Articles | Volume 25, issue 18
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-11469-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-11469-2025
Research article
 | 
29 Sep 2025
Research article |  | 29 Sep 2025

Banked CFC-11 contributes to an unforeseen emission rise and sets back progress towards carbon neutrality

Heping Liu, Huabo Duan, Ning Zhang, Ruichang Mao, Travis Reed Miller, Ming Xu, Jiakuan Yang, and Yin Ma

Cited articles

AFEAS (Alternative Fluorocarbons Environmental Acceptability Study): AFEAS CFC-11 Production and atmospheric release, https://unfccc.int/files/methods/other_methodological_issues/interactions_with_ozone_layer/application/pdf/cfc1100.pdf (last access: 8 April 2025). 
Aktas, C. and Bilec, M.: Impact of lifetime on U.S. residential building LCA results, Int. J. Life Cycle Assess., 17, 337–349, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11367-011-0363-x, 2012. 
Ashford, P., Clodic, D., McCulloch, A., and Kuijpers, L.: Emission profiles from the foam and refrigeration sectors comparison with atmospheric concentrations, Int. J. Refrig., 27, 701–716, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijrefrig.2004.08.003, 2004. 
Ashford, P., Ambrose, A., Jeffs, M., Johnson, B., Kocchi, S., Lee, S., Nott, D., Vodianitskaia, P., Wu, J., Maine, T., Mutton, J., Veenendaal, B., Valenzuela, J., and Singh, L.: Safeguarding the Ozone Layer and the Global Climate System: Issues Related to Hydrofluorocarbons and Perfluorocarbons, Chap. 7, Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, ISBN 978-0-521-86336-0, 2005. 
China MEE (Ministry of Ecology and Environment of the People's Republic of China): Transcript of the routine press conference held by the Ministry of Ecology and Environment in May 2019, https://www.mee.gov.cn/xxgk2018/xxgk/xxgk15/202006/t20200602_782341.html (last access: 25 March 2025), 2019 (in Chinese). 
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Short summary
This study re-evaluates emissions of trichlorofluoromethane (CFC-11) by employing a bottom-up dynamic material flow analysis model spanning from 1950 to 2100, at both global and regional scales. By investigating variations in the lifespan of end-use products, end-of-life handling practices, and emission factors, we partially reconcile the discrepancies between bottom-up inventories and top-down observational data.
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