Articles | Volume 21, issue 13
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 10413–10438, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-10413-2021

Special issue: Arctic climate, air quality, and health impacts from short-lived...

Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 10413–10438, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-10413-2021

Research article 09 Jul 2021

Research article | 09 Jul 2021

Present and future aerosol impacts on Arctic climate change in the GISS-E2.1 Earth system model

Ulas Im et al.

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Short summary
Future (2015–2050) simulations of the aerosol burdens and their radiative forcing and climate impacts over the Arctic under various emission projections show that although the Arctic aerosol burdens are projected to decrease significantly by 10 to 60 %, regardless of the magnitude of aerosol reductions, surface air temperatures will continue to increase by 1.9–2.6 ℃, while sea-ice extent will continue to decrease, implying reductions of greenhouse gases are necessary to mitigate climate change.
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