Articles | Volume 18, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-6121-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-6121-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
03 May 2018
Research article |
| 03 May 2018
| 03 May 2018
Key drivers of ozone change and its radiative forcing over the 21st century
Fernando Iglesias-Suarez
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK
Data Science Institute, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK
now at: Department of Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Group,
Institute of Physical Chemistry Rocasolano, CSIC, Madrid, Spain
Douglas E. Kinnison
Atmospheric Chemistry Observations and Modeling Laboratory, National
Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA
Alexandru Rap
School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
Amanda C. Maycock
School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
Oliver Wild
Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK
Data Science Institute, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK
Paul J. Young
Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK
Data Science Institute, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK
Pentland Centre for Sustainability in Business, Lancaster University,
Lancaster, UK
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Cited
28 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The Role of Natural Halogens in Global Tropospheric Ozone Chemistry and Budget Under Different 21st Century Climate Scenarios A. Badia et al. 10.1029/2021JD034859
- Simulation of Chemical Transport by Typhoon Mireille (1991) A. Preston et al. 10.1029/2019JD030446
- Seasonal impact of biogenic very short-lived bromocarbons on lowermost stratospheric ozone between 60° N and 60° S during the 21st century J. Barrera et al. 10.5194/acp-20-8083-2020
- Rapid O3 assimilations – Part 1: Background and local contributions to tropospheric O3 changes in China in 2015–2020 R. Zhu et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-6337-2023
- Impacts of a near-future supersonic aircraft fleet on atmospheric composition and climate S. Eastham et al. 10.1039/D1EA00081K
- Long-term contributions of VOC sources and their link to ozone pollution in Bronx, New York City L. Borlaza-Lacoste et al. 10.1016/j.envint.2024.108993
- Neural representation of the stratospheric ozone chemistry H. Mohn et al. 10.1017/eds.2023.35
- Present‐Day and Historical Aerosol and Ozone Characteristics in CNRM CMIP6 Simulations M. Michou et al. 10.1029/2019MS001816
- Anthropogenic Fingerprint Detectable in Upper Tropospheric Ozone Trends Retrieved from Satellite X. Yu et al. 10.1021/acs.est.4c01289
- Estimation of the error covariance matrix for IASI radiances and its impact on the assimilation of ozone in a chemistry transport model M. El Aabaribaoune et al. 10.5194/amt-14-2841-2021
- Apportionment of the Pre‐Industrial to Present‐Day Climate Forcing by Methane Using UKESM1: The Role of the Cloud Radiative Effect F. O’Connor et al. 10.1029/2022MS002991
- Very short-lived halogens amplify ozone depletion trends in the tropical lower stratosphere J. Villamayor et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01671-y
- Tropospheric ozone and its natural precursors impacted by climatic changes in emission and dynamics S. Dewan & A. Lakhani 10.3389/fenvs.2022.1007942
- Quantifying the tropospheric ozone radiative effect and its temporal evolution in the satellite era R. Pope et al. 10.5194/acp-24-3613-2024
- Global tropical and extra-tropical tropospheric ozone trends and radiative forcing deduced from satellite and ozonesonde measurements for the period 2005–2020 G. Gopikrishnan & J. Kuttippurath 10.1016/j.envpol.2024.124869
- What controls ozone sensitivity in the upper tropical troposphere? C. Nussbaumer et al. 10.5194/acp-23-12651-2023
- Modelling the impacts of iodine chemistry on the northern Indian Ocean marine boundary layer A. Mahajan et al. 10.5194/acp-21-8437-2021
- Differences in iodine chemistry over the Antarctic continent A. Mahajan et al. 10.1016/j.polar.2023.101014
- Global tropospheric ozone trends, attributions, and radiative impacts in 1995–2017: an integrated analysis using aircraft (IAGOS) observations, ozonesonde, and multi-decadal chemical model simulations H. Wang et al. 10.5194/acp-22-13753-2022
- Co-emission of volcanic sulfur and halogens amplifies volcanic effective radiative forcing J. Staunton-Sykes et al. 10.5194/acp-21-9009-2021
- Spaceborne Observations of Lightning NO2 in the Arctic X. Zhang et al. 10.1021/acs.est.2c07988
- Global agricultural N2O emission reduction strategies deliver climate benefits with minimal impact on stratospheric O3 recovery J. Weber et al. 10.1038/s41612-024-00678-2
- Greenhouse Gas Exchange of a NW German Peatland, 18 Years After Rewetting C. Schaller et al. 10.1029/2020JG005960
- Carbon dioxide equivalent emissions from corn silage fermentation L. Krueger et al. 10.3389/fmicb.2022.1092315
- 300 years of tropospheric ozone changes using CMIP6 scenarios with a parameterised approach S. Turnock et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2019.07.001
- Natural halogens buffer tropospheric ozone in a changing climate F. Iglesias-Suarez et al. 10.1038/s41558-019-0675-6
- Structural changes in the shallow and transition branch of the Brewer–Dobson circulation induced by El Niño M. Diallo et al. 10.5194/acp-19-425-2019
- Assessing and improving cloud-height-based parameterisations of global lightning flash rate, and their impact on lightning-produced NO<sub><i>x</i></sub> and tropospheric composition in a chemistry–climate model A. Luhar et al. 10.5194/acp-21-7053-2021
28 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The Role of Natural Halogens in Global Tropospheric Ozone Chemistry and Budget Under Different 21st Century Climate Scenarios A. Badia et al. 10.1029/2021JD034859
- Simulation of Chemical Transport by Typhoon Mireille (1991) A. Preston et al. 10.1029/2019JD030446
- Seasonal impact of biogenic very short-lived bromocarbons on lowermost stratospheric ozone between 60° N and 60° S during the 21st century J. Barrera et al. 10.5194/acp-20-8083-2020
- Rapid O3 assimilations – Part 1: Background and local contributions to tropospheric O3 changes in China in 2015–2020 R. Zhu et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-6337-2023
- Impacts of a near-future supersonic aircraft fleet on atmospheric composition and climate S. Eastham et al. 10.1039/D1EA00081K
- Long-term contributions of VOC sources and their link to ozone pollution in Bronx, New York City L. Borlaza-Lacoste et al. 10.1016/j.envint.2024.108993
- Neural representation of the stratospheric ozone chemistry H. Mohn et al. 10.1017/eds.2023.35
- Present‐Day and Historical Aerosol and Ozone Characteristics in CNRM CMIP6 Simulations M. Michou et al. 10.1029/2019MS001816
- Anthropogenic Fingerprint Detectable in Upper Tropospheric Ozone Trends Retrieved from Satellite X. Yu et al. 10.1021/acs.est.4c01289
- Estimation of the error covariance matrix for IASI radiances and its impact on the assimilation of ozone in a chemistry transport model M. El Aabaribaoune et al. 10.5194/amt-14-2841-2021
- Apportionment of the Pre‐Industrial to Present‐Day Climate Forcing by Methane Using UKESM1: The Role of the Cloud Radiative Effect F. O’Connor et al. 10.1029/2022MS002991
- Very short-lived halogens amplify ozone depletion trends in the tropical lower stratosphere J. Villamayor et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01671-y
- Tropospheric ozone and its natural precursors impacted by climatic changes in emission and dynamics S. Dewan & A. Lakhani 10.3389/fenvs.2022.1007942
- Quantifying the tropospheric ozone radiative effect and its temporal evolution in the satellite era R. Pope et al. 10.5194/acp-24-3613-2024
- Global tropical and extra-tropical tropospheric ozone trends and radiative forcing deduced from satellite and ozonesonde measurements for the period 2005–2020 G. Gopikrishnan & J. Kuttippurath 10.1016/j.envpol.2024.124869
- What controls ozone sensitivity in the upper tropical troposphere? C. Nussbaumer et al. 10.5194/acp-23-12651-2023
- Modelling the impacts of iodine chemistry on the northern Indian Ocean marine boundary layer A. Mahajan et al. 10.5194/acp-21-8437-2021
- Differences in iodine chemistry over the Antarctic continent A. Mahajan et al. 10.1016/j.polar.2023.101014
- Global tropospheric ozone trends, attributions, and radiative impacts in 1995–2017: an integrated analysis using aircraft (IAGOS) observations, ozonesonde, and multi-decadal chemical model simulations H. Wang et al. 10.5194/acp-22-13753-2022
- Co-emission of volcanic sulfur and halogens amplifies volcanic effective radiative forcing J. Staunton-Sykes et al. 10.5194/acp-21-9009-2021
- Spaceborne Observations of Lightning NO2 in the Arctic X. Zhang et al. 10.1021/acs.est.2c07988
- Global agricultural N2O emission reduction strategies deliver climate benefits with minimal impact on stratospheric O3 recovery J. Weber et al. 10.1038/s41612-024-00678-2
- Greenhouse Gas Exchange of a NW German Peatland, 18 Years After Rewetting C. Schaller et al. 10.1029/2020JG005960
- Carbon dioxide equivalent emissions from corn silage fermentation L. Krueger et al. 10.3389/fmicb.2022.1092315
- 300 years of tropospheric ozone changes using CMIP6 scenarios with a parameterised approach S. Turnock et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2019.07.001
- Natural halogens buffer tropospheric ozone in a changing climate F. Iglesias-Suarez et al. 10.1038/s41558-019-0675-6
- Structural changes in the shallow and transition branch of the Brewer–Dobson circulation induced by El Niño M. Diallo et al. 10.5194/acp-19-425-2019
- Assessing and improving cloud-height-based parameterisations of global lightning flash rate, and their impact on lightning-produced NO<sub><i>x</i></sub> and tropospheric composition in a chemistry–climate model A. Luhar et al. 10.5194/acp-21-7053-2021
Discussed (final revised paper)
Latest update: 14 Dec 2024
Short summary
This study explores future ozone radiative forcing (RF) and the relative contribution due to different drivers. Climate-induced ozone RF is largely the result of the interplay between lightning-produced ozone and enhanced ozone destruction in a warmer and wetter atmosphere. These results demonstrate the importance of stratospheric–tropospheric interactions and the stratosphere as a key region controlling a large fraction of the tropospheric ozone RF.
This study explores future ozone radiative forcing (RF) and the relative contribution due to...
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