Articles | Volume 19, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-6351-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-6351-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
15 May 2019
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 15 May 2019
| 15 May 2019
Northern Hemisphere continental winter warming following the 1991 Mt. Pinatubo eruption: reconciling models and observations
Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics and Department of Earth and
Environmental Sciences, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027, USA
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY 10964, USA
Antara Banerjee
Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics and Department of Earth and
Environmental Sciences, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027, USA
Anja Schmidt
Department of Chemistry, University of Cambridge, Lensfield Road, Cambridge CB2 1EW, UK
Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Downing Place, Cambridge CB2 3EN, UK
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35 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Solar Geoengineering in the Polar Regions: A Review A. Duffey et al. 10.1029/2023EF003679
- ENSO and NAO Linkage to Strong Volcanism and Associated Post‐Volcanic High‐Latitude Winter Warming M. Dogar et al. 10.1029/2023GL106114
- Boreal Winter Surface Air Temperature Responses to Large Tropical Volcanic Eruptions in CMIP5 Models C. Xing et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0186.1
- Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: a multi-model analysis R. Bilbao et al. 10.5194/esd-15-501-2024
- Causes of climate change over the historical record G. Hegerl et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4557
- Was there a volcanic-induced long-lasting cooling over the Northern Hemisphere in the mid-6th–7th century? E. van Dijk et al. 10.5194/cp-18-1601-2022
- Scant evidence for a volcanically forced winter warming over Eurasia following the Krakatau eruption of August 1883 L. Polvani & S. Camargo 10.5194/acp-20-13687-2020
- Volcanic Eruption Signatures in the Isotope‐Enabled Last Millennium Ensemble S. Stevenson et al. 10.1029/2019PA003625
- Volcanic stratospheric injections up to 160 Tg(S) yield a Eurasian winter warming indistinguishable from internal variability K. DallaSanta & L. Polvani 10.5194/acp-22-8843-2022
- Stratospheric aerosol injection may impact global systems and human health outcomes S. Tracy et al. 10.1525/elementa.2022.00047
- Radiative Forcing of Climate: The Historical Evolution of the Radiative Forcing Concept, the Forcing Agents and their Quantification, and Applications V. Ramaswamy et al. 10.1175/AMSMONOGRAPHS-D-19-0001.1
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- 100 Years of Progress in Understanding the Stratosphere and Mesosphere M. Baldwin et al. 10.1175/AMSMONOGRAPHS-D-19-0003.1
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- Progress and uncertainties in global and hemispheric temperature reconstructions of the Common Era K. Anchukaitis & J. Smerdon 10.1016/j.quascirev.2022.107537
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- Role of Stratospheric Processes in Climate Change: Advances and Challenges W. Tian et al. 10.1007/s00376-023-2341-1
- Understanding recent tropospheric ozone trends in the context of large internal variability: a new perspective from chemistry-climate model ensembles A. Fiore et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/ac9cc2
- Could the Recent Taal Volcano Eruption Trigger an El Niño and Lead to Eurasian Warming? F. Liu et al. 10.1007/s00376-020-2041-z
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- Impacts of the Eruption of Mount Pinatubo on Surface Temperatures and Precipitation Forecasts With the NASA GEOS Subseasonal‐to‐Seasonal System V. Aquila et al. 10.1029/2021JD034830
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- A Review of El Niño Southern Oscillation Linkage to Strong Volcanic Eruptions and Post-Volcanic Winter Warming M. Dogar et al. 10.1007/s41748-022-00331-z
- Uncertainty and the basis for confidence in solar geoengineering research B. Kravitz & D. MacMartin 10.1038/s43017-019-0004-7
- Fire, volcanism and climate change: the main factors controlling mercury (Hg) accumulation rates in Tropical Lake Lantoa, Sulawesi, Indonesia (∼16,500–540 cal yr BP) J. Nalbant et al. 10.3389/fenvc.2023.1241176
- Robust winter warming over Eurasia under stratospheric sulfate geoengineering – the role of stratospheric dynamics A. Banerjee et al. 10.5194/acp-21-6985-2021
- Volcanic effects on climate: recent advances and future avenues L. Marshall et al. 10.1007/s00445-022-01559-3
- Impact of volcanic eruptions on extratropical atmospheric circulations: review, revisit and future directions S. Paik et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acd5e6
- The Arctic Polar Vortex Response to Volcanic Forcing of Different Strengths A. Azoulay et al. 10.1029/2020JD034450
- Climate Impacts From Large Volcanic Eruptions in a High‐Resolution Climate Model: The Importance of Forcing Structure W. Yang et al. 10.1029/2019GL082367
- North Atlantic weather regimes in δ<sup>18</sup>O of winter precipitation: isotopic fingerprint of the response in the atmospheric circulation after volcanic eruptions H. Guđlaugsdóttir et al. 10.1080/16000889.2019.1633848
33 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Solar Geoengineering in the Polar Regions: A Review A. Duffey et al. 10.1029/2023EF003679
- ENSO and NAO Linkage to Strong Volcanism and Associated Post‐Volcanic High‐Latitude Winter Warming M. Dogar et al. 10.1029/2023GL106114
- Boreal Winter Surface Air Temperature Responses to Large Tropical Volcanic Eruptions in CMIP5 Models C. Xing et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0186.1
- Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: a multi-model analysis R. Bilbao et al. 10.5194/esd-15-501-2024
- Causes of climate change over the historical record G. Hegerl et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4557
- Was there a volcanic-induced long-lasting cooling over the Northern Hemisphere in the mid-6th–7th century? E. van Dijk et al. 10.5194/cp-18-1601-2022
- Scant evidence for a volcanically forced winter warming over Eurasia following the Krakatau eruption of August 1883 L. Polvani & S. Camargo 10.5194/acp-20-13687-2020
- Volcanic Eruption Signatures in the Isotope‐Enabled Last Millennium Ensemble S. Stevenson et al. 10.1029/2019PA003625
- Volcanic stratospheric injections up to 160 Tg(S) yield a Eurasian winter warming indistinguishable from internal variability K. DallaSanta & L. Polvani 10.5194/acp-22-8843-2022
- Stratospheric aerosol injection may impact global systems and human health outcomes S. Tracy et al. 10.1525/elementa.2022.00047
- Radiative Forcing of Climate: The Historical Evolution of the Radiative Forcing Concept, the Forcing Agents and their Quantification, and Applications V. Ramaswamy et al. 10.1175/AMSMONOGRAPHS-D-19-0001.1
- Four decades of global surface albedo estimates in the third edition of the CM SAF cLoud, Albedo and surface Radiation (CLARA) climate data record A. Riihelä et al. 10.5194/essd-16-1007-2024
- 100 Years of Progress in Understanding the Stratosphere and Mesosphere M. Baldwin et al. 10.1175/AMSMONOGRAPHS-D-19-0003.1
- The impact of ENSO and NAO initial conditions and anomalies on the modeled response to Pinatubo-sized volcanic forcing H. Weierbach et al. 10.5194/acp-23-15491-2023
- Progress and uncertainties in global and hemispheric temperature reconstructions of the Common Era K. Anchukaitis & J. Smerdon 10.1016/j.quascirev.2022.107537
- Opinion: The scientific and community-building roles of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) – past, present, and future D. Visioni et al. 10.5194/acp-23-5149-2023
- Reckoning with the Rocky Relationship Between Eruption Size and Climate Response: Toward a Volcano-Climate Index A. Schmidt & B. Black 10.1146/annurev-earth-080921-052816
- Role of Stratospheric Processes in Climate Change: Advances and Challenges W. Tian et al. 10.1007/s00376-023-2341-1
- Understanding recent tropospheric ozone trends in the context of large internal variability: a new perspective from chemistry-climate model ensembles A. Fiore et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/ac9cc2
- Could the Recent Taal Volcano Eruption Trigger an El Niño and Lead to Eurasian Warming? F. Liu et al. 10.1007/s00376-020-2041-z
- North Atlantic Oscillation response in GeoMIP experiments G6solar and G6sulfur: why detailed modelling is needed for understanding regional implications of solar radiation management A. Jones et al. 10.5194/acp-21-1287-2021
- The impact of stratospheric aerosol intervention on the North Atlantic and Quasi-Biennial Oscillations in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) G6sulfur experiment A. Jones et al. 10.5194/acp-22-2999-2022
- Impacts of the Eruption of Mount Pinatubo on Surface Temperatures and Precipitation Forecasts With the NASA GEOS Subseasonal‐to‐Seasonal System V. Aquila et al. 10.1029/2021JD034830
- Robust Inter‐Hemispheric Asymmetry in the Response to Symmetric Volcanic Forcing in Model Large Ensembles A. Pauling et al. 10.1029/2021GL092558
- The Influence of Stratospheric Soot and Sulfate Aerosols on the Northern Hemisphere Wintertime Atmospheric Circulation J. Coupe & A. Robock 10.1029/2020JD034513
- The effect of ash, water vapor, and heterogeneous chemistry on the evolution of a Pinatubo-size volcanic cloud M. Abdelkader et al. 10.5194/acp-23-471-2023
- A Review of El Niño Southern Oscillation Linkage to Strong Volcanic Eruptions and Post-Volcanic Winter Warming M. Dogar et al. 10.1007/s41748-022-00331-z
- Uncertainty and the basis for confidence in solar geoengineering research B. Kravitz & D. MacMartin 10.1038/s43017-019-0004-7
- Fire, volcanism and climate change: the main factors controlling mercury (Hg) accumulation rates in Tropical Lake Lantoa, Sulawesi, Indonesia (∼16,500–540 cal yr BP) J. Nalbant et al. 10.3389/fenvc.2023.1241176
- Robust winter warming over Eurasia under stratospheric sulfate geoengineering – the role of stratospheric dynamics A. Banerjee et al. 10.5194/acp-21-6985-2021
- Volcanic effects on climate: recent advances and future avenues L. Marshall et al. 10.1007/s00445-022-01559-3
- Impact of volcanic eruptions on extratropical atmospheric circulations: review, revisit and future directions S. Paik et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acd5e6
- The Arctic Polar Vortex Response to Volcanic Forcing of Different Strengths A. Azoulay et al. 10.1029/2020JD034450
2 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Climate Impacts From Large Volcanic Eruptions in a High‐Resolution Climate Model: The Importance of Forcing Structure W. Yang et al. 10.1029/2019GL082367
- North Atlantic weather regimes in δ<sup>18</sup>O of winter precipitation: isotopic fingerprint of the response in the atmospheric circulation after volcanic eruptions H. Guđlaugsdóttir et al. 10.1080/16000889.2019.1633848
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Short summary
This study provides compelling new evidence that the surface winter warming observed over the Northern Hemisphere continents following the 1991 eruption of Mt. Pinatubo was, very likely, completely unrelated to the eruption. This result has implications for earlier eruptions, as the evidence presented here demonstrates that the surface signal of even the very largest known eruptions may be swamped by the internal variability at high latitudes.
This study provides compelling new evidence that the surface winter warming observed over the...
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