Articles | Volume 23, issue 16
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-9217-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-9217-2023
Research article
 | 
22 Aug 2023
Research article |  | 22 Aug 2023

Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia

Guanyu Liu, Jing Li, and Tong Ying

Data sets

AMO Index Data Climate Analysis Section https://climatedataguide.ucar.edu/climate-data/atlantic-multi-decadal-oscillation-amo

Nino SST Indices (Nino 1+2, 3, 3.4, 4; ONI and TNI) Climate Analysis Section https://climatedataguide.ucar.edu/climate-data/nino-sst-indices-nino-12-3-34-4-oni-and-tni

Fire danger indices historical data from the Copernicus Emergency Management Service Copernicus Climate Change Service https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.0e89c522

Fire danger indices historical data from the Copernicus Emergency Management Service Copernicus Contractor https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5754302

ERA5 monthly averaged data on single levels from 1979 to present H. Hersbach, B. Bell, P. Berrisford, G. Biavati, A. Horányi, J. Muñoz Sabater, J. Nicolas, C. Peubey, R. Radu, I. Rozum, D. Schepers, A. Simmons, C. Soci, D. Dee, and J.-N. Thépaut https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.f17050d7

ERA5 hourly data on single levels from 1940 to present H. Hersbach, B. Bell, P. Berrisford, G. Biavati, A. Horányi, J. Muñoz Sabater, J. Nicolas, C. Peubey, R. Radu, I. Rozum, D. Schepers, A. Simmons, C. Soci, D. Dee, and J.-N. Thépaut https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.adbb2d47

MERRA-2 tavgM_2d_flx_Nx: 2d,Monthly mean,Time-Averaged,Single-Level,Assimilation,Surface Flux Diagnostics V5.12.4 Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) https://doi.org/10.5067/0JRLVL8YV2Y4

MERRA-2 tavgM_2d_slv_Nx: 2d,Monthly mean,Time-Averaged,Single-Level,Assimilation,Single-Level Diagnostics V5.12.4 Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) https://doi.org/10.5067/AP1B0BA5PD2K

Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature (ERSST), Version 4 B. Huang, V. F. Banzon, E. Freeman, J. Lawrimore, L. Wei, T. C. Peterson, T. M. Smith, P. W. Thorne, S. D. Woodruff, and H.-M. Zhang https://doi.org/10.7289/V5KD1VVF

NOAA Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature (ERSST), Version 5 B. Huang, P. W. Thorne, V. F. Banzon, T. Boyer, G. Chepurin, J. H. Lawrimore, M. J. Menne, T. M. Smith, R. S. Vose, and H.-M. Zhang https://doi.org/10.7289/V5T72FNM

The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project (https://psl.noaa.gov/data/gridded/data.ncep.reanalysis.html) E. Kalnay, M. Kanamitsu, R. Kistler, W. Collins, D. Deaven, L. Gandin, M. Iredell, S. Saha, G. White, J. Woollen, Y. Zhu, A. Leetmaa, B. Reynolds, M. Chelliah, W. Ebisuzaki, W. Higgins, J. Janowiak, K. C. Mo, C. Ropelewski, J. Wang, R. Jenne, and D. Joseph https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO;2

Analyses of global sea surface temperature 1856–1991 (https://psl.noaa.gov/data/gridded/data.kaplan_sst.html) A. Kaplan, M. A. Cane, Y. Kushnir, A. C. Clement, M. B. Blumen thal, and B. Rajagopalan https://doi.org/10.1029/97JC01736

Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century (https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadisst/) N. A. Rayner, D. E. Parker, E. B. Horton, C. K. Folland, L. V. Alexander, D. P. Rowell, E. C. Kent, and A. Kaplan https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002670

Climate Data Guide Spurs Discovery and Understanding D. P. Schneider, C. Deser, J. Fasullo, and K. E. Trenberth https://doi.org/10.1002/2013eo130001

Download
Short summary
Fires in Australia are positively correlated with the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). However, the correlation between ENSO and the Australian Fire Weather Index (FWI) increases from 0.17 to 0.70 when the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) shifts from a negative to positive phase. This is explained by the teleconnection effect through which the warmer AMO generates Rossby wave trains and results in high pressures and a weather condition conducive to wildfires.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint