Articles | Volume 22, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-6087-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-6087-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
10 May 2022
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 10 May 2022
| 10 May 2022
Projections of hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) emissions and the resulting global warming based on recent trends in observed abundances and current policies
Centre for Environmental Quality, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), P.O. Box 1, 3720 BA Bilthoven, the Netherlands
Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht (IMAU), Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
John S. Daniel
NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory (CSL), Boulder, Colorado, USA
Stephen A. Montzka
NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory (GML) Boulder, Colorado, USA
Isaac Vimont
NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory (GML) Boulder, Colorado, USA
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA
Matthew Rigby
School of Chemistry, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
Paul B. Krummel
Climate Science Centre, CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia
Jens Muhle
Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
Simon O'Doherty
School of Chemistry, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
Ronald G. Prinn
Center for Global Change Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
Ray F. Weiss
Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
Dickon Young
School of Chemistry, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
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Cited
37 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Trifluoroiodomethane as a Precursor to High Global Warming Potential Climate Pollutants: Could the Transformation of Climatically Benign CF3I into Potent Greenhouse Gases Significantly Increase Refrigerant-Related Greenhouse Gas Emissions? K. Taddonio et al. 10.1021/acs.est.3c01079
- Recovery of Fluorinated Refrigerants from Decommissioned RAC Equipment in Germany—Implications for National Emission Reporting under the UNFCCC D. Behringer et al. 10.3390/atmos15010035
- Review of Gas-Chromatographic Measurement Methodologies for Atmospheric Halogenated Greenhouse Gases N. Han & J. Lim 10.1080/10408347.2024.2302576
- Role of non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions in limiting global warming Y. Ou et al. 10.1016/j.oneear.2022.11.012
- On the Influence of Hydroxyl Radical Changes and Ocean Sinks on Estimated HCFC and HFC Emissions and Banks P. Wang et al. 10.1029/2023GL105472
- Phenylene‐containing polyethylenimine‐like polymers absorb and release CO2 to blow biomass‐based polyurethanes W. Zhang et al. 10.1002/cnl2.82
- A fly in the ozone and climate ointment R. Salawitch 10.1038/s41561-023-01165-8
- Metrics for the emissions of F-gas refrigerants N. Miranda et al. 10.1016/j.seta.2023.103348
- Atmospheric fate and impacts of HFO-1234yf from mobile air conditioners in East Asia Y. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170137
- Stratospheric ozone, UV radiation, and climate interactions G. Bernhard et al. 10.1007/s43630-023-00371-y
- Atmospheric observation and emission estimation of HFC-125 and HFC-32 in China from four representative cities X. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175575
- A Survey on Fluorinated Greenhouse Gases in Taiwan: Emission Trends, Regulatory Strategies, and Abatement Technologies W. Tsai & C. Tsai 10.3390/environments10070113
- Process design for the recovery of waste refrigerants using deep eutectic solvents V. Codera et al. 10.1016/j.jece.2023.110255
- First HFC-134a retrievals from ground-based FTIR solar absorption spectra, comparison with TOMCAT model simulations, in-situ AGAGE observations, and ACE-FTS satellite data for the Jungfraujoch station I. Pardo Cantos et al. 10.1016/j.jqsrt.2024.108938
- Revealing the significant acceleration of hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) emissions in eastern Asia through long-term atmospheric observations H. Choi et al. 10.5194/acp-24-7309-2024
- Non-carbon dioxide emissions modeling in integrated assessment models: A review H. Yan et al. 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101358
- Allylic and Vinylic Carbon-Fluorine Bond Activation via Transition Metal-Mediated and -Catalyzed Fluorine Elimination T. Fujita 10.5059/yukigoseikyokaishi.82.130
- Rethinking time-lagged emissions and abatement potential of fluorocarbons in the post-Kigali Amendment era H. Liu et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-51113-2
- R152a-R13I1 mixture as an alternative to R1234yf for a mobile air conditioning: an estimation of flammability properties, thermodynamic and environmental performance C. Mayakrishnan et al. 10.1007/s10973-024-13682-8
- Does the World Free Ride on US Pledges to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions? Evidence from the Paris Climate Agreement T. Houser et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4634315
- Global increase of ozone-depleting chlorofluorocarbons from 2010 to 2020 L. Western et al. 10.1038/s41561-023-01147-w
- State of Climate Action 2023 S. Boehm et al. 10.46830/wrirpt.23.00010
- Exploring Synergistic GHG Emissions Mitigation Potential and Costs of Room Air Conditioners P. Jiang et al. 10.1021/acs.est.4c00223
- Environmental Policies and Countermeasures for the Phase-Out of Ozone-Depleting Substances (ODSs) over the Last 30 Years: A Case Study in Taiwan W. Tsai 10.3390/atmos15080961
- Projections of National-Gridded Emissions of Hydrofluoroolefins (HFOs) in China Y. Wang et al. 10.1021/acs.est.2c09263
- Estimation of the atmospheric hydroxyl radical oxidative capacity using multiple hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) R. Thompson et al. 10.5194/acp-24-1415-2024
- Regarding the Montreal Protocol communication after the Kigali Amendment J. Conde & P. Meira-Cartea 10.1017/aee.2023.35
- Study on the chemical co-precipitation synthesized CoFe2O4 nanoparticle for magnetocaloric performance in the vicinity of superparamagnetic blocking temperature P. Roy et al. 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e34413
- Atmospheric Observation and Emission of HFC-134a in China and Its Four Cities L. Yi et al. 10.1021/acs.est.2c07711
- A comparative on the thermal decomposition and fire‐extinguishing performance of C5F8 and C5F7Cl Z. Chang et al. 10.1002/qua.27198
- Defluorination of HFCs by a magnesium reagent D. Sheldon et al. 10.1039/D4DT00636D
- Pathway and Cost-Benefit Analysis to Achieve China’s Zero Hydrofluorocarbon Emissions F. Bai et al. 10.1021/acs.est.3c00166
- Impact of transport model resolution and a priori assumptions on inverse modeling of Swiss F-gas emissions I. Katharopoulos et al. 10.5194/acp-23-14159-2023
- Life cycle assessment of fluorinated gas recovery from waste refrigerants through vacuum swing adsorption R. Gonzalez-Olmos & F. Llovell 10.1016/j.susmat.2023.e00811
- Thermodynamic Analysis of the Absorption of Common Refrigerants in Fluorinated Deep Eutectic Solvents M. Demirbek et al. 10.1016/j.fluid.2024.114077
- Inhalers and the Environment: Pollution, Plastics and Policy M. Chakma & O. Usmani 10.18332/pne/154608
- Coordinating to promote refrigerant transition and energy efficiency improvement of room air conditioners in China: Mitigation potential and costs P. Jiang et al. 10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.134916
37 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Trifluoroiodomethane as a Precursor to High Global Warming Potential Climate Pollutants: Could the Transformation of Climatically Benign CF3I into Potent Greenhouse Gases Significantly Increase Refrigerant-Related Greenhouse Gas Emissions? K. Taddonio et al. 10.1021/acs.est.3c01079
- Recovery of Fluorinated Refrigerants from Decommissioned RAC Equipment in Germany—Implications for National Emission Reporting under the UNFCCC D. Behringer et al. 10.3390/atmos15010035
- Review of Gas-Chromatographic Measurement Methodologies for Atmospheric Halogenated Greenhouse Gases N. Han & J. Lim 10.1080/10408347.2024.2302576
- Role of non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions in limiting global warming Y. Ou et al. 10.1016/j.oneear.2022.11.012
- On the Influence of Hydroxyl Radical Changes and Ocean Sinks on Estimated HCFC and HFC Emissions and Banks P. Wang et al. 10.1029/2023GL105472
- Phenylene‐containing polyethylenimine‐like polymers absorb and release CO2 to blow biomass‐based polyurethanes W. Zhang et al. 10.1002/cnl2.82
- A fly in the ozone and climate ointment R. Salawitch 10.1038/s41561-023-01165-8
- Metrics for the emissions of F-gas refrigerants N. Miranda et al. 10.1016/j.seta.2023.103348
- Atmospheric fate and impacts of HFO-1234yf from mobile air conditioners in East Asia Y. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170137
- Stratospheric ozone, UV radiation, and climate interactions G. Bernhard et al. 10.1007/s43630-023-00371-y
- Atmospheric observation and emission estimation of HFC-125 and HFC-32 in China from four representative cities X. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175575
- A Survey on Fluorinated Greenhouse Gases in Taiwan: Emission Trends, Regulatory Strategies, and Abatement Technologies W. Tsai & C. Tsai 10.3390/environments10070113
- Process design for the recovery of waste refrigerants using deep eutectic solvents V. Codera et al. 10.1016/j.jece.2023.110255
- First HFC-134a retrievals from ground-based FTIR solar absorption spectra, comparison with TOMCAT model simulations, in-situ AGAGE observations, and ACE-FTS satellite data for the Jungfraujoch station I. Pardo Cantos et al. 10.1016/j.jqsrt.2024.108938
- Revealing the significant acceleration of hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) emissions in eastern Asia through long-term atmospheric observations H. Choi et al. 10.5194/acp-24-7309-2024
- Non-carbon dioxide emissions modeling in integrated assessment models: A review H. Yan et al. 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101358
- Allylic and Vinylic Carbon-Fluorine Bond Activation via Transition Metal-Mediated and -Catalyzed Fluorine Elimination T. Fujita 10.5059/yukigoseikyokaishi.82.130
- Rethinking time-lagged emissions and abatement potential of fluorocarbons in the post-Kigali Amendment era H. Liu et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-51113-2
- R152a-R13I1 mixture as an alternative to R1234yf for a mobile air conditioning: an estimation of flammability properties, thermodynamic and environmental performance C. Mayakrishnan et al. 10.1007/s10973-024-13682-8
- Does the World Free Ride on US Pledges to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions? Evidence from the Paris Climate Agreement T. Houser et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4634315
- Global increase of ozone-depleting chlorofluorocarbons from 2010 to 2020 L. Western et al. 10.1038/s41561-023-01147-w
- State of Climate Action 2023 S. Boehm et al. 10.46830/wrirpt.23.00010
- Exploring Synergistic GHG Emissions Mitigation Potential and Costs of Room Air Conditioners P. Jiang et al. 10.1021/acs.est.4c00223
- Environmental Policies and Countermeasures for the Phase-Out of Ozone-Depleting Substances (ODSs) over the Last 30 Years: A Case Study in Taiwan W. Tsai 10.3390/atmos15080961
- Projections of National-Gridded Emissions of Hydrofluoroolefins (HFOs) in China Y. Wang et al. 10.1021/acs.est.2c09263
- Estimation of the atmospheric hydroxyl radical oxidative capacity using multiple hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) R. Thompson et al. 10.5194/acp-24-1415-2024
- Regarding the Montreal Protocol communication after the Kigali Amendment J. Conde & P. Meira-Cartea 10.1017/aee.2023.35
- Study on the chemical co-precipitation synthesized CoFe2O4 nanoparticle for magnetocaloric performance in the vicinity of superparamagnetic blocking temperature P. Roy et al. 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e34413
- Atmospheric Observation and Emission of HFC-134a in China and Its Four Cities L. Yi et al. 10.1021/acs.est.2c07711
- A comparative on the thermal decomposition and fire‐extinguishing performance of C5F8 and C5F7Cl Z. Chang et al. 10.1002/qua.27198
- Defluorination of HFCs by a magnesium reagent D. Sheldon et al. 10.1039/D4DT00636D
- Pathway and Cost-Benefit Analysis to Achieve China’s Zero Hydrofluorocarbon Emissions F. Bai et al. 10.1021/acs.est.3c00166
- Impact of transport model resolution and a priori assumptions on inverse modeling of Swiss F-gas emissions I. Katharopoulos et al. 10.5194/acp-23-14159-2023
- Life cycle assessment of fluorinated gas recovery from waste refrigerants through vacuum swing adsorption R. Gonzalez-Olmos & F. Llovell 10.1016/j.susmat.2023.e00811
- Thermodynamic Analysis of the Absorption of Common Refrigerants in Fluorinated Deep Eutectic Solvents M. Demirbek et al. 10.1016/j.fluid.2024.114077
- Inhalers and the Environment: Pollution, Plastics and Policy M. Chakma & O. Usmani 10.18332/pne/154608
- Coordinating to promote refrigerant transition and energy efficiency improvement of room air conditioners in China: Mitigation potential and costs P. Jiang et al. 10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.134916
Discussed (final revised paper)
Latest update: 15 Nov 2024
Short summary
The emissions of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) have increased significantly in the past as a result of the phasing out of ozone-depleting substances. Observations indicate that HFCs are used much less in certain refrigeration applications than previously projected. Current policies are projected to reduce emissions and the surface temperature contribution of HFCs from 0.28–0.44 °C to 0.14–0.31 °C in 2100. The Kigali Amendment is projected to reduce the contributions further to 0.04 °C in 2100.
The emissions of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) have increased significantly in the past as a result...
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