Articles | Volume 20, issue 14
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-8827-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-8827-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
27 Jul 2020
Research article |
| 27 Jul 2020
| 27 Jul 2020
Trends and spatial shifts in lightning fires and smoke concentrations in response to 21st century climate over the national forests and parks of the western United States
John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA
Loretta J. Mickley
John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA
Pengfei Liu
John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA
Jed O. Kaplan
Department of Earth Sciences, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
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Cited
29 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Prescribed Burns as a Tool to Mitigate Future Wildfire Smoke Exposure: Lessons for States and Rural Environmental Justice Communities M. Kelp et al. 10.1029/2022EF003468
- Stratospheric aerosol injection may impact global systems and human health outcomes S. Tracy et al. 10.1525/elementa.2022.00047
- Improved estimates of smoke exposure during Australia fire seasons: importance of quantifying plume injection heights X. Feng et al. 10.5194/acp-24-2985-2024
- Mathematical Simulation of Forest Fuel Pyrolysis and Crown Forest Fire Impact for Forest Fire Danger and Risk Assessment N. Baranovskiy & V. Kirienko 10.3390/pr10030483
- Outside in: the relationship between indoor and outdoor particulate air quality during wildfire smoke events in western US cities K. O’Dell et al. 10.1088/2752-5309/ac7d69
- Mortality Burden from Wildfire Smoke Under Climate Change M. Qiu et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4787398
- Lightning-Induced Wildfires: An Overview Y. Song et al. 10.3390/fire7030079
- Wildfire particulate exposure and risks of preterm birth and low birth weight in the Southwestern United States P. Jiang et al. 10.1016/j.puhe.2024.02.016
- Response of dust emissions in southwestern North America to 21st century trends in climate, CO<sub>2</sub> fertilization, and land use: implications for air quality Y. Li et al. 10.5194/acp-21-57-2021
- Exposure of agricultural workers in California to wildfire smoke under past and future climate conditions M. Marlier et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8c58
- Improved estimates of preindustrial biomass burning reduce the magnitude of aerosol climate forcing in the Southern Hemisphere P. Liu et al. 10.1126/sciadv.abc1379
- Lightning‐Ignited Wildfires in the Western United States: Ignition Precipitation and Associated Environmental Conditions D. Kalashnikov et al. 10.1029/2023GL103785
- Future fire-PM2.5 mortality varies depending on climate and socioeconomic changes C. Park et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad1b7d
- Optical properties of biomass burning aerosol during the 2021 Oregon fire season: comparison between wild and prescribed fires A. Marsavin et al. 10.1039/D2EA00118G
- The REBURN model: simulating system-level forest succession and wildfire dynamics S. Prichard et al. 10.1186/s42408-023-00190-7
- Investigation of 2021 wildfire impacts on air quality in southwestern Turkey M. Eke et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2024.120445
- Investigating the Use of Sentinel-1 for Improved Mapping of Small Peatland Water Bodies: Towards Wildfire Susceptibility Monitoring in Canada’s Boreal Forest S. Schultz et al. 10.3390/hydrology10050102
- Effects of the Severity of Wildfires on Some Physical-Chemical Soil Properties in a Humid Montane Scrublands Ecosystem in Southern Ecuador V. Carrión-Paladines et al. 10.3390/fire5030066
- Effect of Socioeconomic Variables in Predicting Global Fire Ignition Occurrence T. Mukunga et al. 10.3390/fire6050197
- Ozone chemistry in western U.S. wildfire plumes L. Xu et al. 10.1126/sciadv.abl3648
- Modelling the daily probability of lightning-caused ignition in the Iberian Peninsula M. Rodrigues et al. 10.1071/WF22123
- Projections of fire emissions and the consequent impacts on air quality under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming C. Tian et al. 10.1016/j.envpol.2023.121311
- Impact of solar geoengineering on wildfires in the 21st century in CESM2/WACCM6 W. Tang et al. 10.5194/acp-23-5467-2023
- Gestational exposure to wildfire PM2.5 and its specific components and the risk of gestational hypertension and eclampsia in the southwestern United States T. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175781
- Downwind Ozone Changes of the 2019 Williams Flats Wildfire: Insights From WRF‐Chem/DART Assimilation of OMI NO2, HCHO, and MODIS AOD Retrievals A. Pouyaei et al. 10.1029/2022JD038019
- Environmental drivers and spatial prediction of forest fires in the Western Ghats biodiversity hotspot, India: An ensemble machine learning approach K. Babu et al. 10.1016/j.foreco.2023.121057
- Investigation of Forest Fire Activity Changes Over the Central India Domain Using Satellite Observations During 2001–2020 M. Jain et al. 10.1029/2021GH000528
- Increasing co-occurrence of fine particulate matter and ground-level ozone extremes in the western United States D. Kalashnikov et al. 10.1126/sciadv.abi9386
- Estimated Mortality and Morbidity Attributable to Smoke Plumes in the United States: Not Just a Western US Problem K. O’Dell et al. 10.1029/2021GH000457
28 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Prescribed Burns as a Tool to Mitigate Future Wildfire Smoke Exposure: Lessons for States and Rural Environmental Justice Communities M. Kelp et al. 10.1029/2022EF003468
- Stratospheric aerosol injection may impact global systems and human health outcomes S. Tracy et al. 10.1525/elementa.2022.00047
- Improved estimates of smoke exposure during Australia fire seasons: importance of quantifying plume injection heights X. Feng et al. 10.5194/acp-24-2985-2024
- Mathematical Simulation of Forest Fuel Pyrolysis and Crown Forest Fire Impact for Forest Fire Danger and Risk Assessment N. Baranovskiy & V. Kirienko 10.3390/pr10030483
- Outside in: the relationship between indoor and outdoor particulate air quality during wildfire smoke events in western US cities K. O’Dell et al. 10.1088/2752-5309/ac7d69
- Mortality Burden from Wildfire Smoke Under Climate Change M. Qiu et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4787398
- Lightning-Induced Wildfires: An Overview Y. Song et al. 10.3390/fire7030079
- Wildfire particulate exposure and risks of preterm birth and low birth weight in the Southwestern United States P. Jiang et al. 10.1016/j.puhe.2024.02.016
- Response of dust emissions in southwestern North America to 21st century trends in climate, CO<sub>2</sub> fertilization, and land use: implications for air quality Y. Li et al. 10.5194/acp-21-57-2021
- Exposure of agricultural workers in California to wildfire smoke under past and future climate conditions M. Marlier et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8c58
- Improved estimates of preindustrial biomass burning reduce the magnitude of aerosol climate forcing in the Southern Hemisphere P. Liu et al. 10.1126/sciadv.abc1379
- Lightning‐Ignited Wildfires in the Western United States: Ignition Precipitation and Associated Environmental Conditions D. Kalashnikov et al. 10.1029/2023GL103785
- Future fire-PM2.5 mortality varies depending on climate and socioeconomic changes C. Park et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad1b7d
- Optical properties of biomass burning aerosol during the 2021 Oregon fire season: comparison between wild and prescribed fires A. Marsavin et al. 10.1039/D2EA00118G
- The REBURN model: simulating system-level forest succession and wildfire dynamics S. Prichard et al. 10.1186/s42408-023-00190-7
- Investigation of 2021 wildfire impacts on air quality in southwestern Turkey M. Eke et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2024.120445
- Investigating the Use of Sentinel-1 for Improved Mapping of Small Peatland Water Bodies: Towards Wildfire Susceptibility Monitoring in Canada’s Boreal Forest S. Schultz et al. 10.3390/hydrology10050102
- Effects of the Severity of Wildfires on Some Physical-Chemical Soil Properties in a Humid Montane Scrublands Ecosystem in Southern Ecuador V. Carrión-Paladines et al. 10.3390/fire5030066
- Effect of Socioeconomic Variables in Predicting Global Fire Ignition Occurrence T. Mukunga et al. 10.3390/fire6050197
- Ozone chemistry in western U.S. wildfire plumes L. Xu et al. 10.1126/sciadv.abl3648
- Modelling the daily probability of lightning-caused ignition in the Iberian Peninsula M. Rodrigues et al. 10.1071/WF22123
- Projections of fire emissions and the consequent impacts on air quality under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming C. Tian et al. 10.1016/j.envpol.2023.121311
- Impact of solar geoengineering on wildfires in the 21st century in CESM2/WACCM6 W. Tang et al. 10.5194/acp-23-5467-2023
- Gestational exposure to wildfire PM2.5 and its specific components and the risk of gestational hypertension and eclampsia in the southwestern United States T. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175781
- Downwind Ozone Changes of the 2019 Williams Flats Wildfire: Insights From WRF‐Chem/DART Assimilation of OMI NO2, HCHO, and MODIS AOD Retrievals A. Pouyaei et al. 10.1029/2022JD038019
- Environmental drivers and spatial prediction of forest fires in the Western Ghats biodiversity hotspot, India: An ensemble machine learning approach K. Babu et al. 10.1016/j.foreco.2023.121057
- Investigation of Forest Fire Activity Changes Over the Central India Domain Using Satellite Observations During 2001–2020 M. Jain et al. 10.1029/2021GH000528
- Increasing co-occurrence of fine particulate matter and ground-level ozone extremes in the western United States D. Kalashnikov et al. 10.1126/sciadv.abi9386
Latest update: 20 Nov 2024
Short summary
Using a coupled vegetation–fire–climate modeling framework, we show a northward shift in forests and increased lightning fire activity in northern US states, including Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming. Our findings suggest a large climate penalty on ecosystem, air quality, visibility, and human health in a region valued for its national forests and parks. The fine-scale smoke PM predictions provided in this study should prove useful to human health and environmental assessments.
Using a coupled vegetation–fire–climate modeling framework, we show a northward shift in forests...
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