Articles | Volume 23, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-4801-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-4801-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
24 Apr 2023
Research article |
| 24 Apr 2023
| 24 Apr 2023
The future ozone trends in changing climate simulated with SOCOLv4
Arseniy Karagodin-Doyennel
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos/World Radiation Center (PMOD/WRC), Davos, Switzerland
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science (IAC), ETH, Zurich, Switzerland
Eugene Rozanov
Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos/World Radiation Center (PMOD/WRC), Davos, Switzerland
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science (IAC), ETH, Zurich, Switzerland
Ozone Layer and Upper Atmosphere Research Laboratory (O3Lab), Saint Petersburg State University, Saint Petersburg, Russia
Timofei Sukhodolov
Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos/World Radiation Center (PMOD/WRC), Davos, Switzerland
Ozone Layer and Upper Atmosphere Research Laboratory (O3Lab), Saint Petersburg State University, Saint Petersburg, Russia
Tatiana Egorova
Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos/World Radiation Center (PMOD/WRC), Davos, Switzerland
Jan Sedlacek
Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos/World Radiation Center (PMOD/WRC), Davos, Switzerland
Thomas Peter
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science (IAC), ETH, Zurich, Switzerland
Viewed
Total article views: 6,030 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 02 Dec 2022)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,810 | 1,067 | 153 | 6,030 | 153 | 257 |
- HTML: 4,810
- PDF: 1,067
- XML: 153
- Total: 6,030
- BibTeX: 153
- EndNote: 257
Total article views: 4,793 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 24 Apr 2023)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,067 | 640 | 86 | 4,793 | 86 | 123 |
- HTML: 4,067
- PDF: 640
- XML: 86
- Total: 4,793
- BibTeX: 86
- EndNote: 123
Total article views: 1,237 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 02 Dec 2022)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 743 | 427 | 67 | 1,237 | 67 | 134 |
- HTML: 743
- PDF: 427
- XML: 67
- Total: 1,237
- BibTeX: 67
- EndNote: 134
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 6,030 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 6,030 with geography defined
and 0 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 4,793 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 4,793 with geography defined
and 0 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 1,237 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 1,235 with geography defined
and 2 with unknown origin.
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Cited
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Photochemistry of the Atmosphere: Multistability, Nonlinear Oscillations, and Waves (Review) M. Kulikov et al.
- Near-future rocket launches could slow ozone recovery L. Revell et al.
- Stratospheric injection of solid particles reduces side effects on circulation and climate compared to SO2 injections F. Stefanetti et al.
- An Investigation of the SOCOLv4 Model’s Suitability for Predicting the Future Evolution of the Total Column Ozone G. Nerobelov et al.
- Russian Studies of Atmospheric Ozone and Its Precursors in 2019–2022 V. Andreev et al.
- Ozone, drought, photosynthesis, and yield: How would soybean face a Mad Max scenario? M. Teixeira
- Environmental & health impacts of ultraviolet radiation: current trends and mitigation strategies G. Mmbando & K. Ngongolo
- The Effect of Climate Change on Allergen and Irritant Exposure S. Kim et al.
- Tropospheric and Stratospheric Ozone: Scientific History and Shifts in Early Perspectives Regarding the Impact on Human Health M. Alvim-Ferraz et al.
- Drought does not mitigate reductions in soybean photosynthesis and yield caused by elevated ozone D. Martin et al.
- Global climate justice and the future of air quality co-benefits in low-income and middle-income countries: an energy, climate, and health modelling study N. Scovronick et al.
- Cyclic and Multi-Year Characterization of Surface Ozone at the WMO/GAW Coastal Station of Lamezia Terme (Calabria, Southern Italy): Implications for Local Environment, Cultural Heritage, and Human Health F. D’Amico et al.
- Study of Ozone Variability over Russia by Means of Measurements and Modeling Y. Virolainen et al.
- Continuing benefits of the Montreal Protocol and protection of the stratospheric ozone layer for human health and the environment S. Madronich et al.
- Critical transition of urban ozone formation regime in the North China Plain L. Xue et al.
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Photochemistry of the Atmosphere: Multistability, Nonlinear Oscillations, and Waves (Review) M. Kulikov et al.
- Near-future rocket launches could slow ozone recovery L. Revell et al.
- Stratospheric injection of solid particles reduces side effects on circulation and climate compared to SO2 injections F. Stefanetti et al.
- An Investigation of the SOCOLv4 Model’s Suitability for Predicting the Future Evolution of the Total Column Ozone G. Nerobelov et al.
- Russian Studies of Atmospheric Ozone and Its Precursors in 2019–2022 V. Andreev et al.
- Ozone, drought, photosynthesis, and yield: How would soybean face a Mad Max scenario? M. Teixeira
- Environmental & health impacts of ultraviolet radiation: current trends and mitigation strategies G. Mmbando & K. Ngongolo
- The Effect of Climate Change on Allergen and Irritant Exposure S. Kim et al.
- Tropospheric and Stratospheric Ozone: Scientific History and Shifts in Early Perspectives Regarding the Impact on Human Health M. Alvim-Ferraz et al.
- Drought does not mitigate reductions in soybean photosynthesis and yield caused by elevated ozone D. Martin et al.
- Global climate justice and the future of air quality co-benefits in low-income and middle-income countries: an energy, climate, and health modelling study N. Scovronick et al.
- Cyclic and Multi-Year Characterization of Surface Ozone at the WMO/GAW Coastal Station of Lamezia Terme (Calabria, Southern Italy): Implications for Local Environment, Cultural Heritage, and Human Health F. D’Amico et al.
- Study of Ozone Variability over Russia by Means of Measurements and Modeling Y. Virolainen et al.
- Continuing benefits of the Montreal Protocol and protection of the stratospheric ozone layer for human health and the environment S. Madronich et al.
- Critical transition of urban ozone formation regime in the North China Plain L. Xue et al.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 20 May 2026
Short summary
The future ozone evolution in SOCOLv4 simulations under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios has been assessed for the period 2015–2099 and subperiods using the DLM approach. The SOCOLv4 projects a decline in tropospheric ozone in the 2030s in SSP2-4.5 and in the 2060s in SSP5-8.5. The stratospheric ozone increase is ~3 times higher in SSP5-8.5, confirming the important role of GHGs in ozone evolution. We also showed that tropospheric ozone strongly impacts the total column in the tropics.
The future ozone evolution in SOCOLv4 simulations under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios has been...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint