Articles | Volume 17, issue 14
Research article
31 Jul 2017
Research article |  | 31 Jul 2017

Wildfire air pollution hazard during the 21st century

Wolfgang Knorr, Frank Dentener, Jean-François Lamarque, Leiwen Jiang, and Almut Arneth

Data sets

RCP CO2 concentrations M. Meinshausen, S. J. Smith, K. V. Calvin, J. S. Daniel, M. L. T. Kainuma, J.-F. Lamarque, K. Matsumoto, S. A. Montzka, S. C. B. Raper, K. Riahi, A. M. Thomson, G. J. M. Velders and D. van Vuuren

HYDE 3.1 population density K. Klein Goldewijk, A. Beusen, and P. Janssen

SSP urbanisation scenarios by country L. Jiang and B. C. O'Neill

SSP population scenarios by country S. KC and W. Lutz

GFED 4.1s fire emissions G. van der Werf and The Fire Department

ECLIPSE GAINS 4a global anthropogenic emissions Z. Klimont, L. Höglund-Isaksson, Ch. Heyes, P. Rafaj, W. Schöpp, J. Cofala, J. Borken-Kleefeld, P. Purohit, K. Kupiainen, W. Winiwarter, M. Amann, B. Zhao, S. X. Wang, I. Bertok, and R. Sander

Short summary
Wildfires cause considerable air pollution, and climate change is usually expected to increase both wildfire activity and air pollution from those fires. This study takes a closer look at the problem by examining the role of demographic changes in addition to climate change. It finds that demographics will be the main driver of changes in wildfire activity in many parts of the developing world. Air pollution from wildfires will remain significant, with major implications for air quality policy.
Final-revised paper