Articles | Volume 18, issue 13
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-9975-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-9975-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Aerosol and physical atmosphere model parameters are both important sources of uncertainty in aerosol ERF
Leighton A. Regayre
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK
Jill S. Johnson
Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK
Masaru Yoshioka
Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK
Kirsty J. Pringle
Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK
David M. H. Sexton
UK Hadley Centre Met Office, Exeter, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, UK
Ben B. B. Booth
UK Hadley Centre Met Office, Exeter, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, UK
Lindsay A. Lee
Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK
Nicolas Bellouin
Department of Meteorology, School of Mathematical & Physical Sciences, Faculty of Science,University of Reading, Reading, RG6 6BB, UK
Kenneth S. Carslaw
Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK
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Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 16 Aug 2024
Short summary
We sample uncertainty in one climate model by perturbing aerosol and physical atmosphere parameters. Our uncertainty is comparable to multi-model studies. Atmospheric parameters cause most of the top-of-atmosphere flux uncertainty; uncertainty in aerosol forcing is mostly caused by aerosols: both are important. The strongest aerosol forcings are inconsistent with top-of-atmosphere flux observations. Better constraint requires observations that share causes of uncertainty with aerosol forcing.
We sample uncertainty in one climate model by perturbing aerosol and physical atmosphere...
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