Articles | Volume 16, issue 24
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-15485-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-15485-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
An upper-branch Brewer–Dobson circulation index for attribution of stratospheric variability and improved ozone and temperature trend analysis
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Universitaetstrasse 16, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos World Radiation Centre, Dorfstrasse 33, 7260 Davos Dorf, Switzerland
Aleš Kuchař
Department of Atmospheric Physics, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, Charles University, V Holesovickach 2, 180 00 Prague 8, Czech Republic
Eugene V. Rozanov
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Universitaetstrasse 16, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos World Radiation Centre, Dorfstrasse 33, 7260 Davos Dorf, Switzerland
Johannes Staehelin
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Universitaetstrasse 16, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
Fiona Tummon
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Universitaetstrasse 16, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
Anne K. Smith
National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado
Timofei Sukhodolov
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Universitaetstrasse 16, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos World Radiation Centre, Dorfstrasse 33, 7260 Davos Dorf, Switzerland
Andrea Stenke
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Universitaetstrasse 16, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
Laura Revell
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Universitaetstrasse 16, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
Bodeker Scientific, Alexandra, New Zealand
Ancelin Coulon
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Universitaetstrasse 16, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
Werner Schmutz
Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos World Radiation Centre, Dorfstrasse 33, 7260 Davos Dorf, Switzerland
Thomas Peter
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Universitaetstrasse 16, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
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Cited
6 citations as recorded by crossref.
- A dynamics-based separation of deep and shallow stratospheric circulation branches R. Baikhadzhaev et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-12753-2025
- The Upper Stratospheric Solar Cycle Ozone Response W. Ball et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL081501
- The future ozone trends in changing climate simulated with SOCOLv4 A. Karagodin-Doyennel et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-4801-2023
- Modeling of the middle atmosphere response to 27-day solar irradiance variability T. Sukhodolov et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2016.12.004
- Stratospheric injection of solid particles reduces side effects on circulation and climate compared to SO2 injections F. Stefanetti et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ad9f93
- The Role of Ozone Depletion in the Lack of Cooling in the Antarctic Upper Stratosphere during Austral Winter X. Ma & L. Wang https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-022-2047-9
6 citations as recorded by crossref.
- A dynamics-based separation of deep and shallow stratospheric circulation branches R. Baikhadzhaev et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-12753-2025
- The Upper Stratospheric Solar Cycle Ozone Response W. Ball et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL081501
- The future ozone trends in changing climate simulated with SOCOLv4 A. Karagodin-Doyennel et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-4801-2023
- Modeling of the middle atmosphere response to 27-day solar irradiance variability T. Sukhodolov et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2016.12.004
- Stratospheric injection of solid particles reduces side effects on circulation and climate compared to SO2 injections F. Stefanetti et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ad9f93
- The Role of Ozone Depletion in the Lack of Cooling in the Antarctic Upper Stratosphere during Austral Winter X. Ma & L. Wang https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-022-2047-9
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 09 Jun 2026
Short summary
We find monthly, mid-latitude temperature changes above 40 km are related to ozone and temperature variations throughout the middle atmosphere. We develop an index to represent this atmospheric variability. In statistical analysis, the index can account for up to 60 % of variability in tropical temperature and ozone above 27 km. The uncertainties can be reduced by up to 35 % and 20 % in temperature and ozone, respectively. This index is an important tool to quantify current and future ozone recovery.
We find monthly, mid-latitude temperature changes above 40 km are related to ozone and...
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