Articles | Volume 23, issue 17
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-10235-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-10235-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
14 Sep 2023
Research article |
| 14 Sep 2023
| 14 Sep 2023
Weakening of springtime Arctic ozone depletion with climate change
Marina Friedel
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Gabriel Chiodo
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Timofei Sukhodolov
Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos/World Radiation Center, Davos, Switzerland
James Keeble
Yusuf Hamied Department of Chemistry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
Thomas Peter
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Svenja Seeber
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Andrea Stenke
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
ETH Zürich, Institute of Biogeochemistry and Pollutant Dynamics, Zürich, Switzerland
Eawag, Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology, Dübendorf, Switzerland
Hideharu Akiyoshi
National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan
Eugene Rozanov
Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos/World Radiation Center, Davos, Switzerland
David Plummer
Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Montreal, Canada
Patrick Jöckel
Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany
Guang Zeng
National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Wellington, New Zealand
Olaf Morgenstern
National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Wellington, New Zealand
Béatrice Josse
Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
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Cited
6 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Impact of Methane Emissions on Future Stratospheric Ozone Recovery N. Liu et al. 10.1007/s00376-024-4142-6
- Evaluation of the coupling of EMACv2.55 to the land surface and vegetation model JSBACHv4 A. Martin et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-5705-2024
- Unveiling the vital role of the C-PO3 functional group for enhancing N2O adsorption on eucalyptus-based porous carbon Y. Zhu et al. 10.1016/j.fuel.2025.134456
- Environmental consequences of interacting effects of changes in stratospheric ozone, ultraviolet radiation, and climate: UNEP Environmental Effects Assessment Panel, Update 2024 P. Neale et al. 10.1007/s43630-025-00687-x
- Modulation of the northern polar vortex by the Hunga Tonga–Hunga Ha'apai eruption and the associated surface response A. Kuchar et al. 10.5194/acp-25-3623-2025
- Stratospheric dynamics modulates ozone layer response to molecular oxygen variations I. Józefiak et al. 10.3389/feart.2023.1239325
6 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Impact of Methane Emissions on Future Stratospheric Ozone Recovery N. Liu et al. 10.1007/s00376-024-4142-6
- Evaluation of the coupling of EMACv2.55 to the land surface and vegetation model JSBACHv4 A. Martin et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-5705-2024
- Unveiling the vital role of the C-PO3 functional group for enhancing N2O adsorption on eucalyptus-based porous carbon Y. Zhu et al. 10.1016/j.fuel.2025.134456
- Environmental consequences of interacting effects of changes in stratospheric ozone, ultraviolet radiation, and climate: UNEP Environmental Effects Assessment Panel, Update 2024 P. Neale et al. 10.1007/s43630-025-00687-x
- Modulation of the northern polar vortex by the Hunga Tonga–Hunga Ha'apai eruption and the associated surface response A. Kuchar et al. 10.5194/acp-25-3623-2025
- Stratospheric dynamics modulates ozone layer response to molecular oxygen variations I. Józefiak et al. 10.3389/feart.2023.1239325
Latest update: 23 Apr 2025
Short summary
Previously, it has been suggested that springtime Arctic ozone depletion might worsen in the coming decades due to climate change, which might counteract the effect of reduced ozone-depleting substances. Here, we show with different chemistry–climate models that springtime Arctic ozone depletion will likely decrease in the future. Further, we explain why models show a large spread in the projected development of Arctic ozone depletion and use the model spread to constrain future projections.
Previously, it has been suggested that springtime Arctic ozone depletion might worsen in the...
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