Articles | Volume 19, issue 22
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-13827-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-13827-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
18 Nov 2019
Research article |
| 18 Nov 2019
| 18 Nov 2019
Anthropogenic aerosol forcing under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
CICERO Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, Norway
Gunnar Myhre
CICERO Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, Norway
Bjørn H. Samset
CICERO Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, Norway
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- Evaluating uncertainty in aerosol forcing of tropical precipitation shifts A. Peace et al. 10.5194/esd-13-1215-2022
- Eastern equatorial Pacific warming delayed by aerosols and thermostat response to CO2 increase U. Heede & A. Fedorov 10.1038/s41558-021-01101-x
- Future projection of photovoltaic potential over South Korea based on high-resolution shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP) scenarios J. Kim et al. 10.15531/KSCCR.2023.14.4.465
- How aerosols and greenhouse gases influence the diurnal temperature range C. Stjern et al. 10.5194/acp-20-13467-2020
- Nonlinear response of Asian summer monsoon precipitation to emission reductions in South and East Asia R. Herbert et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3b19
- Impacts of reducing scattering and absorbing aerosols on the temporal extent and intensity of South Asian summer monsoon and East Asian summer monsoon C. Fang et al. 10.5194/acp-23-8341-2023
- Black Carbon Absorption Efficiency Under Preindustrial and Present‐Day Conditions Simulated by a Size‐ and Mixing‐State‐Resolved Global Aerosol Model H. Matsui 10.1029/2019JD032316
- The Regional Aerosol Model Intercomparison Project (RAMIP) L. Wilcox et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-4451-2023
- Anthropogenic Aerosols Delay the Emergence of GHGs‐Forced Wetting of South Asian Rainy Seasons Under a Fossil‐Fuel Intensive Pathway J. Singh et al. 10.1029/2023GL103949
- Identifying the evolving human imprint on heat wave trends over the United States and Mexico I. M García-Martínez & M. A Bollasina 10.1088/1748-9326/ac1edb
- Amplified Interhemispheric Rainfall Contrast in Boreal Summer Due To Reduction in Anthropogenic Emissions Under COVID‐MIP Green Economic‐Recovery Scenarios X. Yu et al. 10.1029/2023EF003743
- Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century J. Shonk et al. 10.5194/acp-20-14903-2020
- Energy Budget Constraints on the Time History of Aerosol Forcing and Climate Sensitivity C. Smith et al. 10.1029/2020JD033622
- Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions L. Wilcox et al. 10.5194/acp-20-11955-2020
- Geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects J. Burney et al. 10.1126/sciadv.abn7307
- MIROC6 Large Ensemble (MIROC6-LE): experimental design and initial analyses H. Shiogama et al. 10.5194/esd-14-1107-2023
- COVID-19 lockdown air quality change implications for solar energy generation over China K. Choi & H. Brindley 10.1088/1748-9326/abd42f
- Absorbing Aerosol Choices Influences Precipitation Changes Across Future Scenarios I. McCoy et al. 10.1029/2022GL097717
- Important distinctiveness of SSP3–7.0 for use in impact assessments H. Shiogama et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01883-2
- Impact of Asian aerosols on the summer monsoon strongly modulated by regional precipitation biases Z. Liu et al. 10.5194/acp-24-7227-2024
- Future Climate Change Under SSP Emission Scenarios With GISS‐E2.1 L. Nazarenko et al. 10.1029/2021MS002871
- The turbulent future brings a breath of fresh air C. Stjern et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-39298-4
- Changes to population-based emergence of climate change from CMIP5 to CMIP6 H. Douglas et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aca91e
- Effect of aerosol radiative forcing uncertainty on projected exceedance year of a 1.5 °C global temperature rise A. Peace et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aba20c
- The dependence of aerosols' global and local precipitation impacts on the emitting region G. Persad 10.5194/acp-23-3435-2023
- The worldwide COVID-19 lockdown impacts on global secondary inorganic aerosols and radiative budget T. Sekiya et al. 10.1126/sciadv.adh2688
- Projected Aerosol Changes Driven by Emissions and Climate Change Using a Machine Learning Method H. Li et al. 10.1021/acs.est.1c04380
- Strong control of effective radiative forcing by the spatial pattern of absorbing aerosol A. Williams et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01415-4
- Implications of differences between recent anthropogenic aerosol emission inventories for diagnosed AOD and radiative forcing from 1990 to 2019 M. Lund et al. 10.5194/acp-23-6647-2023
- Hemispheric-wide climate response to regional COVID-19-related aerosol emission reductions: the prominent role of atmospheric circulation adjustments N. Fahrenbach & M. Bollasina 10.5194/acp-23-877-2023
- Arctic warming in response to regional aerosol emissions reductions M. Previdi et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/ace4e8
- Changes to tropical cyclone trajectories in Southeast Asia under a warming climate A. Garner et al. 10.1038/s41612-024-00707-0
- Aerosol absorption has an underappreciated role in historical precipitation change B. Samset 10.1038/s43247-022-00576-6
- Bounding Global Aerosol Radiative Forcing of Climate Change N. Bellouin et al. 10.1029/2019RG000660
- The global impact of the transport sectors on the atmospheric aerosol and the resulting climate effects under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) M. Righi et al. 10.5194/esd-14-835-2023
- Uncertainty in Simulating Twentieth Century West African Precipitation Trends: The Role of Anthropogenic Aerosol Emissions P. Monerie et al. 10.1029/2022EF002995
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- Physically based equation representing the forcing-driven precipitation in climate models D. Lee et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acf50f
- The Role of Anthropogenic Aerosol Forcing in the 1850–1985 Strengthening of the AMOC in CMIP6 Historical Simulations J. Robson et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0124.1
- How Asian aerosols impact regional surface temperatures across the globe J. Merikanto et al. 10.5194/acp-21-5865-2021
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Latest update: 16 Jul 2024
Short summary
Atmospheric aerosols play an integral role in shaping local and global climate by modifying the energy balance, clouds and precipitation. They are also a leading cause of premature mortality in many areas. New scenarios provide projections of emissions until 2100 given strong, medium or weak air pollution control stringency. We quantify the consequent regional and global aerosol loading and radiative forcing, showing a large spread at the end of the century and regional differences in trends.
Atmospheric aerosols play an integral role in shaping local and global climate by modifying the...
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