Articles | Volume 23, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-6691-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-6691-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Opinion: How fear of nuclear winter has helped save the world, so far
Department of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers University, 14 College Farm Road, New Brunswick, New Jersey 08901, USA
Department of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers University, 14 College Farm Road, New Brunswick, New Jersey 08901, USA
Cheryl S. Harrison
Department of Ocean and Coastal Science and Center for Computation
and Technology, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, Louisiana 70803,
USA
Joshua Coupe
Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado 80309, USA
Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado 80309, USA
Owen B. Toon
Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Laboratory for
Atmospheric and Space Physics, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado
80303, USA
Charles G. Bardeen
Atmospheric Chemistry Observations and Modeling Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado 80307, USA
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Latest update: 14 Jun 2025
Executive editor
The term "nuclear winter" was commonly used in the 1980s and represented a scenario where a nuclear war could profoundly alter the earth's climate through injection of aerosols into the stratosphere, which could be considered a highly extreme example of human activity altering the earth system. Paul Crutzen, in his Nobel Prize speech, said that this concept is politically important as it "magnifies and highlights the dangers of a nuclear war and convinces me that in the long run mankind can only escape such horrific consequences if nuclear weapons are totally abolished by international agreement". While nuclear war is hopefully something that we will never experience, it is highly interesting to return to this topic four decades later, after the major advancements in the science of aerosol-climate interactions that have occurred in the meantime (partly motivated by an exploration of geoengineering concepts), and improvements in our abilities to model the agricultural and economic impacts of climate change. The conclusions of the paper by Robock et al. offer a sobering reminder of the manifold dangers of this type of warfare to the earth system and society.
The term "nuclear winter" was commonly used in the 1980s and represented a scenario where a...
Short summary
A nuclear war could produce a nuclear winter, with catastrophic consequences for global food supplies. Nuclear winter theory helped to end the nuclear arms race in the 1980s, but more than 10 000 nuclear weapons still exist. This means they can be used, by unstable leaders, accidently from technical malfunctions or human error, or by terrorists. Therefore, it is urgent for scientists to study these issues, broadly communicate their results, and work for the elimination of nuclear weapons.
A nuclear war could produce a nuclear winter, with catastrophic consequences for global food...
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