Articles | Volume 21, issue 13
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-10413-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-10413-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
09 Jul 2021
Research article |
| 09 Jul 2021
| 09 Jul 2021
Present and future aerosol impacts on Arctic climate change in the GISS-E2.1 Earth system model
Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark
Interdisciplinary Centre for Climate Change, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark
Kostas Tsigaridis
Center for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, USA
Gregory Faluvegi
Center for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, USA
Peter L. Langen
Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark
Interdisciplinary Centre for Climate Change, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark
Joshua P. French
Department of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences, University of Colorado Denver, Denver, USA
Rashed Mahmood
Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain
Manu A. Thomas
Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden
Knut von Salzen
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada
Daniel C. Thomas
Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark
Interdisciplinary Centre for Climate Change, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark
Cynthia H. Whaley
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada
Zbigniew Klimont
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria
Henrik Skov
Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark
Interdisciplinary Centre for Climate Change, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark
Jørgen Brandt
Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark
Interdisciplinary Centre for Climate Change, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark
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Cited
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Retrieval of aerosol optical depth over the Arctic cryosphere during spring and summer using satellite observations B. Swain et al. 10.5194/amt-17-359-2024
- Model evaluation of short-lived climate forcers for the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme: a multi-species, multi-model study C. Whaley et al. 10.5194/acp-22-5775-2022
- Spatiotemporal Variations in Summertime Arctic Aerosol Optical Depth Caused by Synoptic‐Scale Atmospheric Circulation in Three Reanalyses A. Yamagami et al. 10.1029/2022JD038007
- Present-day and future PM2.5 and O3-related global and regional premature mortality in the EVAv6.0 health impact assessment model U. Im et al. 10.1016/j.envres.2022.114702
- Effects of aerosol emission changes on sea ice concentration and thickness in the Russian Arctic during the 2020 lockdown D. Panicker et al. 10.2166/wcc.2023.253
- Application of geoinformation systems in sounding the ecological and economic network of the urban environment in the northern territories N. Mamaeva & S. Petrov 10.31660/0445-0108-2023-1-97-107
- Long range transport of South and East Asian anthropogenic aerosols counteracting Arctic warming S. Fadnavis et al. 10.1038/s41612-024-00633-1
- Thaw-induced impacts on land and water in discontinuous permafrost: A review of the Taiga Plains and Taiga Shield, northwestern Canada S. Wright et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.104104
- Towards an increasingly biased view on Arctic change E. López-Blanco et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01903-1
- Aerosol impacts on the entrainment efficiency of Arctic mixed-phase convection in a simulated air mass over open water J. Chylik et al. 10.5194/acp-23-4903-2023
- Present-Day and Future Pm2.5 and O3-Related Global and Regional Premature Mortality in the Evav6.0 Health Impact Assessment Model u. im et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4094648
- Assessment of the Spatial Structure of Black Carbon Concentrations in the Near-Surface Arctic Atmosphere E. Nagovitsyna et al. 10.3390/atmos14010139
- Assessing the climate and air quality effects of future aerosol mitigation in India using a global climate model combined with statistical downscaling T. Miinalainen et al. 10.5194/acp-23-3471-2023
- Increased projected changes in quasi-resonant amplification and persistent summer weather extremes in the latest multimodel climate projections S. Guimarães et al. 10.1038/s41598-024-72787-0
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Retrieval of aerosol optical depth over the Arctic cryosphere during spring and summer using satellite observations B. Swain et al. 10.5194/amt-17-359-2024
- Model evaluation of short-lived climate forcers for the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme: a multi-species, multi-model study C. Whaley et al. 10.5194/acp-22-5775-2022
- Spatiotemporal Variations in Summertime Arctic Aerosol Optical Depth Caused by Synoptic‐Scale Atmospheric Circulation in Three Reanalyses A. Yamagami et al. 10.1029/2022JD038007
- Present-day and future PM2.5 and O3-related global and regional premature mortality in the EVAv6.0 health impact assessment model U. Im et al. 10.1016/j.envres.2022.114702
- Effects of aerosol emission changes on sea ice concentration and thickness in the Russian Arctic during the 2020 lockdown D. Panicker et al. 10.2166/wcc.2023.253
- Application of geoinformation systems in sounding the ecological and economic network of the urban environment in the northern territories N. Mamaeva & S. Petrov 10.31660/0445-0108-2023-1-97-107
- Long range transport of South and East Asian anthropogenic aerosols counteracting Arctic warming S. Fadnavis et al. 10.1038/s41612-024-00633-1
- Thaw-induced impacts on land and water in discontinuous permafrost: A review of the Taiga Plains and Taiga Shield, northwestern Canada S. Wright et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.104104
- Towards an increasingly biased view on Arctic change E. López-Blanco et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01903-1
- Aerosol impacts on the entrainment efficiency of Arctic mixed-phase convection in a simulated air mass over open water J. Chylik et al. 10.5194/acp-23-4903-2023
- Present-Day and Future Pm2.5 and O3-Related Global and Regional Premature Mortality in the Evav6.0 Health Impact Assessment Model u. im et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4094648
- Assessment of the Spatial Structure of Black Carbon Concentrations in the Near-Surface Arctic Atmosphere E. Nagovitsyna et al. 10.3390/atmos14010139
- Assessing the climate and air quality effects of future aerosol mitigation in India using a global climate model combined with statistical downscaling T. Miinalainen et al. 10.5194/acp-23-3471-2023
- Increased projected changes in quasi-resonant amplification and persistent summer weather extremes in the latest multimodel climate projections S. Guimarães et al. 10.1038/s41598-024-72787-0
Latest update: 22 Nov 2024
Short summary
Future (2015–2050) simulations of the aerosol burdens and their radiative forcing and climate impacts over the Arctic under various emission projections show that although the Arctic aerosol burdens are projected to decrease significantly by 10 to 60 %, regardless of the magnitude of aerosol reductions, surface air temperatures will continue to increase by 1.9–2.6 ℃, while sea-ice extent will continue to decrease, implying reductions of greenhouse gases are necessary to mitigate climate change.
Future (2015–2050) simulations of the aerosol burdens and their radiative forcing and climate...
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