Articles | Volume 16, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-759-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-759-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
22 Jan 2016
Research article |
| 22 Jan 2016
The impact of shipping emissions on air pollution in the greater North Sea region – Part 2: Scenarios for 2030
Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Institute of Coastal Research, Max-Planck-Straße 1, 21502 Geesthacht, Germany
A. Aulinger
Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Institute of Coastal Research, Max-Planck-Straße 1, 21502 Geesthacht, Germany
A. Backes
Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Institute of Coastal Research, Max-Planck-Straße 1, 21502 Geesthacht, Germany
J. Bieser
Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Institute of Coastal Research, Max-Planck-Straße 1, 21502 Geesthacht, Germany
Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Institute of Coastal Research, Max-Planck-Straße 1, 21502 Geesthacht, Germany
M. Quante
Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Institute of Coastal Research, Max-Planck-Straße 1, 21502 Geesthacht, Germany
M. Zeretzke
DNV-GL, Brooktorkai 18, 20457 Hamburg, Germany
Viewed
Total article views: 4,549 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 16 Apr 2015)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,438 | 1,934 | 177 | 4,549 | 148 | 162 |
- HTML: 2,438
- PDF: 1,934
- XML: 177
- Total: 4,549
- BibTeX: 148
- EndNote: 162
Total article views: 3,545 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 22 Jan 2016)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,966 | 1,437 | 142 | 3,545 | 113 | 128 |
- HTML: 1,966
- PDF: 1,437
- XML: 142
- Total: 3,545
- BibTeX: 113
- EndNote: 128
Total article views: 1,004 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 16 Apr 2015)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 472 | 497 | 35 | 1,004 | 35 | 34 |
- HTML: 472
- PDF: 497
- XML: 35
- Total: 1,004
- BibTeX: 35
- EndNote: 34
Cited
33 citations as recorded by crossref.
- MAX-DOAS observations of ship emissions in the North Sea A. Mahajan et al. 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.116761
- Effects of ship emissions on air quality in the Baltic Sea region simulated with three different chemistry transport models M. Karl et al. 10.5194/acp-19-7019-2019
- The impacts of ship emissions on ozone in eastern China X. Fu et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.166252
- Advances in air quality research – current and emerging challenges R. Sokhi et al. 10.5194/acp-22-4615-2022
- The impact of ship emissions on air quality and human health in the Gothenburg area – Part 1: 2012 emissions L. Tang et al. 10.5194/acp-20-7509-2020
- The Method to Decrease Emissions from Ships in Port Areas V. Paulauskas et al. 10.3390/su12114374
- Impact of a nitrogen emission control area (NECA) on the future air quality and nitrogen deposition to seawater in the Baltic Sea region M. Karl et al. 10.5194/acp-19-1721-2019
- Effects of vertical ship exhaust plume distributions on urban pollutant concentration – a sensitivity study with MITRAS v2.0 and EPISODE-CityChem v1.4 R. Badeke et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-4077-2022
- Significant reductions of urban daytime ozone by extremely high concentration NOX from ship’s emissions: A case study Z. Song et al. 10.1016/j.apr.2024.102142
- Model for Estimation of Fuel Consumption of Cruise Ships M. Simonsen et al. 10.3390/en11051059
- Parameterizing the vertical downward dispersion of ship exhaust gas in the near field R. Badeke et al. 10.5194/acp-21-5935-2021
- Sea Port SO2 Atmospheric Emissions Influence on Air Quality and Exposure at Veracruz, Mexico G. Fuentes García et al. 10.3390/atmos13121950
- Climate change and intensifying human use call for a monitoring upgrade of the Dutch North Sea A. Boon & J. Kromkamp 10.1016/j.seares.2022.102185
- Global assessment of shipping emissions in 2015 on a high spatial and temporal resolution L. Johansson et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2017.08.042
- Changes in ozone and PM2.5 in Europe during the period of 1990–2030: Role of reductions in land and ship emissions J. Jiang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140467
- Monitoring shipping emissions in the German Bight using MAX-DOAS measurements A. Seyler et al. 10.5194/acp-17-10997-2017
- Ozone source attribution in polluted European areas during summer 2017 as simulated with MECO(n) M. Kilian et al. 10.5194/acp-24-13503-2024
- The contribution of transport emissions to ozone mixing ratios and methane lifetime in 2015 and 2050 in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) M. Mertens et al. 10.5194/acp-24-12079-2024
- Emission Inventory for Maritime Shipping Emissions in the North and Baltic Sea F. Dettner & S. Hilpert 10.3390/data8050085
- Health costs and economic impact of wind assisted ship propulsion F. Ballini et al. 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2017.09.014
- Shipping nitrogen oxides recycling via isoprene nitrate amplifies forest ozone C. Lin et al. 10.1038/s43247-025-02413-y
- Shipping emissions in the Iberian Peninsula and the impacts on air quality R. Nunes et al. 10.5194/acp-20-9473-2020
- Perspectives on shipping emissions and their impacts on the surface ocean and lower atmosphere: An environmental-social-economic dimension Z. Shi et al. 10.1525/elementa.2023.00052
- Development of an integrated modelling-measurement system for near-real-time estimates of harbour activity impact to atmospheric pollution in coastal cities E. Merico et al. 10.1016/j.trd.2019.06.009
- Shipping emissions forecast in the Iberian Peninsula for 2050 impact on air quality, mortality and related costs R. Nunes et al. 10.1016/j.jhazmat.2025.139622
- Quantifying the contribution of shipping NOx emissions to the marine nitrogen inventory – a case study for the western Baltic Sea D. Neumann et al. 10.5194/os-16-115-2020
- Modelling CO2 emissions and mitigation potential of Northern European shipping F. Dettner & S. Hilpert 10.1016/j.trd.2023.103745
- Projection of ship emissions and their impact on air quality in 2030 in Yangtze River delta, China J. Zhao et al. 10.1016/j.envpol.2020.114643
- A New Perspective at the Ship-Air-Sea-Interface: The Environmental Impacts of Exhaust Gas Scrubber Discharge S. Endres et al. 10.3389/fmars.2018.00139
- Are contributions of emissions to ozone a matter of scale? – a study using MECO(n) (MESSy v2.50) M. Mertens et al. 10.5194/gmd-13-363-2020
- The impact of shipping emissions on air pollution in the greater North Sea region – Part 1: Current emissions and concentrations A. Aulinger et al. 10.5194/acp-16-739-2016
- Comparison of large-scale ship exhaust emissions across multiple resolutions: From annual to hourly data B. Goldsworthy et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2019.116829
- The impact of shipping emissions on air pollution in the Greater North Sea region – Part 1: Current emissions and concentrations A. Aulinger et al. 10.5194/acpd-15-11277-2015
32 citations as recorded by crossref.
- MAX-DOAS observations of ship emissions in the North Sea A. Mahajan et al. 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.116761
- Effects of ship emissions on air quality in the Baltic Sea region simulated with three different chemistry transport models M. Karl et al. 10.5194/acp-19-7019-2019
- The impacts of ship emissions on ozone in eastern China X. Fu et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.166252
- Advances in air quality research – current and emerging challenges R. Sokhi et al. 10.5194/acp-22-4615-2022
- The impact of ship emissions on air quality and human health in the Gothenburg area – Part 1: 2012 emissions L. Tang et al. 10.5194/acp-20-7509-2020
- The Method to Decrease Emissions from Ships in Port Areas V. Paulauskas et al. 10.3390/su12114374
- Impact of a nitrogen emission control area (NECA) on the future air quality and nitrogen deposition to seawater in the Baltic Sea region M. Karl et al. 10.5194/acp-19-1721-2019
- Effects of vertical ship exhaust plume distributions on urban pollutant concentration – a sensitivity study with MITRAS v2.0 and EPISODE-CityChem v1.4 R. Badeke et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-4077-2022
- Significant reductions of urban daytime ozone by extremely high concentration NOX from ship’s emissions: A case study Z. Song et al. 10.1016/j.apr.2024.102142
- Model for Estimation of Fuel Consumption of Cruise Ships M. Simonsen et al. 10.3390/en11051059
- Parameterizing the vertical downward dispersion of ship exhaust gas in the near field R. Badeke et al. 10.5194/acp-21-5935-2021
- Sea Port SO2 Atmospheric Emissions Influence on Air Quality and Exposure at Veracruz, Mexico G. Fuentes García et al. 10.3390/atmos13121950
- Climate change and intensifying human use call for a monitoring upgrade of the Dutch North Sea A. Boon & J. Kromkamp 10.1016/j.seares.2022.102185
- Global assessment of shipping emissions in 2015 on a high spatial and temporal resolution L. Johansson et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2017.08.042
- Changes in ozone and PM2.5 in Europe during the period of 1990–2030: Role of reductions in land and ship emissions J. Jiang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140467
- Monitoring shipping emissions in the German Bight using MAX-DOAS measurements A. Seyler et al. 10.5194/acp-17-10997-2017
- Ozone source attribution in polluted European areas during summer 2017 as simulated with MECO(n) M. Kilian et al. 10.5194/acp-24-13503-2024
- The contribution of transport emissions to ozone mixing ratios and methane lifetime in 2015 and 2050 in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) M. Mertens et al. 10.5194/acp-24-12079-2024
- Emission Inventory for Maritime Shipping Emissions in the North and Baltic Sea F. Dettner & S. Hilpert 10.3390/data8050085
- Health costs and economic impact of wind assisted ship propulsion F. Ballini et al. 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2017.09.014
- Shipping nitrogen oxides recycling via isoprene nitrate amplifies forest ozone C. Lin et al. 10.1038/s43247-025-02413-y
- Shipping emissions in the Iberian Peninsula and the impacts on air quality R. Nunes et al. 10.5194/acp-20-9473-2020
- Perspectives on shipping emissions and their impacts on the surface ocean and lower atmosphere: An environmental-social-economic dimension Z. Shi et al. 10.1525/elementa.2023.00052
- Development of an integrated modelling-measurement system for near-real-time estimates of harbour activity impact to atmospheric pollution in coastal cities E. Merico et al. 10.1016/j.trd.2019.06.009
- Shipping emissions forecast in the Iberian Peninsula for 2050 impact on air quality, mortality and related costs R. Nunes et al. 10.1016/j.jhazmat.2025.139622
- Quantifying the contribution of shipping NOx emissions to the marine nitrogen inventory – a case study for the western Baltic Sea D. Neumann et al. 10.5194/os-16-115-2020
- Modelling CO2 emissions and mitigation potential of Northern European shipping F. Dettner & S. Hilpert 10.1016/j.trd.2023.103745
- Projection of ship emissions and their impact on air quality in 2030 in Yangtze River delta, China J. Zhao et al. 10.1016/j.envpol.2020.114643
- A New Perspective at the Ship-Air-Sea-Interface: The Environmental Impacts of Exhaust Gas Scrubber Discharge S. Endres et al. 10.3389/fmars.2018.00139
- Are contributions of emissions to ozone a matter of scale? – a study using MECO(n) (MESSy v2.50) M. Mertens et al. 10.5194/gmd-13-363-2020
- The impact of shipping emissions on air pollution in the greater North Sea region – Part 1: Current emissions and concentrations A. Aulinger et al. 10.5194/acp-16-739-2016
- Comparison of large-scale ship exhaust emissions across multiple resolutions: From annual to hourly data B. Goldsworthy et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2019.116829
Saved (preprint)
Latest update: 22 Oct 2025
Short summary
Scenarios for future shipping emissions in the North Sea were developed. Compared to today, the contribution of shipping to the nitrogen dioxide and ozone concentrations will increase due to the expected enhanced traffic by more than 20 % and 5 %, respectively, by 2030 if no regulation for further emission reductions is implemented. PM2.5 will decrease slightly because the sulfur content in ship fuels will be reduced.
Scenarios for future shipping emissions in the North Sea were developed. Compared to today, the...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint