Articles | Volume 26, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-7677-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-7677-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Multi-model analysis of the impact of water vapor on the radiative forcing of volcanic aerosols after the 2022 Hunga Eruption
Ilaria Quaglia
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Daniele Visioni
NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA
Ewa M. Bednarz
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), University of Colorado, Boulder, USA
NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, USA
Yunqian Zhu
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), University of Colorado, Boulder, USA
NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, USA
Georgiy Stenchikov
Physical Science and Engineering Division, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
Valentina Aquila
American University, Department of Environmental Science, Washington, DC, USA
Cheng-Cheng Liu
Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA
Graham W. Mann
School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
Yifeng Peng
Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
Takashi Sekiya
Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Yokohama, Japan
Simone Tilmes
NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Xinyue Wang
Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, USA
Shingo Watanabe
Advanced Institute for Marine-Ecosystem Change, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan
Pengfei Yu
Jinan University, Guangzhou, China
Jun Zhang
NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, USA
Zhihong Zhuo
Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Quebec in Montreal, Montreal (Quebec), Canada
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Short summary
On January 15, 2022, the Hunga volcano eruption released unprecedented amounts of water vapor into the atmosphere alongside a modest amount of SO2. In this work we analyse results from multiple Earth system models. The models agree that the eruption led to small negative radiative forcing from sulfate aerosols and that the contribution from water vapor was minimal. Therefore, the Hunga eruption cannot explain the exceptional surface warming observed in 2023.
On January 15, 2022, the Hunga volcano eruption released unprecedented amounts of water vapor...
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