent forced response. The manuscript sometimes reads as if the model “confirms” the mechanism. It would be more accurate to present SD-WACCM6 as a way to diagnose fields not available in reanalysis, with language calibrated accordingly. If any free-running sensitivities or prior literature exist that align with the sign/structure of the MLT anomalies, pointing to them would help.
5) Temporal evolution and breadth of robustness
The proposed pathway invites questions about onset/persistence and seasonality. Lead–lag views (MAM→JJA→SON) would clarify timing and any spring imprint, and a second reanalysis (JRA-55, MERRA-2) for key figures would demonstrate that results are not a one-dataset artifact. Claims about vortex “morphology” would benefit from simple, objective metrics (PV or geopotential on an isentrope; centroid, ellipticity, equivalent area).
6) Ozone transport vs chemistry and gravity-wave filtering evidence
The TCO/ozone anomalies are interpreted primarily as transport. Where available in SD-WACCM6-SD, an ozone tendency decomposition (transport vs chemistry) or at least correlations with residual vertical velocity would strengthen that interpretation. For the MLT, the gravity-wave filtering story is plausible. If SABER gravity-wave potential energy proxies or related diagnostics can be composited, they would provide a welcome observational cross-check.
Minor comments
The caption (Line 502) identifies the plot as showing TCO for negative MIOD events, but the pattern shown is a direct and obvious consequence of the circulation changes described for positive events in Figure 8a. The caption and text must be reconciled with the figure's content.
The x-axis of Figure 6 (both panels) is incorrectly labeled "Longitude (°)." As this is a zonal-mean plot, the axis must be corrected to "Latitude (°)."
The numbering is incorrect and inconsistent in Section 2.2. There are two equations labeled (4), a jump from (5) to (9), and an unnumbered thermal wind equation. Please correct all numbering to be sequential.
Figure 2b Visualization: The overlapping symbols are confusing and inefficient for conveying the event selection process. This figure should be replaced with a clearer visualization, such as a timeline or a table.
Figure 5 Clarity: The climatology contours are difficult to distinguish from the zero contour of the anomaly shading. Please use a different color or line style to improve readability.
Text-Figure Mismatch (Line 347): The text refers to Figure 4b as showing "positive-phase MIOD events," but the figure shows the composite for negative events. Please correct this.
Typographical Errors:
Methodological Justification: