Articles | Volume 21, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-5015-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-5015-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
31 Mar 2021
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 31 Mar 2021
| 31 Mar 2021
Evaluating stratospheric ozone and water vapour changes in CMIP6 models from 1850 to 2100
Department of Chemistry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany
Antara Banerjee
NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Chemical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO, USA
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA
Ramiro Checa-Garcia
Laboratoire des sciences du climat et de l'environnement, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Gabriel Chiodo
Department of Environmental Systems Science, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich, Switzerland
Department of Applied Physics and Applied Math, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
Sean Davis
NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Chemical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO, USA
Veronika Eyring
Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany
University of Bremen, Institute of Environmental Physics (IUP), Bremen, Germany
Paul T. Griffiths
Department of Chemistry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
Olaf Morgenstern
National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Wellington, New Zealand
Peer Nowack
Grantham Institute, Department of Physics and the Data Science Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
Climatic Research Unit, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK
Guang Zeng
National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Wellington, New Zealand
Jiankai Zhang
Key Laboratory for Semi-Arid Climate Change of the Ministry of Education, College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, China
Greg Bodeker
Bodeker Scientific, 42 Russell Street, Alexandra, New Zealand
School of Geography, Environment and Earth Sciences, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand
Susannah Burrows
Atmospheric Sciences & Global Change Division, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA
Philip Cameron-Smith
Atmosphere, Earth and Energy Division, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, USA
David Cugnet
Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Sorbonne Université/CNRS / École Normale Supérieure – PSL Research University/École Polytechnique – IPP, Paris, France
Christopher Danek
Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Sciences, Bremerhaven, Germany
Makoto Deushi
Meteorological Research Institute (MRI), Tsukuba, Japan
Larry W. Horowitz
GFDL/NOAA, Princeton, NJ, USA
Anne Kubin
Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research, Leipzig, Germany
Lijuan Li
State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Gerrit Lohmann
Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Sciences, Bremerhaven, Germany
Martine Michou
CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
Michael J. Mills
Atmospheric Chemistry Observations and Modeling Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Pierre Nabat
CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
Dirk Olivié
Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway
Sungsu Park
Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea
Øyvind Seland
Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway
Jens Stoll
Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research, Leipzig, Germany
Karl-Hermann Wieners
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Tongwen Wu
Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China
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Short summary
Stratospheric ozone and water vapour are key components of the Earth system; changes to both have important impacts on global and regional climate. We evaluate changes to these species from 1850 to 2100 in the new generation of CMIP6 models. There is good agreement between the multi-model mean and observations, although there is substantial variation between the individual models. The future evolution of both ozone and water vapour is strongly dependent on the assumed future emissions scenario.
Stratospheric ozone and water vapour are key components of the Earth system; changes to both...
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