Articles | Volume 19, issue 22
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-14387-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-14387-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
28 Nov 2019
Research article |
| 28 Nov 2019
| 28 Nov 2019
On the impact of future climate change on tropopause folds and tropospheric ozone
Department of Meteorology and Climatology, School of Geology, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece
Andrea Pozzer
Atmospheric Chemistry Department, Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, Mainz, Germany
Prodromos Zanis
Department of Meteorology and Climatology, School of Geology, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece
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- Cyclic and Multi-Year Characterization of Surface Ozone at the WMO/GAW Coastal Station of Lamezia Terme (Calabria, Southern Italy): Implications for Local Environment, Cultural Heritage, and Human Health F. D’Amico et al. 10.3390/environments11100227
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- A Global Climatology of Tropopause Folds in CAMS and MERRA‐2 Reanalyses D. Akritidis et al. 10.1029/2020JD034115
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- Influence of stratosphere-troposphere exchange on long-term trends of surface ozone in CMIP6 Y. Li et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.107086
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- Transport of substantial stratospheric ozone to the surface by a dying typhoon and shallow convection Z. Chen et al. 10.5194/acp-22-8221-2022
- Taiwan ozone trend in response to reduced domestic precursors and perennial transboundary influence S. Chen et al. 10.1016/j.envpol.2021.117883
- Causes of growing middle-to-upper tropospheric ozone over the northwest Pacific region X. Ma et al. 10.5194/acp-25-943-2025
- The relationship between the tropopause folds and deep convective activities over the Tibetan Plateau Y. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107539
- Tropospheric ozone in CMIP6 simulations P. Griffiths et al. 10.5194/acp-21-4187-2021
- Changes in tropospheric air quality related to the protection of stratospheric ozone in a changing climate S. Madronich et al. 10.1007/s43630-023-00369-6
- Tropopause folding events to the northeast of Tibetan Plateau in boreal summer and their remote relation to the circulation anomalies over northeastern Atlantic C. Zhu & R. Ren 10.1007/s00382-021-06130-y
- Characteristics of summer tropopause folds over southeastern Central Asia and their influences on precipitation L. Li et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106747
- A novel free-air diesel and ozone enrichment (FADOE) research platform A. Mofikoya et al. 10.1016/j.mex.2024.102635
- A climatological-dynamical analysis of tropopause folds over Southwest Asia in the period of 1989–2018 R. Borhani et al. 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2022.101300
- On the link between the Etesian winds, tropopause folds and tropospheric ozone over the Eastern Mediterranean during summer S. Dafka et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105161
- Fifty years of balloon-borne ozone profile measurements at Uccle, Belgium: a short history, the scientific relevance, and the achievements in understanding the vertical ozone distribution R. Van Malderen et al. 10.5194/acp-21-12385-2021
- Tropopause folds over the Tibetan Plateau and their impact on water vapor in the upper troposphere-lower stratosphere Y. Zhang et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-06978-2
- Role of Stratospheric Processes in Climate Change: Advances and Challenges W. Tian et al. 10.1007/s00376-023-2341-1
- The response of the North Pacific jet and stratosphere-to-troposphere transport of ozone over western North America to RCP8.5 climate forcing D. Elsbury et al. 10.5194/acp-23-5101-2023
28 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Tropospheric ozone and its natural precursors impacted by climatic changes in emission and dynamics S. Dewan & A. Lakhani 10.3389/fenvs.2022.1007942
- Climate change penalty and benefit on surface ozone: a global perspective based on CMIP6 earth system models P. Zanis et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac4a34
- Influence of deep stratosphere-to-troposphere transport on atmospheric carbon dioxide and methane at the Mt. Cimone WMO/GAW global station (2165 m a.s.l., Italy): A multi-year (2015–2022) investigation P. Trisolino et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107627
- Cyclic and Multi-Year Characterization of Surface Ozone at the WMO/GAW Coastal Station of Lamezia Terme (Calabria, Southern Italy): Implications for Local Environment, Cultural Heritage, and Human Health F. D’Amico et al. 10.3390/environments11100227
- Multiplatform observations of stratosphere-troposphere exchange over the Bharati (69.41° S, 76° E), Antarctica during ISEA-35 S. Das et al. 10.1016/j.jastp.2020.105455
- Surface ozone trends and related mortality across the climate regions of the contiguous United States during the most recent climate period, 1991–2020 S. Mousavinezhad et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2023.119693
- Investigation of the summer 2018 European ozone air pollution episodes using novel satellite data and modelling R. Pope et al. 10.5194/acp-23-13235-2023
- Future tropospheric ozone budget and distribution over east Asia under a net-zero scenario X. Hou et al. 10.5194/acp-23-15395-2023
- A Global Climatology of Tropopause Folds in CAMS and MERRA‐2 Reanalyses D. Akritidis et al. 10.1029/2020JD034115
- A process-oriented evaluation of CAMS reanalysis ozone during tropopause folds over Europe for the period 2003–2018 D. Akritidis et al. 10.5194/acp-22-6275-2022
- Higher‐Resolution Tropopause Folding Accounts for More Stratospheric Ozone Intrusions S. Bartusek et al. 10.1029/2022GL101690
- Influence of stratosphere-troposphere exchange on long-term trends of surface ozone in CMIP6 Y. Li et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.107086
- Surface Ozone Concentration over Russian Territory in the First Half of 2020 V. Andreev et al. 10.1134/S1024856020060184
- Transport of substantial stratospheric ozone to the surface by a dying typhoon and shallow convection Z. Chen et al. 10.5194/acp-22-8221-2022
- Taiwan ozone trend in response to reduced domestic precursors and perennial transboundary influence S. Chen et al. 10.1016/j.envpol.2021.117883
- Causes of growing middle-to-upper tropospheric ozone over the northwest Pacific region X. Ma et al. 10.5194/acp-25-943-2025
- The relationship between the tropopause folds and deep convective activities over the Tibetan Plateau Y. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107539
- Tropospheric ozone in CMIP6 simulations P. Griffiths et al. 10.5194/acp-21-4187-2021
- Changes in tropospheric air quality related to the protection of stratospheric ozone in a changing climate S. Madronich et al. 10.1007/s43630-023-00369-6
- Tropopause folding events to the northeast of Tibetan Plateau in boreal summer and their remote relation to the circulation anomalies over northeastern Atlantic C. Zhu & R. Ren 10.1007/s00382-021-06130-y
- Characteristics of summer tropopause folds over southeastern Central Asia and their influences on precipitation L. Li et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106747
- A novel free-air diesel and ozone enrichment (FADOE) research platform A. Mofikoya et al. 10.1016/j.mex.2024.102635
- A climatological-dynamical analysis of tropopause folds over Southwest Asia in the period of 1989–2018 R. Borhani et al. 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2022.101300
- On the link between the Etesian winds, tropopause folds and tropospheric ozone over the Eastern Mediterranean during summer S. Dafka et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105161
- Fifty years of balloon-borne ozone profile measurements at Uccle, Belgium: a short history, the scientific relevance, and the achievements in understanding the vertical ozone distribution R. Van Malderen et al. 10.5194/acp-21-12385-2021
- Tropopause folds over the Tibetan Plateau and their impact on water vapor in the upper troposphere-lower stratosphere Y. Zhang et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-06978-2
- Role of Stratospheric Processes in Climate Change: Advances and Challenges W. Tian et al. 10.1007/s00376-023-2341-1
- The response of the North Pacific jet and stratosphere-to-troposphere transport of ozone over western North America to RCP8.5 climate forcing D. Elsbury et al. 10.5194/acp-23-5101-2023
Latest update: 07 Apr 2025
Short summary
We investigate the impact of future climate change under the RCP6.0 scenario on tropopause folds and tropospheric ozone, using a transient EMAC simulation and a tropopause fold detection algorithm. A strengthening of ozone stratosphere-to-troposphere transport (STT) is projected for the future, resulting in an increase in upper- and middle-tropospheric ozone. The maxima of future ozone STT increases are mainly projected for regions where tropopause folds are expected to occur more frequently.
We investigate the impact of future climate change under the RCP6.0 scenario on tropopause folds...
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