Research article
16 Jun 2017
Research article
| 16 Jun 2017
A modified impulse-response representation of the global near-surface air temperature and atmospheric concentration response to carbon dioxide emissions
Richard J. Millar et al.
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Cited
62 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- FaIRv2.0.0: a generalized impulse response model for climate uncertainty and future scenario exploration N. Leach et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-3007-2021
- Feedback, dynamics, and optimal control in climate economics C. Kellett et al. 10.1016/j.arcontrol.2019.04.003
- A Limited Role for Unforced Internal Variability in Twentieth-Century Warming K. Haustein et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0555.1
- Emulating Ocean Dynamic Sea Level by Two‐Layer Pattern Scaling J. Yuan & R. Kopp 10.1029/2020MS002323
- Guidance on emissions metrics for nationally determined contributions under the Paris Agreement S. Denison et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4df4
- Quantifying non-CO2 contributions to remaining carbon budgets S. Jenkins et al. 10.1038/s41612-021-00203-9
- Framing Climate Goals in Terms of Cumulative CO2 -Forcing-Equivalent Emissions S. Jenkins et al. 10.1002/2017GL076173
- Cumulative carbon emissions and economic policy: In search of general principles S. Dietz & F. Venmans 10.1016/j.jeem.2019.04.003
- A temperature binning approach for multi-sector climate impact analysis M. Sarofim et al. 10.1007/s10584-021-03048-6
- Unifying ecosystem responses to disturbance into a single statistical framework N. Lemoine 10.1111/oik.07752
- Attributing ocean acidification to major carbon producers R. Licker et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5abc
- Pymagicc: A Python wrapper for the simple climate model MAGICC R. Gieseke et al. 10.21105/joss.00516
- Towards a FAIR-DICE IAM: Combining DICE and FAIR Models ⁎ ⁎TF acknowledges support from the Daimler Benz Foundation. TF, CMK, and SRW are supported by the Australian Research Council under ARC-DP180103026. T. Faulwasser et al. 10.1016/j.ifacol.2018.06.222
- Quantifying the probability distribution function of the transient climate response to cumulative CO2 emissions L. Spafford & A. MacDougall 10.1088/1748-9326/ab6d7b
- DICE and the Carbon Budget for Ambitious Climate Targets C. Azar & D. Johansson 10.1029/2021EF002041
- The role of prior assumptions in carbon budget calculations B. Sanderson 10.5194/esd-11-563-2020
- Implications of possible interpretations of ‘greenhouse gas balance’ in the Paris Agreement J. Fuglestvedt et al. 10.1098/rsta.2016.0445
- Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits T. Carleton et al. 10.2139/ssrn.3224365
- The utility of the historical record for assessing the transient climate response to cumulative emissions R. Millar & P. Friedlingstein 10.1098/rsta.2016.0449
- The role of negative carbon emissions in reaching the Paris climate targets: The impact of target formulation in integrated assessment models D. Johansson et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abc3f0
- Constraints on global temperature target overshoot K. Ricke et al. 10.1038/s41598-017-14503-9
- A solution to the misrepresentations of CO2-equivalent emissions of short-lived climate pollutants under ambitious mitigation M. Allen et al. 10.1038/s41612-018-0026-8
- Animal-based foods have high social and climate costs F. Errickson et al. 10.1038/s43016-021-00265-1
- Simple Rules for Climate Policy and Integrated Assessment F. van der Ploeg & A. Rezai 10.1007/s10640-018-0280-6
- Effect of aerosol radiative forcing uncertainty on projected exceedance year of a 1.5 °C global temperature rise A. Peace et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aba20c
- Unrealized Global Temperature Increase: Implications of Current Uncertainties S. Schwartz 10.1002/2017JD028121
- FAIR v1.3: a simple emissions-based impulse response and carbon cycle model C. Smith et al. 10.5194/gmd-11-2273-2018
- Evaluating climate emulation: fundamental impulse testing of simple climate models A. Schwarber et al. 10.5194/esd-10-729-2019
- Implications of temperature overshoot dynamics for climate and carbon dioxide removal policies in the DICE model W. Rickels & J. Schwinger 10.1088/1748-9326/ac22c0
- Stringent mitigation substantially reduces risk of unprecedented near-term warming rates C. McKenna et al. 10.1038/s41558-020-00957-9
- Economic impacts of tipping points in the climate system S. Dietz et al. 10.1073/pnas.2103081118
- Modeling the climate and carbon systems to estimate the social cost of carbon T. Thompson 10.1002/wcc.532
- The contribution of global aviation to anthropogenic climate forcing for 2000 to 2018 D. Lee et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117834
- CO<sub>2</sub>-equivalence metrics for surface albedo change based on the radiative forcing concept: a critical review R. Bright & M. Lund 10.5194/acp-21-9887-2021
- The climate benefit of carbon sequestration C. Sierra et al. 10.5194/bg-18-1029-2021
- Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 °C R. Millar et al. 10.1038/ngeo3031
- Current level and rate of warming determine emissions budgets under ambitious mitigation N. Leach et al. 10.1038/s41561-018-0156-y
- Large-scale emulation of spatio-temporal variation in temperature under climate change X. Yuan et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abd213
- A theoretical basis for the equivalence between physical and economic climate metrics and implications for the choice of Global Warming Potential time horizon D. Mallapragada & B. Mignone 10.1007/s10584-019-02486-7
- An integrated approach to quantifying uncertainties in the remaining carbon budget H. Damon Matthews et al. 10.1038/s43247-020-00064-9
- Paris Agreement's Ambiguity About Aerosols Drives Uncertain Health and Climate Outcomes P. Polonik et al. 10.1029/2020EF001787
- Large Variations in Volcanic Aerosol Forcing Efficiency Due to Eruption Source Parameters and Rapid Adjustments L. Marshall et al. 10.1029/2020GL090241
- Cloud, precipitation and radiation responses to large perturbations in global dimethyl sulfide S. Fiddes et al. 10.5194/acp-18-10177-2018
- HIRM v1.0: a hybrid impulse response model for climate modeling and uncertainty analyses K. Dorheim et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-365-2021
- Reducing Planetary Health Risks Through Short‐Lived Climate Forcer Mitigation Y. Zheng & N. Unger 10.1029/2021GH000422
- Current fossil fuel infrastructure does not yet commit us to 1.5 °C warming C. Smith et al. 10.1038/s41467-018-07999-w
- Climate and air-quality benefits of a realistic phase-out of fossil fuels D. Shindell & C. Smith 10.1038/s41586-019-1554-z
- Improving reduced complexity model assessment and usability M. Sarofim et al. 10.1038/s41558-020-00973-9
- Renewable Energy and EU 2020 Target for Energy Efficiency in the Czech Republic and Slovakia J. Brożyna et al. 10.3390/en13040965
- Relating climate sensitivity indices to projection uncertainty B. Sanderson 10.5194/esd-11-721-2020
- The rise in global atmospheric CO2, surface temperature, and sea level from emissions traced to major carbon producers B. Ekwurzel et al. 10.1007/s10584-017-1978-0
61 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Offsetting unabated agricultural emissions with CO2 removal to achieve ambitious climate targets N. Brazzola et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0247887
- Beyond Forcing Scenarios: Predicting Climate Change through Response Operators in a Coupled General Circulation Model V. Lembo et al. 10.1038/s41598-020-65297-2
- The impact of human health co-benefits on evaluations of global climate policy N. Scovronick et al. 10.1038/s41467-019-09499-x
- Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: Synthesizing Earth System Knowledge for Probabilistic Climate Projections Z. Nicholls et al. 10.1029/2020EF001900
- Are Economists Getting Climate Dynamics Right and Does It Matter? S. Dietz et al. 10.1086/713977
- The point of no return for climate action: effects of climate uncertainty and risk tolerance M. Aengenheyster et al. 10.5194/esd-9-1085-2018
- Climate economics support for the UN climate targets M. Hänsel et al. 10.1038/s41558-020-0833-x
- The Risk-Adjusted Carbon Price T. Van den Bremer & F. Van der Ploeg 10.1257/aer.20180517
- Improved calculation of warming-equivalent emissions for short-lived climate pollutants M. Cain et al. 10.1038/s41612-019-0086-4
- Estimating a social cost of carbon for global energy consumption A. Rode et al. 10.1038/s41586-021-03883-8
- A real-time Global Warming Index K. Haustein et al. 10.1038/s41598-017-14828-5
- FaIRv2.0.0: a generalized impulse response model for climate uncertainty and future scenario exploration N. Leach et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-3007-2021
- Feedback, dynamics, and optimal control in climate economics C. Kellett et al. 10.1016/j.arcontrol.2019.04.003
- A Limited Role for Unforced Internal Variability in Twentieth-Century Warming K. Haustein et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0555.1
- Emulating Ocean Dynamic Sea Level by Two‐Layer Pattern Scaling J. Yuan & R. Kopp 10.1029/2020MS002323
- Guidance on emissions metrics for nationally determined contributions under the Paris Agreement S. Denison et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4df4
- Quantifying non-CO2 contributions to remaining carbon budgets S. Jenkins et al. 10.1038/s41612-021-00203-9
- Framing Climate Goals in Terms of Cumulative CO2 -Forcing-Equivalent Emissions S. Jenkins et al. 10.1002/2017GL076173
- Cumulative carbon emissions and economic policy: In search of general principles S. Dietz & F. Venmans 10.1016/j.jeem.2019.04.003
- A temperature binning approach for multi-sector climate impact analysis M. Sarofim et al. 10.1007/s10584-021-03048-6
- Unifying ecosystem responses to disturbance into a single statistical framework N. Lemoine 10.1111/oik.07752
- Attributing ocean acidification to major carbon producers R. Licker et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5abc
- Pymagicc: A Python wrapper for the simple climate model MAGICC R. Gieseke et al. 10.21105/joss.00516
- Towards a FAIR-DICE IAM: Combining DICE and FAIR Models ⁎ ⁎TF acknowledges support from the Daimler Benz Foundation. TF, CMK, and SRW are supported by the Australian Research Council under ARC-DP180103026. T. Faulwasser et al. 10.1016/j.ifacol.2018.06.222
- Quantifying the probability distribution function of the transient climate response to cumulative CO2 emissions L. Spafford & A. MacDougall 10.1088/1748-9326/ab6d7b
- DICE and the Carbon Budget for Ambitious Climate Targets C. Azar & D. Johansson 10.1029/2021EF002041
- The role of prior assumptions in carbon budget calculations B. Sanderson 10.5194/esd-11-563-2020
- Implications of possible interpretations of ‘greenhouse gas balance’ in the Paris Agreement J. Fuglestvedt et al. 10.1098/rsta.2016.0445
- Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits T. Carleton et al. 10.2139/ssrn.3224365
- The utility of the historical record for assessing the transient climate response to cumulative emissions R. Millar & P. Friedlingstein 10.1098/rsta.2016.0449
- The role of negative carbon emissions in reaching the Paris climate targets: The impact of target formulation in integrated assessment models D. Johansson et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abc3f0
- Constraints on global temperature target overshoot K. Ricke et al. 10.1038/s41598-017-14503-9
- A solution to the misrepresentations of CO2-equivalent emissions of short-lived climate pollutants under ambitious mitigation M. Allen et al. 10.1038/s41612-018-0026-8
- Animal-based foods have high social and climate costs F. Errickson et al. 10.1038/s43016-021-00265-1
- Simple Rules for Climate Policy and Integrated Assessment F. van der Ploeg & A. Rezai 10.1007/s10640-018-0280-6
- Effect of aerosol radiative forcing uncertainty on projected exceedance year of a 1.5 °C global temperature rise A. Peace et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aba20c
- Unrealized Global Temperature Increase: Implications of Current Uncertainties S. Schwartz 10.1002/2017JD028121
- FAIR v1.3: a simple emissions-based impulse response and carbon cycle model C. Smith et al. 10.5194/gmd-11-2273-2018
- Evaluating climate emulation: fundamental impulse testing of simple climate models A. Schwarber et al. 10.5194/esd-10-729-2019
- Implications of temperature overshoot dynamics for climate and carbon dioxide removal policies in the DICE model W. Rickels & J. Schwinger 10.1088/1748-9326/ac22c0
- Stringent mitigation substantially reduces risk of unprecedented near-term warming rates C. McKenna et al. 10.1038/s41558-020-00957-9
- Economic impacts of tipping points in the climate system S. Dietz et al. 10.1073/pnas.2103081118
- Modeling the climate and carbon systems to estimate the social cost of carbon T. Thompson 10.1002/wcc.532
- The contribution of global aviation to anthropogenic climate forcing for 2000 to 2018 D. Lee et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117834
- CO<sub>2</sub>-equivalence metrics for surface albedo change based on the radiative forcing concept: a critical review R. Bright & M. Lund 10.5194/acp-21-9887-2021
- The climate benefit of carbon sequestration C. Sierra et al. 10.5194/bg-18-1029-2021
- Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 °C R. Millar et al. 10.1038/ngeo3031
- Current level and rate of warming determine emissions budgets under ambitious mitigation N. Leach et al. 10.1038/s41561-018-0156-y
- Large-scale emulation of spatio-temporal variation in temperature under climate change X. Yuan et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abd213
- A theoretical basis for the equivalence between physical and economic climate metrics and implications for the choice of Global Warming Potential time horizon D. Mallapragada & B. Mignone 10.1007/s10584-019-02486-7
- An integrated approach to quantifying uncertainties in the remaining carbon budget H. Damon Matthews et al. 10.1038/s43247-020-00064-9
- Paris Agreement's Ambiguity About Aerosols Drives Uncertain Health and Climate Outcomes P. Polonik et al. 10.1029/2020EF001787
- Large Variations in Volcanic Aerosol Forcing Efficiency Due to Eruption Source Parameters and Rapid Adjustments L. Marshall et al. 10.1029/2020GL090241
- Cloud, precipitation and radiation responses to large perturbations in global dimethyl sulfide S. Fiddes et al. 10.5194/acp-18-10177-2018
- HIRM v1.0: a hybrid impulse response model for climate modeling and uncertainty analyses K. Dorheim et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-365-2021
- Reducing Planetary Health Risks Through Short‐Lived Climate Forcer Mitigation Y. Zheng & N. Unger 10.1029/2021GH000422
- Current fossil fuel infrastructure does not yet commit us to 1.5 °C warming C. Smith et al. 10.1038/s41467-018-07999-w
- Climate and air-quality benefits of a realistic phase-out of fossil fuels D. Shindell & C. Smith 10.1038/s41586-019-1554-z
- Improving reduced complexity model assessment and usability M. Sarofim et al. 10.1038/s41558-020-00973-9
- Renewable Energy and EU 2020 Target for Energy Efficiency in the Czech Republic and Slovakia J. Brożyna et al. 10.3390/en13040965
- Relating climate sensitivity indices to projection uncertainty B. Sanderson 10.5194/esd-11-721-2020
Latest update: 06 Feb 2023
Short summary
Simple representations of the global coupled climate–carbon-cycle system are required for climate policy analysis. Existing models have often failed to capture important physical dependencies of the climate response to carbon dioxide emissions. In this paper we propose a simple but novel modification to impulse-response climate–carbon-cycle models to capture these physical dependencies. This simple model creates an important tool for both climate policy and climate science analysis.
Simple representations of the global coupled climate–carbon-cycle system are required for...
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