Articles | Volume 23, issue 21
 | Highlight paper
06 Nov 2023
Opinion | Highlight paper |  | 06 Nov 2023

Opinion: A critical evaluation of the evidence for aerosol invigoration of deep convection

Adam C. Varble, Adele L. Igel, Hugh Morrison, Wojciech W. Grabowski, and Zachary J. Lebo


Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-938', Anonymous Referee #1, 30 May 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-938', Anonymous Referee #2, 01 Jul 2023
  • AC1: 'Response to reviewers', Adam Varble, 25 Aug 2023

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Adam Varble on behalf of the Authors (25 Aug 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (05 Sep 2023) by Ken Carslaw
ED: Publish as is (20 Sep 2023) by Timothy Garrett (Executive editor)
AR by Adam Varble on behalf of the Authors (21 Sep 2023)
Executive editor
This provocative opinion piece examines the theoretical, numerical, and observational evidence in support of two highly cited proposed mechanisms for invigorating deep convective clouds through higher aerosol concentrations. Both start with high concentrations of water droplets. Through cold-phase invigoration, precipitation is reduced allowing for greater release of latent heat from freezing higher up in clouds. With warm-phase invigoration, increased latent heating occurs lower down due to accelerated liquid condensation. In both cases, the article persuasively argues from a variety of standpoints that the evidence to support the importance of the effects is weak, particularly once the full complexity of clouds and their interactions with their environment is fully taken into account. Concrete suggestions are made for improving definition, observations, and modeling of the problem, but also an admonishment that attention in the field might be better directed towards more fruitful aspects of the aerosol-cloud interaction problem.
Short summary
As atmospheric particles called aerosols increase in number, the number of droplets in clouds tends to increase, which has been theorized to increase storm intensity. We critically evaluate the evidence for this theory, showing that flaws and limitations of previous studies coupled with unaddressed cloud process complexities draw it into question. We provide recommendations for future observations and modeling to overcome current uncertainties.
Final-revised paper