Articles | Volume 20, issue 24
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-16023-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-16023-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
22 Dec 2020
Research article |
| 22 Dec 2020
| 22 Dec 2020
Bias in CMIP6 models as compared to observed regional dimming and brightening
Kine Onsum Moseid
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Research Department, Oslo, Norway
Michael Schulz
Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Research Department, Oslo, Norway
University of Oslo,Department of Geosciences, Section for Meteorology and Oceanography, Oslo, Norway
Trude Storelvmo
University of Oslo,Department of Geosciences, Section for Meteorology and Oceanography, Oslo, Norway
Ingeborg Rian Julsrud
University of Oslo,Department of Geosciences, Section for Meteorology and Oceanography, Oslo, Norway
Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Research Department, Oslo, Norway
Dirk Olivié
Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Research Department, Oslo, Norway
Pierre Nabat
Centre National de Recherches Meteorologiques (CNRM), Universite de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
Martin Wild
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH), Zurich, Switzerland
Jason N. S. Cole
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment Canada, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada
Toshihiko Takemura
Climate Change Science Section, Research Institute for Applied Mechanics, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
Naga Oshima
Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
Susanne E. Bauer
Center for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, USA
Guillaume Gastineau
LOCEAN, IPSL, Sorbonne Université, IRD, MNHN, CNRS, Paris, France
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- Uncertainties in the global and continental surface solar radiation variations: inter-comparison of in-situ observations, reanalyses, and model simulations B. Jiao et al. 10.1007/s00382-022-06222-3
- Using Ice Cores to Evaluate CMIP6 Aerosol Concentrations Over the Historical Era K. Moseid et al. 10.1029/2021JD036105
- Are Northern Hemisphere boreal forest fires more sensitive to future aerosol mitigation than to greenhouse gas–driven warming? R. Allen et al. 10.1126/sciadv.adl4007
- Disentangling Aerosol and Cloud Effects on Dimming and Brightening in Observations and CMIP6 I. Julsrud et al. 10.1029/2021JD035476
- Implications of differences between recent anthropogenic aerosol emission inventories for diagnosed AOD and radiative forcing from 1990 to 2019 M. Lund et al. 10.5194/acp-23-6647-2023
- Global warming at near-constant tropospheric relative humidity is supported by observations H. Douville et al. 10.1038/s43247-022-00561-z
- On the Effect of Historical SST Patterns on Radiative Feedback T. Andrews et al. 10.1029/2022JD036675
- Global trends in downward surface solar radiation from spatial interpolated ground observations during 1961-2019 M. Yuan et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0165.1
- Evaluation of surface solar radiation trends over China since the 1960s in the CMIP6 models and potential impact of aerosol emissions Z. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105991
- Uncertainty in Aerosol Optical Depth From Modern Aerosol‐Climate Models, Reanalyses, and Satellite Products A. Vogel et al. 10.1029/2021JD035483
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- The Influence of Natural and Anthropogenic Forcing on Water and Energy Balance and on Photosynthesis J. Song et al. 10.3390/land10111151
- Comparison of CMIP6 and CMIP5 models in simulating mean and extreme precipitation over East Africa B. Ayugi et al. 10.1002/joc.7207
- The Role of Irrigation Expansion on Historical Climate Change: Insights From CMIP6 A. Al‐Yaari et al. 10.1029/2022EF002859
- Using estimated radiation in crop models amplified the negative impacts of climate variability on maize and winter wheat yields in China Z. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.108914
- Internal Variability of All‐Sky and Clear‐Sky Surface Solar Radiation on Decadal Timescales B. Chtirkova et al. 10.1029/2021JD036332
- Constrained future brightening of solar radiation and its implication for China's solar power Y. He et al. 10.1093/nsr/nwac242
- Evaluation and projection of mean surface temperature using CMIP6 models over East Africa B. Ayugi et al. 10.1016/j.jafrearsci.2021.104226
- Large Differences in Diffuse Solar Radiation Among Current-Generation Reanalysis and Satellite-Derived Products T. Chakraborty & X. Lee 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0979.1
- Air pollution and soiling implications for solar photovoltaic power generation: A comprehensive review Z. Song et al. 10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.117247
- Effects of Anthropogenic Forcings on Multidecadal Variability of the Sea Level Around the Japanese Coast Simulated by MRI‐ESM2.0 for CMIP6 Y. Ushijima et al. 10.1029/2022GL099987
- Anthropogenic aerosols dominated the decreased solar radiation in eastern China over the last five decades Z. Tang et al. 10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.135150
- Return to different climate states by reducing sulphate aerosols under future CO2 concentrations T. Takemura 10.1038/s41598-020-78805-1
25 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Energy Budget Constraints on the Time History of Aerosol Forcing and Climate Sensitivity C. Smith et al. 10.1029/2020JD033622
- Projected changes in rainfall and temperature using CMIP6 models over the Okavango River basin, southern Africa O. Moses 10.1007/s00704-024-04950-6
- Uncertainties in the global and continental surface solar radiation variations: inter-comparison of in-situ observations, reanalyses, and model simulations B. Jiao et al. 10.1007/s00382-022-06222-3
- Using Ice Cores to Evaluate CMIP6 Aerosol Concentrations Over the Historical Era K. Moseid et al. 10.1029/2021JD036105
- Are Northern Hemisphere boreal forest fires more sensitive to future aerosol mitigation than to greenhouse gas–driven warming? R. Allen et al. 10.1126/sciadv.adl4007
- Disentangling Aerosol and Cloud Effects on Dimming and Brightening in Observations and CMIP6 I. Julsrud et al. 10.1029/2021JD035476
- Implications of differences between recent anthropogenic aerosol emission inventories for diagnosed AOD and radiative forcing from 1990 to 2019 M. Lund et al. 10.5194/acp-23-6647-2023
- Global warming at near-constant tropospheric relative humidity is supported by observations H. Douville et al. 10.1038/s43247-022-00561-z
- On the Effect of Historical SST Patterns on Radiative Feedback T. Andrews et al. 10.1029/2022JD036675
- Global trends in downward surface solar radiation from spatial interpolated ground observations during 1961-2019 M. Yuan et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0165.1
- Evaluation of surface solar radiation trends over China since the 1960s in the CMIP6 models and potential impact of aerosol emissions Z. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105991
- Uncertainty in Aerosol Optical Depth From Modern Aerosol‐Climate Models, Reanalyses, and Satellite Products A. Vogel et al. 10.1029/2021JD035483
- Opportunistic experiments to constrain aerosol effective radiative forcing M. Christensen et al. 10.5194/acp-22-641-2022
- Comparison of particle number size distribution trends in ground measurements and climate models V. Leinonen et al. 10.5194/acp-22-12873-2022
- The Influence of Natural and Anthropogenic Forcing on Water and Energy Balance and on Photosynthesis J. Song et al. 10.3390/land10111151
- Comparison of CMIP6 and CMIP5 models in simulating mean and extreme precipitation over East Africa B. Ayugi et al. 10.1002/joc.7207
- The Role of Irrigation Expansion on Historical Climate Change: Insights From CMIP6 A. Al‐Yaari et al. 10.1029/2022EF002859
- Using estimated radiation in crop models amplified the negative impacts of climate variability on maize and winter wheat yields in China Z. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.108914
- Internal Variability of All‐Sky and Clear‐Sky Surface Solar Radiation on Decadal Timescales B. Chtirkova et al. 10.1029/2021JD036332
- Constrained future brightening of solar radiation and its implication for China's solar power Y. He et al. 10.1093/nsr/nwac242
- Evaluation and projection of mean surface temperature using CMIP6 models over East Africa B. Ayugi et al. 10.1016/j.jafrearsci.2021.104226
- Large Differences in Diffuse Solar Radiation Among Current-Generation Reanalysis and Satellite-Derived Products T. Chakraborty & X. Lee 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0979.1
- Air pollution and soiling implications for solar photovoltaic power generation: A comprehensive review Z. Song et al. 10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.117247
- Effects of Anthropogenic Forcings on Multidecadal Variability of the Sea Level Around the Japanese Coast Simulated by MRI‐ESM2.0 for CMIP6 Y. Ushijima et al. 10.1029/2022GL099987
- Anthropogenic aerosols dominated the decreased solar radiation in eastern China over the last five decades Z. Tang et al. 10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.135150
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 26 Apr 2024
Short summary
In this study we compare solar radiation at the surface from observations and Earth system models from 1961 to 2014. We find that the models do not reproduce the so-called
global dimmingas found in observations. Only model experiments with anthropogenic aerosol emissions display any dimming at all. The discrepancies between observations and models are largest in China, which we suggest is in part due to erroneous aerosol precursor emission inventories in the emission dataset used for CMIP6.
In this study we compare solar radiation at the surface from observations and Earth system...
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