Articles | Volume 20, issue 16
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-9737-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-9737-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
20 Aug 2020
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 20 Aug 2020
| 20 Aug 2020
Inconsistencies between chemistry–climate models and observed lower stratospheric ozone trends since 1998
Department of Geoscience and Remote Sensing, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, TU Delft, Stevinweg 1, 2628 CN Delft, the Netherlands
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Universitaetstrasse 16, CHN, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos World Radiation Centre, Dorfstrasse 33, 7260 Davos Dorf, Switzerland
Gabriel Chiodo
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Universitaetstrasse 16, CHN, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, 5 Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
Marta Abalos
Earth Physics and Astrophysics Dep., Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Avda. Complutense s/n, 28040 Madrid, Spain
Justin Alsing
Oskar Klein Centre for Cosmoparticle Physics, Stockholm University, Stockholm 106 91, Sweden
Imperial Centre for Inference and Cosmology, Department of Physics, Imperial College London, Blackett Laboratory, Prince Consort Road, London SW7 2AZ, UK
Andrea Stenke
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Universitaetstrasse 16, CHN, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
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- Comment on “Observation of large and all-season ozone losses over the tropics” [AIP Adv. 12, 075006 (2022)] M. Chipperfield et al. 10.1063/5.0121723
- Atmosphere–ocean–aerosol–chemistry–climate model SOCOLv4.0: description and evaluation T. Sukhodolov et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-5525-2021
- Evolution of total column ozone prior to the era of ozone depletion S. Brönnimann 10.3389/feart.2023.1079510
- Dynamical mechanisms for the recent ozone depletion in the Arctic stratosphere linked to North Pacific sea surface temperatures D. Hu et al. 10.1007/s00382-021-06026-x
- N2O as a regression proxy for dynamical variability in stratospheric trace gas trends K. Dubé et al. 10.5194/acp-23-13283-2023
- The future ozone trends in changing climate simulated with SOCOLv4 A. Karagodin-Doyennel et al. 10.5194/acp-23-4801-2023
- ML-TOMCAT: machine-learning-based satellite-corrected global stratospheric ozone profile data set from a chemical transport model S. Dhomse et al. 10.5194/essd-13-5711-2021
- Major Contribution of Halogenated Greenhouse Gases to Global Surface Temperature Change Q. Lu 10.3390/atmos13091419
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- Very short-lived halogens amplify ozone depletion trends in the tropical lower stratosphere J. Villamayor et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01671-y
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- Observing the climate impact of large wildfires on stratospheric temperature M. Stocker et al. 10.1038/s41598-021-02335-7
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- Global, regional and seasonal analysis of total ozone trends derived from the 1995–2020 GTO-ECV climate data record M. Coldewey-Egbers et al. 10.5194/acp-22-6861-2022
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Latest update: 23 Nov 2024
Short summary
Recent lower stratospheric ozone decreases remain unexplained. We show that chemistry–climate models are not generally able to reproduce mid-latitude ozone and water vapour changes. Our analysis of observations provides evidence that climate change may be responsible for the ozone trends. While model projections suggest that extratropical ozone should recover by 2100, our study raises questions about their efficacy in simulating lower stratospheric changes in this region.
Recent lower stratospheric ozone decreases remain unexplained. We show that chemistry–climate...
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