Articles | Volume 25, issue 23
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-18267-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-18267-2025
Research article
 | 
12 Dec 2025
Research article |  | 12 Dec 2025

The influence of climate variability on transatlantic flight times

Corwin J. Wright, Phoebe E. Noble, Timothy P. Banyard, Sarah J. Freeman, and Paul D. Williams

Model code and software

corwin365/20201122IagosTimeDifference: Code used in Wright et al. IAGOS flight times studies, 2025 - As-Accepted Release (v1.1) Corwin Wright https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17908777

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Short summary
We use measured transatlantic flight times since 1994 from the IAGOS (In-Service Aircraft for a Global
Observing System) program to assess the impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation, El Nino-Southern Oscillation, Quasi-Biennial Oscillation and solar cycle. We show that they drive changes to one-way flight times of over an hour and to round-trip flight times by several minutes per flight. They thus cause variability in total CO2 emissions of 10s of kT/month and financial cost of millions of US dollars/month over the full transatlantic fleet.
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