Articles | Volume 25, issue 19
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-11611-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-11611-2025
Research article
 | 
30 Sep 2025
Research article |  | 30 Sep 2025

An uncertain future for the climate and health impacts of anthropogenic aerosols in Africa

Joe Adabouk Amooli, Marianne T. Lund, Sourangsu Chowdhury, Gunnar Myhre, Ane N. Johansen, Bjørn H. Samset, and Daniel M. Westervelt

Data sets

OsloCTM3 outputs J. A. Amooli et al. https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.28030610

Model code and software

OsloCTM3 NordicESMhub https://github.com/NordicESMhub/OsloCTM3

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Short summary
We analyze various projections of African aerosol emissions and their potential impacts on climate and public health. We find that future emissions vary widely across emission projections, with differences in sectoral emission distributions. Using the Oslo chemical transport model, we show that air pollution exposure in some regions of Africa could increase significantly by 2050, increasing pollution-related deaths, with most scenarios projecting aerosol-induced warming over sub-Saharan Africa.
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