Black carbon acts as a strong climate forcer, especially in vulnerable pristine regions such as the Arctic. This work utilizes ensemble modeling results from the Task Force Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution Phase2 to investigate the responses of Arctic black carbon and surface temperature to various source emission reductions. East Asia contributed the most to Arctic black carbon. The response of Arctic temperature to black carbon was substantially more sensitive than the global average.
Black carbon acts as a strong climate forcer, especially in vulnerable pristine regions such as...
1Shanghai Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Particle Pollution and Prevention (LAP3), Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
2School of Atmospheric Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
3Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Tennessee, USA
4Computational Earth Science Group, Computational Sciences and Engineering Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee, USA
5CICERO Center for International Climate and Environmental Research, Oslo, Norway
6Nagoya University, Furo-cho, Chigusa-ku, Nagoya, Japan
7Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA
8Universities Space Research Association, Greenbelt, MD, USA
9Department of Geography, The University of Hong Kong, HKSAR, China
10Earth Sciences Division, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, USA
11Atmospheric Chemistry Observations and Modeling Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA
1Shanghai Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Particle Pollution and Prevention (LAP3), Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
2School of Atmospheric Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
3Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Tennessee, USA
4Computational Earth Science Group, Computational Sciences and Engineering Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee, USA
5CICERO Center for International Climate and Environmental Research, Oslo, Norway
6Nagoya University, Furo-cho, Chigusa-ku, Nagoya, Japan
7Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA
8Universities Space Research Association, Greenbelt, MD, USA
9Department of Geography, The University of Hong Kong, HKSAR, China
10Earth Sciences Division, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, USA
11Atmospheric Chemistry Observations and Modeling Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA
Received: 11 Nov 2020 – Accepted for review: 09 Dec 2020 – Discussion started: 11 Dec 2020
Abstract. Black carbon (BC) emissions play an important role in regional climate change of the Arctic. It is necessary to pay attention to the impact of long-range transport from regions outside the Arctic as BC emissions from local sources in the Arctic were relatively small. The Task Force Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution Phase2 (HTAP2) set up a series of simulation scenarios to investigate the response of BC in a given region to different source regions. This study investigated the responses of Arctic BC concentrations and surface temperature to 20 % anthropogenic emission reductions from six regions in 2010 within the framework of HTAP2 based on ensemble modeling results. It was found that the emissions from East Asia (EAS) had most (18.1 %–51.4 %) significant impact on the Arctic while the monthly contributions from Europe, Middle East, North America, Russia Belarus Ukraine, and South Asia were 20.1 %–49.9 %, 0.02 %–0.9 %, 8.3 %–19.3 %, 5.4 %–18.1 %, and 3.1 %–7.7 %, respectively. The responses of the vertical profiles of the Arctic BC to the six regions were found to be different due to multiple transport pathways. The response of the Arctic BC to emission reductions of six source regions became less significant with the increase of the latitude. The benefit of BC emission reductions in terms of slowing down surface warming in the Arctic was evaluated by using Absolute Regional Temperature-change Potential (ARTP). Compared to the response of global temperature to BC emission reductions, the response of Arctic temperature was substantially more sensitive, highlighting the need for curbing global BC emissions.
Black carbon acts as a strong climate forcer, especially in vulnerable pristine regions such as the Arctic. This work utilizes ensemble modeling results from the Task Force Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution Phase2 to investigate the responses of Arctic black carbon and surface temperature to various source emission reductions. East Asia contributed the most to Arctic black carbon. The response of Arctic temperature to black carbon was substantially more sensitive than the global average.
Black carbon acts as a strong climate forcer, especially in vulnerable pristine regions such as...