Articles | Volume 23, issue 20
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-13191-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Numerical simulation and evaluation of global ultrafine particle concentrations at the Earth's surface
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- Final revised paper (published on 19 Oct 2023)
- Preprint (discussion started on 28 Feb 2023)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-317', Anonymous Referee #1, 09 May 2023
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Matthias Kohl, 03 Jul 2023
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-317', Anonymous Referee #2, 12 May 2023
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Matthias Kohl, 03 Jul 2023
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Matthias Kohl on behalf of the Authors (17 Jul 2023)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (18 Jul 2023) by Veli-Matti Kerminen
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (13 Aug 2023)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (13 Aug 2023) by Veli-Matti Kerminen
AR by Matthias Kohl on behalf of the Authors (07 Sep 2023)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (11 Sep 2023) by Veli-Matti Kerminen
AR by Matthias Kohl on behalf of the Authors (14 Sep 2023)
A global simulation of ultrafine particle concentrations for the year 2015 is presented and evaluated, with a technique to infer concentrations at high spatial grid resolution from a coarser resolution global model based on a high resolution emission inventory. The primary motivation is health effects.
The chemical transport model is state-of-the-art, as is the emissions data: EDGAR data for 2015 were only recently released at the high resolution used. However, the grid resolution of the model is surprisingly low (see comment below). An impressive number of evaluation datasets are used. The model performs well in the evaluation, though many discrepancies and details are surely lost in the annual averages presented. The paper is well written.
I recommend the paper for minor revisions, though the editor will want to consider that my suggestions are on the boundary between minor and major: calculations will take time and I suggest a new figure be added.
Minor comments
Introduction: a few more state-of-the-art papers on global aerosol number concentration, for example by Liu and Matsui, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL100543, and Chen et al, https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/21/9343/2021/, should be cited and discussed.
I think the duration of the simulation or the time period for which the data are applicable should be mentioned in the abstract or early in the introduction, and maybe again when nudging is mentioned. It would also be useful to specify the time resolution of the model output that was used in the evaluation, and the time resolution of the dataset that will be published, in the abstract or introduction, as this will help potential users of the dataset (some might want diurnal or weekly cycles, for example).
The grid resolution is coarser, in both vertical and horizontal, even than that of a good number of CMIP6 climate models (that were run for hundreds of years tens of times). This seems odd since only two years were simulated. Surely, despite the high complexity of the chemistry and aerosol model, simulating two years at this resolution did not take more than a few days using a modest HPC resource at DKRZ? And only one simulation is shown – there are no sensitivity studies (unlike in the study of Gordon et al 2017 the authors cite, which also had low resolution). 1 degree resolution and ~60 levels is typical of CMIP6 Earth System models, which surely are not more than a factor ten cheaper per simulated year unless EMAC is very inefficient or unnecessarily complex (e.g. > 10 volatility bins, or thousands of chemical species). Something to discuss? I should point out that the authors’ work to infer higher resolution output using the emissions datasets is still clearly necessary and valuable despite this comment.
Table 1 and 6: for mountain sites, did the authors compare the lowest model level with observations, or calculate the level that matches the altitude of the site relative to the average surface altitude in the 180x180km grid box?
Table 6: how was the comparison with aircraft measurements done? By interpolating, or matching grid cells, with daily or monthly averaged model output, to the four days (in the case of ATom) in which any given grid cell was sampled? A discussion of representativeness uncertainties would be appropriate here (see papers by Schutgens et al, e.g. https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/17/9761/2017/, which could also nicely set the scene for the downscaling work).
Excluding free-troposphere stations from the evaluation on the grounds that the model wouldn’t perform well there because it is optimized for the boundary layer seems odd. What optimization was done? Do the authors have reason to believe the model will perform badly in the FT, and does this also have implications for the boundary layer?
What diurnal cycles for emissions were assumed? Weekly cycles? The nonlinearities in chemistry and microphysics probably make this quite important even if only monthly averages are considered.
L105 may as well state the actual number of volatility bins.
Figure 2: The nucleation mode geometric mean diameter is between 1 and 1.5nm in this case, so half the particles in the mode are smaller than 1.5nm, and a big fraction are smaller than 1nm. This is really small! The CLOUD NPF parameterizations that are used produce particles at 1.7nm diameter. So does it make sense to produce a dataset with nucleation-mode particles smaller than that? Since the authors use CLOUD NPF parameterizations, I would suggest the authors exclude anything smaller than the CLOUD collaboration’s favourite cut-off diameter of 1.7nm from their model output and their evaluation tables and think about tweaking their model for future studies.
If the authors don’t want to change this, they really need to make the number concentration between 1.7nm and 100nm public so users could exclude particles that are, at face value, molecular clusters, from their analysis. In fact, I strongly encourage the authors to make public at least UFP concentrations in a couple of size ranges, irrespective of the lower cut-off. Say 50-100nm particles and 10-100nm particles. And monthly rather than annual averages. The paper will surely attract more citations that way.
The evaluation section could generally benefit from more time-resolved data. Seasonal cycles are lacking. I suggest adding another figure with seasonal cycles at many sites around the world, to complement Figure 5, which only shows sites in Leipzig.
L354 individuals (typo)