Articles | Volume 21, issue 17
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 13247–13267, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-13247-2021
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 13247–13267, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-13247-2021

Research article 07 Sep 2021

Research article | 07 Sep 2021

Quantification of uncertainties in the assessment of an atmospheric release source applied to the autumn 2017 106Ru event

Joffrey Dumont Le Brazidec et al.

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Latest update: 24 Oct 2021
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Short summary
The assessment of the environmental consequences of a radionuclide release depends on the estimation of its source. This paper aims to develop inverse Bayesian methods which combine transport models with measurements, in order to reconstruct the ensemble of possible sources. Three methods to quantify uncertainties based on the definition of probability distributions and the physical models are proposed and evaluated for the case of 106Ru releases over Europe in 2017.
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