Articles | Volume 25, issue 15
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-8821-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-8821-2025
Peer-reviewed comment
 | 
13 Aug 2025
Peer-reviewed comment |  | 13 Aug 2025

Comment on “Opinion: Can uncertainty in climate sensitivity be narrowed further?” by Sherwood and Forest (2024)

Nicholas Lewis

Data sets

amip-piForcing and HadSST-piForcing simulation data (v1.0) T. Andrews et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6799004

Short summary
This comment shows that claims made in an opinion article that challenged a 2022 study by this comment's author, which found a narrower and lower climate sensitivity range than an influential 2020 study with the same lead author as the opinion article, were wrong and explains why the article's favoured subjective Bayesian statistical methods are unreliable. It also reviews the 2022 study's revisions to the 2020 study's methods and assumptions and discusses structural uncertainties in climate models.
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