Articles | Volume 15, issue 14
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-8115-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-8115-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
23 Jul 2015
Research article |
| 23 Jul 2015
MACC regional multi-model ensemble simulations of birch pollen dispersion in Europe
Finnish Meteorological Institute, Erik Palmenin Aukio 1, Helsinki, Finland
U. Berger
Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
M. Prank
Finnish Meteorological Institute, Erik Palmenin Aukio 1, Helsinki, Finland
Finnish Meteorological Institute, Erik Palmenin Aukio 1, Helsinki, Finland
J. Arteta
Groupe d'Étude de l'Atmosphère Méréorologique/Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, CNRS-Météo-France, Toulouse, France
J. Belmonte
Institut de Ciència i Tecnologia Ambientals, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
K.-C. Bergmann
Foundation German Pollen Information Service, Berlin, Germany
F. Chéroux
Groupe d'Étude de l'Atmosphère Méréorologique/Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, CNRS-Météo-France, Toulouse, France
H. Elbern
Rhenish Institute for Environmental Research at the University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany
E. Friese
Rhenish Institute for Environmental Research at the University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany
C. Galan
University of Cordoba, Cordoba, Spain
R. Gehrig
Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology Meteo Swiss, Zurich, Switzerland
D. Khvorostyanov
Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, CNRS, Ecole Polytechnique, Ecole Normale Supérieure, Université P.M. Curie, Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées, Palaiseau, France
R. Kranenburg
TNO, Utrecht, the Netherlands
U. Kumar
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, the Netherlands
V. Marécal
Groupe d'Étude de l'Atmosphère Méréorologique/Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, CNRS-Météo-France, Toulouse, France
F. Meleux
INERIS, Institut National de l'Environnement Industriel et des Risques, Verneuil en Halatte, France
Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, CNRS, Ecole Polytechnique, Ecole Normale Supérieure, Université P.M. Curie, Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées, Palaiseau, France
A.-M. Pessi
University of Turku, Turku, Finland
L. Robertson
SMHI, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden
O. Ritenberga
University of Latvia, Riga, Latvia
V. Rodinkova
VNMU, Vinnitsa National Medical University, Vinnitsa, Ukraine
A. Saarto
University of Turku, Turku, Finland
A. Segers
TNO, Utrecht, the Netherlands
E. Severova
Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia
I. Sauliene
Siauliai University, Siauliai, Lithuania
P. Siljamo
Finnish Meteorological Institute, Erik Palmenin Aukio 1, Helsinki, Finland
B. M. Steensen
MET Norway, Oslo, Norway
E. Teinemaa
Estonian Environmental Research Centre, Tallinn, Estonia
M. Thibaudon
RNSA, Brussieu, France
V.-H. Peuch
European Centre of Medium-Range Weather Forecast, Reading, UK
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Latest update: 08 Nov 2025
Short summary
The paper presents the first ensemble modelling experiment for forecasting the atmospheric dispersion of birch pollen in Europe. The study included 7 models of MACC-ENS tested over the season of 2010 and applied for 2013 in forecasting and reanalysis modes. The results were compared with observations in 11 countries, members of European Aeroallergen Network. The models successfully reproduced the timing of the unusually late season of 2013 but had more difficulties with absolute concentration.
The paper presents the first ensemble modelling experiment for forecasting the atmospheric...
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