Articles | Volume 24, issue 22
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-13081-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-13081-2024
Research article
 | 
27 Nov 2024
Research article |  | 27 Nov 2024

The return to 1980 stratospheric halogen levels: a moving target in ozone assessments from 2006 to 2022

Megan J. Lickley, John S. Daniel, Laura A. McBride, Ross J. Salawitch, and Guus J. M. Velders

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Short summary
The expected ozone recovery date was delayed by 17 years between the 2006 and 2022 international scientific assessments of ozone depletion. We quantify the primary drivers of this delay. Changes in the metric used to estimate ozone recovery explain ca. 5 years of this delay. Of the remaining 12 years, changes in estimated banks, atmospheric lifetimes, and emission projections explain 4, 3.5, and 3 years of this delay, respectively.
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