Multi-model ensemble projection of the global dust cycle by the end of 21st century using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project version 6 data

Zhao, Yuan; Yue, Xu; Cao, Yang; Zhu, Jun; Tian, Chenguang; Zhou, Hao; Chen, Yuwen; Hu, Yihan; Fu, Weijie; Zhao, Xu

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-7823-2023

Articles | Volume 23, issue 13

https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-7823-2023

© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-7823-2023

© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 23, issue 13

Research article

|

14 Jul 2023

Research article |

| 14 Jul 2023

Multi-model ensemble projection of the global dust cycle by the end of 21st century using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project version 6 data

Yuan Zhao, Xu Yue, Yang Cao, Jun Zhu, Chenguang Tian, Hao Zhou, Yuwen Chen, Yihan Hu, Weijie Fu, and Xu Zhao

Supplement

https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-7823-2023-supplement

Data sets

CMIP6 World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/search/cmip6/

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Short summary

We project the future changes of dust emissions and loading using an ensemble of model outputs from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project version 6 under four scenarios. We find increased dust emissions and loading in North Africa, due to increased drought and strengthened surface wind, and decreased dust loading over Asia, following enhanced precipitation. Such a spatial pattern remains similar, though the regional intensity varies among different scenarios.