Articles | Volume 22, issue 18
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-12331-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-12331-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
21 Sep 2022
Research article |
| 21 Sep 2022
| 21 Sep 2022
The ozone–climate penalty over South America and Africa by 2100
College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
Gerd A. Folberth
UK Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
Stephen Sitch
College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
Susanne Bauer
Center for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, USA
Marijn Bauters
Department of Environment, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium
Pascal Boeckx
Department of Environment, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium
Alexander W. Cheesman
College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
Centre for Tropical Environmental and Sustainability Science, James Cook University, Cairns, QLD, Australia
Makoto Deushi
Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
Inês Dos Santos Vieira
Department of Environment, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium
Corinne Galy-Lacaux
Laboratoire d'Aerologie, Université Toulouse III Paul Sabatier, CNRS, Toulouse, France
James Haywood
College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
UK Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
James Keeble
Yusuf Hamied Department of Chemistry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
Lina M. Mercado
College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, UK
Fiona M. O'Connor
UK Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
Naga Oshima
Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
Kostas Tsigaridis
Center for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, USA
Hans Verbeeck
Department of Environment, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium
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Latest update: 17 Nov 2025
Short summary
Surface ozone can decrease plant productivity and impair human health. In this study, we evaluate the change in surface ozone due to climate change over South America and Africa using Earth system models. We find that if the climate were to change according to the worst-case scenario used here, models predict that forested areas in biomass burning locations and urban populations will be at increasing risk of ozone exposure, but other areas will experience a climate benefit.
Surface ozone can decrease plant productivity and impair human health. In this study, we...
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