Articles | Volume 25, issue 24
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-18697-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Radiative forcing and stratospheric ozone changes due to major forest fires and recent volcanic eruptions including Hunga Tonga
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- Final revised paper (published on 22 Dec 2025)
- Preprint (discussion started on 27 Jun 2025)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
- RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2981', Anonymous Referee #1, 25 Jul 2025
- RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2981', Anonymous Referee #2, 27 Jul 2025
- AC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2981, major points of reviews', Christoph Brühl, 06 Aug 2025
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Christoph Brühl on behalf of the Authors (13 Sep 2025)
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ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (17 Sep 2025) by Jens-Uwe Grooß
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (01 Oct 2025)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (01 Oct 2025) by Jens-Uwe Grooß
AR by Christoph Brühl on behalf of the Authors (10 Nov 2025)
Author's response
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ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (11 Nov 2025) by Jens-Uwe Grooß
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (24 Nov 2025)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (25 Nov 2025) by Jens-Uwe Grooß
AR by Christoph Brühl on behalf of the Authors (04 Dec 2025)
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ED: Publish as is (05 Dec 2025) by Jens-Uwe Grooß
AR by Christoph Brühl on behalf of the Authors (11 Dec 2025)
Manuscript
Bruhl et al.: “Radiative forcing and stratospheric ozone changes due to major forest fires and recent volcanic eruptions including Hunga Tonga” Uses the EMAC model to investigate recent extreme stratospheric events. i.e., The 2019/2020 Australian wildfires and the Hunga volcanic event. There results add to the growing body of literature by reproducing the wildfire HCl solubility theory and by simulating Hunga effects with a different model (reproducing results is valid and important contribution to the literature). However, the paper suffers from a lack of an appropriate literature review, especially regarding science around Hunga and its effect on ozone loss. The authors also need to discuss how their work falls within the existing literature within the discussion of their results. For example, do their results agree with Solomon et al. (2023) that proposed enhanced HCl solubility in wildfire smoke? How do their Hunga ozone depletion agree/disagree with other studies on Hunga and ozone. The papers description of simulations performed and how figure results are presented also needs to updated to make the results and conclusions of the paper easier to understand. Overall, the paper fits ACP’s scope and would be a good contribution to the literature, but it currently needs major revisions. Please see below for details.
Major comments
The author’s need to do a proper literature review regarding Hunga in particular. I know you mention Santee et al., (2024) and direct readers there for other studies, but you are modelling Hunga impacts, so please provide a proper literature review here and later on discuss your results in the context of these references and their conclusions. Same needs to be done when discussing the wildfire results. Some other studies are linked below. Wilmouth, D. M., Østerstrøm, F. F., Smith, J. B., Anderson, J. G., and Salawitch, R. J.: Impact of the Hunga Tonga volcanic eruption on stratospheric composition, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A., 120, e2301994120, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2301994120, 2023. An important study looking at gas phase changes due to Hunga.
Regarding modelling HCl solubility, the authors are using the methodology of Solomon et al., (2023) and therefore need to make sure they mention that their results are agreeing/confirming (or not) with that study, but with a different model.
I find the description of the simulations in section 2.1 and 3 very confusing. You mention, in multiple instances, simulations where you co-inject SO2. A lot of times I interpreted the co-injection as a sensitivity simulation, but how does this differ from what actually happened? For example on line 138 you mention an experiment with co-injection. Is the only difference between this run and the normal Hunga run an extra 100 Kt of SO2? Was the normal hunga run also have co-injected H2O and SO2? These sections need to be made clearer, with each distinct simulation having a title. It would make things even clearer if the titles of the different simulations were included in a legend in the figures. A table that shows the different simulations with what is and isn’t included would also be welcome.
A lot of the results presented in the figures are hard to distinguish. A lot of times there is just too much going on in each figure and combined with a lack of legends can make it hard to process without having to continuously read the caption to understand what each line represents. I suggest including legends and expanding some of the figures into more panels. For example, Figure 4 can be a 4 panel figure separating HCl and ClO. That way readers could actually distinguish ClO. Figures also need axis labels and panel letters.
I find it hard to distinguish how large/significant the wildfire or Hunga induced anomalies from your experiments are compared to your control without also presenting an MLS baseline and variability. A major concern I have is your model’s timing of ~August HCl recovery in the polar region in 2020-2023. In 2019, HCl in your model control simulation recovers similarly to MLS, but in 2020, HCl in your control and experiments seem to recover almost a month later than MLS. This will give an extra month (September) where you will likely have enhanced activated chlorine due to enhanced het. chem than what is likely occurring in MLS and therefore you may be overestimating your ozone loss. If HCl in your experiments recover later than your control it would be different, but they are recovering at the same time, and the timing does not agree with MLS. This needs to be addressed by comparing with MLS HCl climatology and investigated if it is a dynamical or chemical issue in your simulations.
Specific comments
Line 2: The author’s state “Similar to major volcanic eruptions”. Dynamically similar, sure. But, chemically it seems to be quite different.
Line 2-5: Please change: “Using the chemistry climate model EMAC, we demonstrate that organic carbon emitted from forest fires, injected into the stratosphere through pyro-cumulonimbi, enhances heterogeneous chlorine activation due to increased solubility of HCl in particles containing organic acids and an augmented aerosol surface area”. To “Using the chemistry climate model EMAC, we demonstrate that organic carbon emitted from forest fires, injected into the stratosphere through pyro-cumulonimbi, enhances heterogeneous chlorine activation due to increased solubility of HCl in particles containing organic acids and an augmented aerosol surface area, in agreement with existing literature.” It is great that you are confirming previous results with a different model, but isn't a novel conclusion.
Line 8 and other instances: I believe the current accepted naming is just “Hunga”. Please check and update throughout the paper.
Line 9: “The water vapour injection from the volcano altered only the vertical distribution of ozone loss.” As opposed to what? Latitudinal? A restructuring of the vertical profile? I don’t see presentation of these results anywhere apart from a mention in the conclusions.
Line 17: “There are some other references you should consider mentioning here regarding dynamics” Yu et al. (2019); Damany-Pearce et al., (2023)
Line 18: “More important references regarding wildfire chemistry” Stone et al., (2025); Solomon et al., (2022)
Line 20: The authors state: “This holds for the Australian fires in December 2019 to January 2020 as well as Canadian fires in 2017” Are you referring to chemistry here? Because there is no direct evidence (only correlation) that 2017 and 2019 Northern Hemisphere wildfires affected chemistry. If you are referring to dynamics please adjust this sentence to be clearer.
Line 29: The author’s are referencing a news article (Cutts). Please reference the actual papers. In this case it looks like Ansmann et al., 2023 and Solomon et al., 2023 that you have already reference elsewhere in the paper.
Line 46: What does “Slightly nudged mean?” Please define exactly how the QBO is nudged.
Line 55. What are the reactions that are included in the model?
Line 60. If Kohl et al continues to 2023, when does the previous Shallock et al., dataset end?
Figure 1 caption: What is GloSSAC? Is it an observational dataset? A model? It isn’t defined anywhere just mentioned again on lines 119 and 130
Line 123-124: The author’s state “In April 2023 there appears to be a southern midlatitude
volcanic event missing in our inventory or the Hunga Tonga SO2 injection is underestimated.” What do you mean there appears to be? If you think there is an event missing in your dataset, please check it, and then either correct it or definitively state that it is missing. Also, why would an underestimation of the Hunga SO2 injection affect April 2023 values, a year after the eruption, but not earlier? Your model aerosols e-folding time could be incorrect too.
Line 124-125: The author’s state: “Also in April 2023 some source of aerosol is missing in the tropics” I can't see this. It looks like you are overestimating SAD in the tropics compared to OSIRIS after April 2023. Please check.
Line 144-145: “Hunga Tonga causes a heating rate by up to 0.025 K/d at 25 km in the tropics and 0.011 K/d in southern midlatitudes.” How does this compare to the current literature? Also in agreement with Yu et al. and other studies?
Figure 5. Please be consistent in naming ClONO2. Figure 5 panel title uses ClNO3.
Line 165-167. Please discuss in context of existing literature (Solomon et al., 2023; Stone et al., 2025; Ma et al., 2024). If you are confirming results from Solomon et al., (2023) (but with a different model) please put that in your discussion.
Line 177-178: “and almost complete loss at the edge of the ozone hole in winter 2020 in agreement with MLS (black, red and green curves).” The ozone loss seen in the control run in the polar region looks comparable to MLS if you consider the offset in your model here. With this offset it is hard to see if your control run or your experiment better represent the observations.
Line 180-184: Do you have simulations with combined dynamical and chemistry effects? Or are they separate? Again, it is hard to understand exactly what is happening in each simulation based on your descriptions.
Line 184: “The loss due to the eruption of Hunga Tonga is up to about 15 DU in 2022 and 2023 (Fig. 8b).” Where? Midlatitudes? Polar region? How does this compare to existing literature?
Line 192-193: “To obtain agreement with the chlorine activation in polar regions observed by MLS it is essential to include the enhanced solubility of HCl in particles containing organic acids from major forest fires.” Please add in a statement like “In agreement with Solomon et al., (2023)” or something similar.
Line 197-198: “Hunga Tonga water vapour had only a small effect on ozone and radiative forcing.” Is this discussed anywhere in the paper? I can’t find it, but apologies if I missed it. If it is not discussed please add it in and also please compare to existing literature. For example: Zhang et al., 2024 shows ozone decreases in the midlatitudes due to the diluting of aerosols increasing the HOBr +HCl reaction. Wilmouth et al., 2023 also shows gas phase ozone loss in the midlatitudes due to elevated OH from the injected water vapor? How do your results compare with these and other papers?
Line 199-: “Co-injection of SO2 and H2O leads to features not observed since it almost prevents the descent of the H2O plume by radiative cooling in the early phase due to heating of the sulfur aerosol which is formed too rapidly, related to strongly enhanced OH, which leads to a too late arrival of the additional water vapour in the lower stratosphere at mid and high southern latitudes.” Again, I am confused my co-injected is presented like a sensitivity study. Is it not what actually happened? Or does co-injection mean at the same altitude?
Line 204: “causes a change in the vertical distribution with almost no effect on total ozone,” Where is this discussed/presented in the paper?
Technical corrections
Line 30. Change "Since decades" to “In decades”
There are a lot of undefined acronyms throughout the paper. Please define acronym’s when they first appear. For example, EMAC is not defined were it first appears on line 34. ECHAM5 on line 43, GMXE, EQSAM, MSBM etc.
Line 43: MESSy is spelled out, therefore please but in brackets.
Line 44: I believe ERA5 is typically not hyphenated.
Line 54: “PSC”
Line 62. Suggest changing “Including several hundreds of explosive” to “Including several hundred explosive”.
Line 109-110: Please reword: “optical depth (SAOD) for tropics and southern and northern midlatitudes is” to “optical depth (SAOD) for the tropics, the southern midlatitudes, and the northern midlatitudes” or something similar.
Line 110-111: I believe you want a comma after this sentence instead of a period“1. Considering the organic aerosol from major forest fires is essential for agreement with the observations by OSIRIS.”
Line 174. Do you mean H2O or are you referring to Figure A3?
Line 195: is it 28 DU or 30 DU as mentioned earlier?
Line 197: “up to 15 DU…” where is this occurring? Midlatitudes? Polar region?