Articles | Volume 21, issue 17 
            
                
                    
            
            
            https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-13571-2021
                    © Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under 
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
                the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-13571-2021
                    © Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under 
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
                the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
The Brewer–Dobson circulation in CMIP6
                                            Earth Physics and Astrophysics Department, Universidad Complutense de Madrid,  Madrid, Spain
                                        
                                    Natalia Calvo
                                            Earth Physics and Astrophysics Department, Universidad Complutense de Madrid,  Madrid, Spain
                                        
                                    Samuel Benito-Barca
                                            Earth Physics and Astrophysics Department, Universidad Complutense de Madrid,  Madrid, Spain
                                        
                                    Hella Garny
                                            Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany
                                        
                                    Steven C. Hardiman
                                            Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom
                                        
                                    
                                            NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, USA
                                        
                                    
                                            Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA
                                        
                                    Martin B. Andrews
                                            Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom
                                        
                                    Neal Butchart
                                            Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom
                                        
                                    Rolando Garcia
                                            National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
                                        
                                    Clara Orbe
                                            NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, USA
                                        
                                    David Saint-Martin
                                            Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, Toulouse, France
                                        
                                    Shingo Watanabe
                                            Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Yokohama, Japan
                                        
                                    Kohei Yoshida
                                            Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Japan
                                        
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38 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Global biosphere primary productivity changes during the past eight glacial cycles J. Yang et al. 10.1126/science.abj8826
- The Dominant Role of the Summer Hemisphere in Subtropical Lower Stratospheric Wave Drag Trends M. Abalos et al. 10.1029/2023GL105827
- Predicting suitable habitats and conservation areas for Suaeda salsa using MaxEnt and Marxan models Y. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.isci.2025.112933
- Comment on “Observation of large and all-season ozone losses over the tropics” [AIP Adv. 12, 075006 (2022)] M. Chipperfield et al. 10.1063/5.0121723
- Climate, Variability, and Climate Sensitivity of “Middle Atmosphere” Chemistry Configurations of the Community Earth System Model Version 2, Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model Version 6 (CESM2(WACCM6)) N. Davis et al. 10.1029/2022MS003579
- Observed changes in stratospheric circulation: decreasing lifetime of N2O, 2005–2021 M. Prather et al. 10.5194/acp-23-843-2023
- Influence of stratosphere-troposphere exchange on long-term trends of surface ozone in CMIP6 Y. Li et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.107086
- HSW-V v1.0: localized injections of interactive volcanic aerosols and their climate impacts in a simple general circulation model J. Hollowed et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-5913-2024
- Stratospheric Aerosol Intervention experiment for the Chemistry–Climate Model Initiative S. Tilmes et al. 10.5194/acp-25-6001-2025
- Hemispheric asymmetry in recent stratospheric age of air changes K. Dubé et al. 10.5194/acp-25-1433-2025
- Changes in Stratospheric Climate and Age‐Of‐Air in Recent GEOS Systems Since MERRA‐2 C. Orbe et al. 10.1029/2024MS004442
- Analysis of the global atmospheric background sulfur budget in a multi-model framework C. Brodowsky et al. 10.5194/acp-24-5513-2024
- Age of air from in situ trace gas measurements: insights from a new technique E. Ray et al. 10.5194/acp-24-12425-2024
- Stratosphere‐Troposphere Exchanges of Air Mass and Ozone Concentrations From ERA5 and MERRA2: Annual‐Mean Climatology, Seasonal Cycle, and Interannual Variability M. Wang et al. 10.1029/2023JD039270
- Long-term variability of human health-related solar ultraviolet-B radiation doses from the 1980s to the end of the 21st century C. Zerefos et al. 10.1152/physrev.00031.2022
- Changes in Stratosphere‐Troposphere Exchange of Air Mass and Ozone Concentration in CCMI Models From 1960 to 2099 M. Wang & Q. Fu 10.1029/2023JD038487
- Injection strategy – a driver of atmospheric circulation and ozone response to stratospheric aerosol geoengineering E. Bednarz et al. 10.5194/acp-23-13665-2023
- Tropospheric Expansion Under Global Warming Reduces Tropical Lower Stratospheric Ozone A. Match & E. Gerber 10.1029/2022GL099463
- Weakening of the tropical tropopause layer cold trap with global warming S. Bourguet & M. Linz 10.5194/acp-23-7447-2023
- The Antarctic contribution to 21st-century sea-level rise predicted by the UK Earth System Model with an interactive ice sheet A. Siahaan et al. 10.5194/tc-16-4053-2022
- The response of the North Pacific jet and stratosphere-to-troposphere transport of ozone over western North America to RCP8.5 climate forcing D. Elsbury et al. 10.5194/acp-23-5101-2023
- Semi-empirical estimates of stratospheric circulation and the lifetimes of chlorofluorocarbons and carbon tetrachloride S. Bourguet et al. 10.1038/s43247-025-02500-0
- Hemispheric asymmetries in recent changes in the stratospheric circulation F. Ploeger & H. Garny 10.5194/acp-22-5559-2022
- Weakening of springtime Arctic ozone depletion with climate change M. Friedel et al. 10.5194/acp-23-10235-2023
- Arctic stratosphere changes in the 21st century in the Earth system model SOCOLv4 P. Vargin et al. 10.3389/feart.2023.1214418
- Arctic Stratosphere Circulation Changes in the 21st Century in Simulations of INM CM5 P. Vargin et al. 10.3390/atmos13010025
- Why the lower stratosphere cools when the troposphere warms J. Lin & K. Emanuel 10.1073/pnas.2319228121
- The impact of different CO2 and ODS levels on the mean state and variability of the springtime Arctic stratosphere J. Kult-Herdin et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acb0e6
- Evidence of localized H₂O increases and O₃ recovery in the Antarctic lower stratospheric vortex: MLS observations and BDC variability during late winter to spring J. Chang et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.108428
- MAP-IO: an atmospheric and marine observatory program on board Marion Dufresne over the Southern Ocean P. Tulet et al. 10.5194/essd-16-3821-2024
Latest update: 30 Oct 2025
Short summary
                    The stratospheric Brewer–Dobson circulation (BDC), responsible for transporting mass, tracers and heat globally in the stratosphere, is evaluated in a set of state-of-the-art climate models. The acceleration of the BDC in response to increasing greenhouse gases is most robust in the lower stratosphere. At higher levels, the well-known inconsistency between model and observational BDC trends can be partly reconciled by accounting for limited sampling and large uncertainties in the observations.
                    The stratospheric Brewer–Dobson circulation (BDC), responsible for transporting mass, tracers...
                    
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