Articles | Volume 15, issue 22
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 15, 12681–12703, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-12681-2015
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 15, 12681–12703, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-12681-2015

Research article 16 Nov 2015

Research article | 16 Nov 2015

Radiative forcing and climate response to projected 21st century aerosol decreases

D. M. Westervelt et al.

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Short summary
Decreases in aerosols over the 21st century as projected by the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) lead to increases up to 0.5 - 1 ºC in global temperature and up to 0.05 - 0.1 mm/day in global precipitation, depending strongly on present-day aerosol radiative forcing. In East Asia, future aerosol decreases could be responsible for 10-20% of the total temperature increase (30-40% with strong present-day aerosol forcing), even under the high greenhouse gas emissions scenario (RCP8.5).
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