Articles | Volume 18, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-7721-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-7721-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
01 Jun 2018
Research article |
| 01 Jun 2018
| 01 Jun 2018
Future changes in the stratosphere-to-troposphere ozone mass flux and the contribution from climate change and ozone recovery
Stefanie Meul
Institut für Meteorologie, Freie Universität Berlin,
Berlin, Germany
Ulrike Langematz
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Institut für Meteorologie, Freie Universität Berlin,
Berlin, Germany
Philipp Kröger
Institut für Meteorologie, Freie Universität Berlin,
Berlin, Germany
Sophie Oberländer-Hayn
Institut für Meteorologie, Freie Universität Berlin,
Berlin, Germany
Patrick Jöckel
Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt
(DLR) e.V., Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre,
Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany
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38 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The response of the North Pacific jet and stratosphere-to-troposphere transport of ozone over western North America to RCP8.5 climate forcing D. Elsbury et al. 10.5194/acp-23-5101-2023
- Climate Change Penalty to Ozone Air Quality: Review of Current Understandings and Knowledge Gaps T. Fu & H. Tian 10.1007/s40726-019-00115-6
- On the impact of future climate change on tropopause folds and tropospheric ozone D. Akritidis et al. 10.5194/acp-19-14387-2019
- Higher‐Resolution Tropopause Folding Accounts for More Stratospheric Ozone Intrusions S. Bartusek et al. 10.1029/2022GL101690
- The influences of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on tropospheric ozone in CMIP6 models T. Le et al. 10.5194/acp-24-6555-2024
- Surface ozone trends at El Arenosillo observatory from a new perspective J. Adame et al. 10.1016/j.envres.2022.113887
- Surface ozone trends and related mortality across the climate regions of the contiguous United States during the most recent climate period, 1991–2020 S. Mousavinezhad et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2023.119693
- Impacts of Horizontal Resolution on Global Data Assimilation of Satellite Measurements for Tropospheric Chemistry Analysis T. Sekiya et al. 10.1029/2020MS002180
- From the middle stratosphere to the surface, using nitrous oxide to constrain the stratosphere–troposphere exchange of ozone D. Ruiz & M. Prather 10.5194/acp-22-2079-2022
- Ambient fine particulate matter and ozone pollution in China: synergy in anthropogenic emissions and atmospheric processes Y. Jiang et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aca16a
- Climate change penalty and benefit on surface ozone: a global perspective based on CMIP6 earth system models P. Zanis et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac4a34
- Evaluation of the N2O Rate of Change to Understand the Stratospheric Brewer‐Dobson Circulation in a Chemistry‐Climate Model D. Minganti et al. 10.1029/2021JD036390
- Technical note: Northern midlatitude baseline ozone – long-term changes and the COVID-19 impact D. Parrish et al. 10.5194/acp-22-13423-2022
- Tropical upper-tropospheric trends in ozone and carbon monoxide (2005–2020): observational and model results L. Froidevaux et al. 10.5194/acp-25-597-2025
- Stratospheric ozone: down and up through the anthropocene U. Langematz 10.1007/s40828-019-0082-7
- Review on Atmospheric Ozone Pollution in China: Formation, Spatiotemporal Distribution, Precursors and Affecting Factors R. Yu et al. 10.3390/atmos12121675
- Transport of substantial stratospheric ozone to the surface by a dying typhoon and shallow convection Z. Chen et al. 10.5194/acp-22-8221-2022
- Impact of biomass burning and stratospheric intrusions in the remote South Pacific Ocean troposphere N. Daskalakis et al. 10.5194/acp-22-4075-2022
- Modeling the Transport and Deposition of 10Be Produced by the Strongest Solar Proton Event During the Holocene T. Spiegl et al. 10.1029/2021JD035658
- Change in Tropospheric Ozone in the Recent Decades and Its Contribution to Global Total Ozone J. Liu et al. 10.1029/2022JD037170
- Lifetimes and timescales of tropospheric ozone M. Prather & X. Zhu 10.1525/elementa.2023.00112
- Stratosphere‐Troposphere Exchanges of Air Mass and Ozone Concentrations From ERA5 and MERRA2: Annual‐Mean Climatology, Seasonal Cycle, and Interannual Variability M. Wang et al. 10.1029/2023JD039270
- Divergent summertime surface O3 pollution formation mechanisms in two typical Chinese cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and Fenwei Plain C. Li et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.161868
- 100 Years of Progress in Understanding the Stratosphere and Mesosphere M. Baldwin et al. 10.1175/AMSMONOGRAPHS-D-19-0003.1
- Impact of Stratospheric Intrusions on Ozone Enhancement in the Lower Troposphere and Implication to Air Quality in Hong Kong and Other South China Regions K. Zhao et al. 10.1029/2020JD033955
- Tropospheric ozone and its natural precursors impacted by climatic changes in emission and dynamics S. Dewan & A. Lakhani 10.3389/fenvs.2022.1007942
- Tropospheric ozone in CMIP6 simulations P. Griffiths et al. 10.5194/acp-21-4187-2021
- On the link between the Etesian winds, tropopause folds and tropospheric ozone over the Eastern Mediterranean during summer S. Dafka et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105161
- Stratosphere‐Troposphere Exchanges of Air Mass and Ozone Concentration in the Last Glacial Maximum M. Wang et al. 10.1029/2021JD036327
- Changes in Stratosphere‐Troposphere Exchange of Air Mass and Ozone Concentration in CCMI Models From 1960 to 2099 M. Wang & Q. Fu 10.1029/2023JD038487
- Causes of growing middle-to-upper tropospheric ozone over the northwest Pacific region X. Ma et al. 10.5194/acp-25-943-2025
- Meteorology and Climate Influences on Tropospheric Ozone: a Review of Natural Sources, Chemistry, and Transport Patterns X. Lu et al. 10.1007/s40726-019-00118-3
- Summertime tropospheric ozone source apportionment study in the Madrid region (Spain) D. de la Paz et al. 10.5194/acp-24-4949-2024
- Technical note: Unsupervised classification of ozone profiles in UKESM1 F. Fahrin et al. 10.5194/acp-23-3609-2023
- Structural changes in the shallow and transition branch of the Brewer–Dobson circulation induced by El Niño M. Diallo et al. 10.5194/acp-19-425-2019
- Environmental effects of stratospheric ozone depletion, UV radiation and interactions with climate change: UNEP Environmental Effects Assessment Panel, update 2019 G. Bernhard et al. 10.1039/d0pp90011g
- Future trends in stratosphere-to-troposphere transport in CCMI models M. Abalos et al. 10.5194/acp-20-6883-2020
- Interactive effects of changing stratospheric ozone and climate on tropospheric composition and air quality, and the consequences for human and ecosystem health S. Wilson et al. 10.1039/c8pp90064g
Discussed (final revised paper)
Latest update: 23 Apr 2025
Short summary
Using a chemistry--climate model future changes in the stratosphere-to-troposphere ozone mass flux, their drivers, and the future distribution of stratospheric ozone in the troposphere are investigated. In an extreme greenhouse gas (GHG) scenario, the global influx of stratospheric ozone into the troposphere is projected to grow between 2000 and 2100 by 53%. The increase is due to the recovery of stratospheric ozone owing to declining halogens and GHG induced circulation and temperature changes.
Using a chemistry--climate model future changes in the stratosphere-to-troposphere ozone mass...
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