Articles | Volume 15, issue 22
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-12681-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-12681-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Radiative forcing and climate response to projected 21st century aerosol decreases
Program in Science, Technology, and Environmental Policy, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA
L. W. Horowitz
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Princeton, NJ, USA
V. Naik
UCAR/NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, USA
J.-C. Golaz
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Princeton, NJ, USA
D. L. Mauzerall
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Program in Science, Technology, and Environmental Policy, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA
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Latest update: 21 Nov 2024
Short summary
Decreases in aerosols over the 21st century as projected by the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) lead to increases up to 0.5 - 1 ºC in global temperature and up to 0.05 - 0.1 mm/day in global precipitation, depending strongly on present-day aerosol radiative forcing. In East Asia, future aerosol decreases could be responsible for 10-20% of the total temperature increase (30-40% with strong present-day aerosol forcing), even under the high greenhouse gas emissions scenario (RCP8.5).
Decreases in aerosols over the 21st century as projected by the Representative Concentration...
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