The impact of shipping emissions on air pollution in the greater North Sea region &ndash; Part 2: Scenarios for 2030

Matthias, V.; Aulinger, A.; Backes, A.; Bieser, J.; Geyer, B.; Quante, M.; Zeretzke, M.

doi:10.5194/acp-16-759-2016

Articles | Volume 16, issue 2

https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-759-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-759-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 16, issue 2

Research article

|

22 Jan 2016

Research article |

| 22 Jan 2016

The impact of shipping emissions on air pollution in the greater North Sea region – Part 2: Scenarios for 2030

V. Matthias, A. Aulinger, A. Backes, J. Bieser, B. Geyer, M. Quante, and M. Zeretzke

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Total article views: 4,669 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)

HTML	PDF	XML	Total	BibTeX	EndNote
2,497	1,989	183	4,669	158	174

HTML: 2,497
PDF: 1,989
XML: 183
Total: 4,669
BibTeX: 158
EndNote: 174

Views and downloads (calculated since 16 Apr 2015)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Apr 2015	72	70	2	144
May 2015	28	23	4	55
Jun 2015	13	10	4	27
Jul 2015	14	13	2	29
Aug 2015	7	13	3	23
Sep 2015	8	12	0	20
Oct 2015	16	6	1	23
Nov 2015	21	17	5	43
Dec 2015	10	4	6	20
Jan 2016	137	71	6	214
Feb 2016	69	56	3	128
Mar 2016	37	47	2	86
Apr 2016	16	31	0	47
May 2016	15	25	1	41
Jun 2016	14	10	1	25
Jul 2016	9	8	2	19
Aug 2016	15	8	0	23
Sep 2016	15	11	0	26
Oct 2016	12	2	0	14
Nov 2016	7	15	0	22
Dec 2016	3	15	0	18
Jan 2017	14	11	0	25
Feb 2017	16	3	0	19
Mar 2017	35	21	1	57
Apr 2017	28	15	1	44
May 2017	31	12	1	44
Jun 2017	33	16	2	51
Jul 2017	32	22	0	54
Aug 2017	13	20	0	33
Sep 2017	12	11	1	24
Oct 2017	13	12	1	26
Nov 2017	18	20	1	39
Dec 2017	22	22	2	46
Jan 2018	13	18	1	32
Feb 2018	8	8	1	17
Mar 2018	17	28	0	45
Apr 2018	16	13	0	29
May 2018	12	18	3	33
Jun 2018	13	17	0	30
Jul 2018	6	11	7	24
Aug 2018	15	11	0	26
Sep 2018	8	13	0	21
Oct 2018	12	15	1	28
Nov 2018	10	21	1	32
Dec 2018	6	7	1	14
Jan 2019	8	19	2	29
Feb 2019	7	7	0	14
Mar 2019	4	12	1	17
Apr 2019	5	24	1	30
May 2019	10	29	0	39
Jun 2019	16	21	2	39
Jul 2019	10	14	0	24
Aug 2019	12	18	0	30
Sep 2019	6	28	0	34
Oct 2019	8	68	1	77
Nov 2019	9	12	0	21
Dec 2019	5	12	3	20
Jan 2020	9	12	0	21
Feb 2020	7	21	0	28
Mar 2020	3	13	0	16
Apr 2020	5	16	4	25
May 2020	9	23	0	32
Jun 2020	21	13	0	34
Jul 2020	17	21	7	45
Aug 2020	13	12	4	29
Sep 2020	9	11	1	21
Oct 2020	12	4	0	16
Nov 2020	12	12	1	25
Dec 2020	7	4	1	12
Jan 2021	25	18	2	45
Feb 2021	9	9	0	18
Mar 2021	8	13	2	23
Apr 2021	11	8	0	19
May 2021	10	15	1	26
Jun 2021	9	12	0	21
Jul 2021	6	15	0	21
Aug 2021	7	17	0	24
Sep 2021	9	13	0	22
Oct 2021	13	35	1	49
Nov 2021	19	41	0	60
Dec 2021	17	14	3	34
Jan 2022	13	11	2	26
Feb 2022	12	6	2	20
Mar 2022	9	12	0	21
Apr 2022	8	14	1	23
May 2022	13	14	1	28
Jun 2022	7	6	0	13
Jul 2022	4	4	0	8
Aug 2022	16	5	0	21
Sep 2022	8	14	1	23
Oct 2022	18	10	2	30
Nov 2022	21	7	1	29
Dec 2022	18	8	2	28
Jan 2023	10	11	1	22
Feb 2023	17	6	1	24
Mar 2023	20	5	1	26
Apr 2023	7	7	0	14
May 2023	33	9	0	42
Jun 2023	43	8	1	52
Jul 2023	42	7	1	50
Aug 2023	41	5	1	47
Sep 2023	44	3	2	49
Oct 2023	50	11	2	63
Nov 2023	32	1	1	34
Dec 2023	40	10	2	52
Jan 2024	39	6	1	46
Feb 2024	37	11	0	48
Mar 2024	43	34	3	80
Apr 2024	40	8	2	50
May 2024	27	14	10	51
Jun 2024	12	6	2	20
Jul 2024	18	10	3	31
Aug 2024	47	6	3	56
Sep 2024	15	6	0	21
Oct 2024	17	7	0	24
Nov 2024	10	11	2	23
Dec 2024	14	14	3	31
Jan 2025	25	8	2	35
Feb 2025	27	6	4	37
Mar 2025	33	14	3	50
Apr 2025	15	20	0	35
May 2025	18	7	2	27
Jun 2025	56	31	2	89
Jul 2025	16	15	0	31
Aug 2025	34	15	1	50
Sep 2025	51	14	5	70
Oct 2025	18	20	0	38
Nov 2025	39	38	6	83
Dec 2025	12	6	0	18

Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 16 Apr 2015)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Apr 2015	72	70	2	144
May 2015	28	23	4	55
Jun 2015	13	10	4	27
Jul 2015	14	13	2	29
Aug 2015	7	13	3	23
Sep 2015	8	12	0	20
Oct 2015	16	6	1	23
Nov 2015	21	17	5	43
Dec 2015	10	4	6	20
Jan 2016	137	71	6	214
Feb 2016	69	56	3	128
Mar 2016	37	47	2	86
Apr 2016	16	31	0	47
May 2016	15	25	1	41
Jun 2016	14	10	1	25
Jul 2016	9	8	2	19
Aug 2016	15	8	0	23
Sep 2016	15	11	0	26
Oct 2016	12	2	0	14
Nov 2016	7	15	0	22
Dec 2016	3	15	0	18
Jan 2017	14	11	0	25
Feb 2017	16	3	0	19
Mar 2017	35	21	1	57
Apr 2017	28	15	1	44
May 2017	31	12	1	44
Jun 2017	33	16	2	51
Jul 2017	32	22	0	54
Aug 2017	13	20	0	33
Sep 2017	12	11	1	24
Oct 2017	13	12	1	26
Nov 2017	18	20	1	39
Dec 2017	22	22	2	46
Jan 2018	13	18	1	32
Feb 2018	8	8	1	17
Mar 2018	17	28	0	45
Apr 2018	16	13	0	29
May 2018	12	18	3	33
Jun 2018	13	17	0	30
Jul 2018	6	11	7	24
Aug 2018	15	11	0	26
Sep 2018	8	13	0	21
Oct 2018	12	15	1	28
Nov 2018	10	21	1	32
Dec 2018	6	7	1	14
Jan 2019	8	19	2	29
Feb 2019	7	7	0	14
Mar 2019	4	12	1	17
Apr 2019	5	24	1	30
May 2019	10	29	0	39
Jun 2019	16	21	2	39
Jul 2019	10	14	0	24
Aug 2019	12	18	0	30
Sep 2019	6	28	0	34
Oct 2019	8	68	1	77
Nov 2019	9	12	0	21
Dec 2019	5	12	3	20
Jan 2020	9	12	0	21
Feb 2020	7	21	0	28
Mar 2020	3	13	0	16
Apr 2020	5	16	4	25
May 2020	9	23	0	32
Jun 2020	21	13	0	34
Jul 2020	17	21	7	45
Aug 2020	13	12	4	29
Sep 2020	9	11	1	21
Oct 2020	12	4	0	16
Nov 2020	12	12	1	25
Dec 2020	7	4	1	12
Jan 2021	25	18	2	45
Feb 2021	9	9	0	18
Mar 2021	8	13	2	23
Apr 2021	11	8	0	19
May 2021	10	15	1	26
Jun 2021	9	12	0	21
Jul 2021	6	15	0	21
Aug 2021	7	17	0	24
Sep 2021	9	13	0	22
Oct 2021	13	35	1	49
Nov 2021	19	41	0	60
Dec 2021	17	14	3	34
Jan 2022	13	11	2	26
Feb 2022	12	6	2	20
Mar 2022	9	12	0	21
Apr 2022	8	14	1	23
May 2022	13	14	1	28
Jun 2022	7	6	0	13
Jul 2022	4	4	0	8
Aug 2022	16	5	0	21
Sep 2022	8	14	1	23
Oct 2022	18	10	2	30
Nov 2022	21	7	1	29
Dec 2022	18	8	2	28
Jan 2023	10	11	1	22
Feb 2023	17	6	1	24
Mar 2023	20	5	1	26
Apr 2023	7	7	0	14
May 2023	33	9	0	42
Jun 2023	43	8	1	52
Jul 2023	42	7	1	50
Aug 2023	41	5	1	47
Sep 2023	44	3	2	49
Oct 2023	50	11	2	63
Nov 2023	32	1	1	34
Dec 2023	40	10	2	52
Jan 2024	39	6	1	46
Feb 2024	37	11	0	48
Mar 2024	43	34	3	80
Apr 2024	40	8	2	50
May 2024	27	14	10	51
Jun 2024	12	6	2	20
Jul 2024	18	10	3	31
Aug 2024	47	6	3	56
Sep 2024	15	6	0	21
Oct 2024	17	7	0	24
Nov 2024	10	11	2	23
Dec 2024	14	14	3	31
Jan 2025	25	8	2	35
Feb 2025	27	6	4	37
Mar 2025	33	14	3	50
Apr 2025	15	20	0	35
May 2025	18	7	2	27
Jun 2025	56	31	2	89
Jul 2025	16	15	0	31
Aug 2025	34	15	1	50
Sep 2025	51	14	5	70
Oct 2025	18	20	0	38
Nov 2025	39	38	6	83
Dec 2025	12	6	0	18

Latest update: 06 Dec 2025

Short summary

Scenarios for future shipping emissions in the North Sea were developed. Compared to today, the contribution of shipping to the nitrogen dioxide and ozone concentrations will increase due to the expected enhanced traffic by more than 20 % and 5 %, respectively, by 2030 if no regulation for further emission reductions is implemented. PM_2.5 will decrease slightly because the sulfur content in ship fuels will be reduced.