The black carbon (BC) and carbon monoxide (CO) emission ratios were
estimated and compiled from long-term, harmonized observations of the
ΔBC/ΔCO ratios under conditions unaffected by wet deposition
at four sites in East Asia, including two sites in South Korea (Baengnyeong and
Gosan) and two sites in Japan (Noto and Fukuoka). Extended spatio-temporal
coverage enabled estimation of the full seasonality and elucidation of the
emission ratio in North Korea for the first time. The estimated ratios were
used to validate the Regional Emission inventory in ASia (REAS) version 2.1
based on six study domains (“East China”, “North China”, “Northeast China”, South
Korea, North Korea, and Japan). We found that the ΔBC/ΔCO
ratios from four sites converged into a narrow range (6.2–7.9 ng m-3 ppb-1), suggesting consistency in the results from independent
observations and similarity in source profiles over the regions. The BC/CO ratios from the REAS emission inventory (7.7 ng m-3 ppb-1 for East
China – 23.2 ng m-3 ppb-1 for South Korea) were overestimated by
factors of 1.1 for East China to 3.0 for South Korea, whereas the ratio for
North Korea (3.7 ng m-3 ppb-1 from REAS) was underestimated by a
factor of 2.0, most likely due to inaccurate emissions from the road
transportation sector. Seasonal variation in the BC/CO ratio from REAS was
found to be the highest in winter (China and North Korea) or summer (South
Korea and Japan), whereas the measured ΔBC/ΔCO ratio was the
highest in spring in all source regions, indicating the need for further
characterization of the seasonality when creating a bottom-up emission
inventory. At levels of administrative districts, overestimation in Seoul,
the southwestern regions of South Korea, and Northeast China was noticeable,
and underestimation was mainly observed in the western regions in North
Korea, including Pyongyang. These diagnoses are useful for identifying
regions where revisions in the inventory are necessary, providing guidance
for the refinement of BC and CO emission rate estimates over East Asia.
Introduction
Black carbon (BC), emitted from the incomplete combustion of fossil fuel
and/or biomass burning, absorbs solar radiation and reduces the surface
albedo of snow and ice after dry and wet deposition (Samset, 2018; Bond et al.,
2013), thereby augmenting the global warming trend primarily induced by
increased levels of carbon dioxide (CO2; Ramanathan and Carmichael,
2008; Jacobson, 2001; Myhre et al., 2013). In addition to global warming
effects, BC is significantly associated with cardiovascular mortality (Smith
et al., 2009; Geng et al., 2013) and is more related to health effects than
PM2.5 (particulate matter having an aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5µm; Janssen et al., 2011, 2012; Loomis et al., 2013).
In particular, the BC emissions from China, which accounted for 31 % of
the total annual global emissions in 2012 (Crippa et al., 2018), showed an
increasing trend from 1970 to 2012 (Kurokawa et al., 2013; Ohara et al.,
2007; Crippa et al., 2018). To enhance the understanding of the behavior of
BC in the atmosphere, it is essential to obtain a reliable BC concentration
along with model simulations based on accurate bottom-up emission
inventories. The bottom-up emission inventories may be subject to large
uncertainties associated with emission factors from various types of
combustion sources, countries, and species (Kurokawa et al., 2013), although
the uncertainty in BC emissions decreased from 160.2 % in 1970 to 74.3 %
in 2012 (Crippa et al., 2018). BC and carbon monoxide (CO) are by-products of
the incomplete combustion of carbon-based fuels, and the ratio between
ΔBC (the difference from the baseline level) and ΔCO could
be a useful parameter for characterizing combustion types. Using these
characteristics, past studies used the ΔBC/ΔCO ratio to
identify emission source types (Guo et al., 2017; Pan et al., 2011, 2013;
Zhu et al., 2019) and/or validate BC emissions from bottom-up inventories
(Han et al., 2009; Wang et al., 2011; Verma et al., 2011; Sahu et al., 2009;
Kondo et al., 2006). However, it was hard to diagnose the accuracy of
emission inventories over East
Asia from those studies because either data
covering short, intensive measurement periods at a single site were used or
the studied source regions did not necessarily match the administrative
districts for which a detailed emission inventory was constructed. In
addition, BC concentrations can differ depending on the instruments and
operation protocols used for observations – such discordance still poses a
major obstacle to obtaining a comprehensive understanding. Kondo (2015)
compiled ΔBC/ΔCO ratios from systematic observations in
Asia. However, information during the 2010s, when emissions patterns changed
significantly, has not been covered. Kanaya et al. (2016) used observations
at Fukue Island for 6 years (2009–2015) to derive a region-specific ΔBC/ΔCO emission ratio. However, the seasons were limited to autumn–spring, and the footprint over each source region was still limited, as observations at a single site were analyzed.
In this study, we investigated the ΔBC/ΔCO ratios from
long-term measurements at four measurement sites (two South Korean and two
Japanese sites which were measured for more than a year) over East Asia in
order to comprehensively evaluate the Regional Emission inventory in ASia
(REAS) version 2.1 based on the 2008 emission inventory (Kurokawa et al.,
2013) of BC and CO with sufficient spatio-temporal coverage. The REAS
inventory comprises emissions data from 30 Asian countries and regions,
including China, North Korea, South Korea, and Japan, between the years 2000
and 2008 at a 0.25∘×0.25∘ horizontal
resolution. The emission sources consisted of power plants, combustible and
non-combustible sources in industry, on-road and off-road sources in
transport, and residential and other activities, such as agricultural
activities and evaporative sources (Han et al., 2015; Itahashi et al., 2017;
Kurokawa et al., 2013; Saikawa et al., 2017; Uno et al., 2017). The improved
spatio-temporal coverage enabled estimation of the full seasonality and
elucidation of the emissions ratio from North Korea for the first time. By
comparing the regional and seasonal ΔBC/ΔCO ratios between
the REAS emission inventory and the measurements, this study identifies the
points of improvement for bottom-up emission inventories.
MethodologyMeasurement sites and periods
Figure 1 shows the locations of the measurement sites in this study. Both
Baengnyeong (37.97∘ N, 124.63∘ E) and Gosan
(33.28∘ N, 126.17∘ E) are representative background
sites in South Korea. The Baengnyeong site is an intensive measurement station
operated by the Korean Ministry of Environment. The Gosan site is a
supersite of many international campaigns, such as Aerosol Characterization
Experiments in Asia (ACE-Asia; Huebert et al., 2003) and the Atmospheric Brown Cloud (ABC; Nakajima et al., 2007) and Cheju ABC Plume–Monsoon Experiment (CAPMEX; Ramana et al., 2010). Since the two sites in South Korea are located in the
western region of the Korean Peninsula, with similar longitudes but different
latitudes, these sites are suitable for monitoring pollutant transport from
China, North Korea (especially Baengnyeong), and South Korea. In Japan, the
Fukuoka site (33.52∘ N, 130.47∘ E) is located at the
Chikushi campus of Kyushu University, located in the suburbs of Fukuoka, and
the site is the largest center of commerce on the island of Kyushu (Itahashi
et al., 2017; Uno et al., 2017). The Noto site (37.45∘ N, 137.36∘ E) is located at the Ground-based Research Observatory
(NOTOGRO), which has been apart from Kanazawa and Toyama, the nearest
provincial cities, by approximately 115 km to the southwest and 85 km to the south,
respectively. Therefore, Noto is a suitable place for monitoring the
background concentrations and/or outflows of pollution from the Asian
continent (Ueda et al., 2016). The measurement periods were commonly in the
early 2010s, while slight differences were present among the sites (Table 1). The longest measurement period was in Noto for approximately 6 years
(from 2011 to 2016), followed by that in Baengnyeong (5 years), Gosan
(3 years), and Fukuoka (1.5 years). The measurements in
Baengnyeong did not include 2011 to 2012 due to the absence of CO data.
Description of the measurement sites, periods, and instruments.
Latitude,Sites longitudeMeasurement periodsInstrumentsSouth KoreaBaengnyeong 37.97∘ N,1 Jan 2010–31 Dec 2016EC: Sunset EC–OC (PM2.5)(background)124.63∘ E(except for 2011 and 2012)CO: Teledyne API 300EGosan33.28∘ N,1 May 2012–30 Apr 2015BC: CLAPa (PM1)(background)126.17∘ ECO: Model 48iJapanNoto37.45∘ N,1 Jan 2011–31 Dec 2016BC: MAAPb (PM2.5)(background)137.36∘ ECO: Model 48iFukuoka33.52∘ N,1 Sep 2014–31 Mar 2016BC: MAAP (PM2.5)(suburban area)130.47∘ ECO: Model 48i
a continuous light absorption photometer. b multi-angle absorption photometer.
Yearly (a) BC and (b) CO emission rates (t yr-1) over East Asia
in 2008 from the REAS version 2.1 bottom-up emission inventory (Kurokawa et al.,
2013). The four measurement sites are shown in (a). (b) shows that the six
study domains are divided by country and/or administrative district,
including three Chinese regions (“East China”, “North China”, and “Northeast China”), two Korean Peninsula regions (South and North Korea), and Japan.
Instruments
It is crucial to ensure reliable atmospheric BC concentrations, which were
measured by different instruments, by excluding the effects of co-existing
scattering particles. To keep the harmonization, we considered BC
concentrations to be reliable when the data were measured by pre-validated
instruments reported to have good agreement, including
OC–EC analyzers (Sunset Laboratory Inc., USA) with optical corrections,
single-particle soot photometers (SP2), continuous soot-monitoring systems
(COSMOS), and multi-angle absorption photometers (MAAPs; MAAP 5012, Thermo
Scientific; e.g., Kondo et al., 2011; Kanaya et al., 2008, 2013, 2016; Miyakawa
et al., 2016, 2017; Taketani et al., 2016; Ohata et al., 2019).
Hourly elemental carbon (EC) concentrations in PM2.5 at the Baengnyeong
site were measured by a Model-4 Semi-Continuous OC–EC Field Analyzer using
the thermal–optical transmittance (TOT) method and the nondispersive
infrared (NDIR) method based on NIOSH method 5040 (NIOSH, 1996). The
particles passed through a PM2.5 cyclone with 8.0 L min-1 and a carbon-impregnated multi-channel parallel plate diffusion denuder (Turpin et al.,
2000) and were collected on a quartz fiber filter for 45 min. Organic carbon (OC) and EC
were then analyzed during the last 15 min. The detection limit of EC, which
is defined as twice the average of the field blanks, was reported to be 30 ng m-3, and the precision of EC was 7.5 % (Park et al., 2013).
At both the Noto and Fukuoka sites, PM2.5 BC concentrations were measured
using a MAAP. The BC concentration is converted from the absorption
coefficients, which were determined by measuring both the transmittance and
reflectance of a filter loaded with aerosols. Because the MAAP installed a
light detector that locates light reflected from the filter at 130∘
and 165∘ from the illumination direction (Petzold et al., 2005),
the MAAP can correct for scattering particle effects. It should be noted
that we used a different mass absorption efficiency (MAE) value of 10.3 m2 g-1, as suggested by Kanaya et al. (2013), instead of the
default MAE of 6.6 m2 g-1. This value was validated with
COSMOS, which showed a reliable performance with the SP2 and OC–EC analyzer
(Miyakawa et al., 2017; Kondo et al., 2011; Ohata et al., 2019) on a
long-term basis at Fukue (Kanaya et al., 2016) and in Tokyo (Kanaya et al.,
2013). The consistency between MAAP and SP2 at Noto was reported to be
∼10 % (Taketani et al., 2016). At Fukuoka, a similar
behavior was expected, as the BC there would be a mixture from the continent
and urban sources, as experienced at Fukue and Tokyo. The reported minimum
detection limit of the MAAP was different depending on the averaging time of
12 ng m-3 for 1 h and 64 ng m-3 for 1 min by applying
the revised MAE (10.3 m2 g-1).
The Gosan site has monitored BC concentrations using a continuous light
absorption photometer (CLAP) with three wavelengths, including 467, 528, and
652 nm (Cho et al., 2019). Through PM1 and PM10 impactors, which
were switched every 30 min, the particles were collected on 47 mm diameter
glass-fiber filters (Pallflex type E70-2075W). The volumetric flow rate was
1 L min-1. The raw absorption coefficient of the CLAP was corrected using the
methods of Bond et al. (1999) to eliminate effects due to filter loading
errors. The absorption coefficient at 528 nm was used to determine the BC
concentration by applying 10 m2 g-1 for MAE. In this study, we
used the PM1 BC concentration because BC particles mainly exist in amounts less
than 1 µm (Miyakawa et al., 2017; Bond et al., 2013). Although the
uncertainty derived from scattering particles was reported to be
∼25 % at Gosan (Ogren et al., 2017), the BC from CLAP was
verified by comparison with a co-located semi-continuous OC–EC field
analyzer (Lim et al., 2012). The slope of the best-fit line through the
origin was close to 1, at 1.17, implying that the PM1 BC concentration
from CLAP was well consistent with that from PM2.5 EC.
Hourly CO concentrations were measured by a gas filter correlation CO
analyzer (Model 300EU, Teledyne API Inc.) at Baengnyeong and nondispersive
infrared absorption photometers (48C, Thermo Scientific) at the other three
sites. The overall uncertainties of the BC and CO measurements were
estimated to be less than 15 % (except for Gosan, at 20 %) and 5 %, respectively. The overall regional ΔBC/ΔCO ratio varied from -0.7 (-8 %) to 0.8 (10 %) due to uncertainty.
ΔBC/ΔCO ratio and allocation of the dominant emission region
To identify the origin of BC and CO emission sources, backward trajectories
at 500 m during the past 5 d (120 h) were calculated by the Hybrid
Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) 4 model (Draxler
et al., 2018) for every 6 h interval (00:00, 06:00, 12:00, and 18:00 UTC) using the
Global Data Assimilation System (GDAS) with a horizontal resolution of
1∘×1∘, as the GDAS with 0.5∘
resolution did not account for vertical motion (Su et al., 2015). The
spatial distribution of the number of endpoints for backward trajectories
from the four measurement sites revealed the large spatial coverage of the
footprint over East Asia (Fig. S1 in the Supplement). These four sites could be
representative for monitoring outflows from China, North Korea, and South Korea because of the
dominance of wintertime monsoons. Moreover, the footprint of the Noto site
could cover the middle part of Japan, such as the Kanto, Chubu, and Kansai
regions. To exclude cases with wet-deposition influence, the accumulated
precipitation along with trajectory (APT) was calculated over the past 72 h (Kanaya et al., 2016; Oshima et al., 2012), and we only used cases
with APT=0.
As aforementioned, BC and CO are commonly emitted from incomplete fuel
combustion, and the ΔBC/ΔCO ratio is used to evaluate the
bottom-up emission inventory as a representative indicator, preserving the
emission ratio when wet removal is not influential (Kanaya et al., 2016).
ΔCO was calculated by subtracting the baseline level from the
observed CO mixing ratio. Though there are several methods for estimating
the CO baseline level (e.g., Matsui et al., 2011; Miyakawa et al., 2017;
Oshima et al., 2012; Verma et al., 2011), the CO baseline in this study was
regarded as a 14 d moving 5th percentile based on Kanaya et al. (2016). On
the other hand, ΔBC is the BC concentration as is (BC baseline is 0) because the atmospheric lifetime of BC is estimated to be several days
(Park et al., 2005), in contrast to that of CO, which has a 1-month or
2-month lifetime (Bey et al., 2001). It should be noted that we used the CO
concentration when it was higher than the moving 25th percentile of CO so
that only data with meaningful enhancement were employed.
To determine the dominant emission region of each sample, we calculated the
residence time over the six regions (“East China”, “North China”, “Northeast
China”, North Korea, South Korea, and Japan) using backward trajectories
covering the previous 72 h. Hourly endpoints with altitudes of less than
2.5 km were counted (Kanaya et al., 2016). Based on the fractions of the
total 73 h, the highest fraction of the region was classified as the
dominant emission region when the fraction of the frequency was higher than
5 % to secure statistics (Sect. S1 and Fig. S2 in the Supplement). In addition, we checked (1) the
dry-deposition effect during the traveling time, (2) the influences of other
regions on ΔBC/ΔCO depending on the residence time, and (3) biomass burning events that could cause distortion producing higher ΔBC/ΔCO values. As a result, it was determined that there was no
significant dry-deposition effect (Sect. S2 and Fig. S3) or interruption by other
regions (Sect. S3 and Fig. S4), implying that the BC/CO ratio was preserved
regardless of the residence time over other regions when the threshold (N>5) of each bin (20 % interval) was satisfied. In addition,
the influences from biomass burning were minimized during long-term periods,
as confirmed by no significant difference between the ratios produced by
including and excluding biomass burning events selected by the Moderate
Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Fire Information for Resource
Management System (FIRMS). Miyakawa et al. (2019) also pointed out that
∼90 % of BC in springtime at Fukue originated from the
combustion of fossil fuel.
The uncertainty of the BC/CO ratio that may arise from estimating the CO
baseline by different methods and from allocation methods involving
selecting different altitudes is discussed in the Supplement Sect. S4.
Results and discussionSeasonal variation in BC and CO
The BC, CO, and ΔCO concentrations are summarized in Table 2. The
mean BC and ΔCO concentrations were highest in Baengnyeong, followed
by Fukuoka, Gosan, and Noto, according to the distance from the main BC and
CO emission sources in China. Although the levels at Baengnyeong and Gosan
were high, they maintained regional representativeness, as the BC
concentration levels were lower than those at urban sites such as Daejon
(1.78 µg m-3), Seoul (1.52 µg m-3), and Gwangju (1.13 µg m-3) in South Korea (Yu et al., 2018). Despite the suburban location
of Fukuoka, the BC concentration was even lower than that of Baengnyeong.
However, the CO baseline concentration was highest among the measurement
sites, suggesting the influence of local sources, though it could be varied
depending on geographical location. To check the influence of local pollution at
Fukuoka, we tested by applying more stringent CO baseline criteria (14 d
moving 2nd percentile; ∼166 ppbv). As a result, there were
no significant changes in our results (less than -4 %). In the case of
Noto, the BC concentration was the lowest among the sites, at 0.24 µg m-3. The concentration level was lower than the annual averages of 0.36 µg m-3 at Fukue (Kanaya et al., 2016) and 0.29 µg m-3 at Cape Hedo (Verma et al., 2011), which are regarded as
background monitoring sites in Japan. The seasonal variation in the BC
concentration at all sites showed similar patterns of being low in summer
due to rainout followed by precipitation and increasing from fall onwards due to
house heating and/or crop biomass burning along with the transition to
westerly winds.
Means and standard deviations of the black carbon (BC)a,
carbon monoxide (CO)b, ΔCO concentrationsb, CO
baselineb, amount of APTc, and the number of data for all (Nall) and APT=0 (NAPT=0) cases at each site.
Figure 2 shows the time series of the BC, CO, ΔBC/ΔCO ratio
and APTs at the Noto site. Regardless of precipitation during the
measurement periods, the correlation coefficient (R) between BC and CO was
0.70 within the significance level (p<0.01), indicating that BC and
CO were emitted from similar sources. Additionally, the R between ΔBC/ΔCO and APT showed a slightly negative relationship, at -0.24, within the significance level (p<0.01), suggesting that the wet
removal process removed BC, which resulted in a low ΔBC/ΔCO
ratio. However, compared to Noto, the other sites showed weak negative
relationships within the significance level (p<0.01) because the
amounts of APT at the other three sites were lower than the amount for Noto, which
led to less-distinctive wet removal effects (Table 2).
Time series of (a) BC concentration, (b) CO and ΔCO concentrations, and (c)ΔBC/ΔCO ratio and accumulated
precipitation along with trajectory (APT) during the measurement periods
(from 2011 to 2017) in Noto, Japan. The square symbols with solid lines in
(a) and (b) indicate hourly and monthly concentrations.
Regional variation in the ΔBC/ΔCO ratio
Figure 3 shows a comparison of the ΔBC/ΔCO ratio between the REAS emission inventories and measured values at four sites. The solid
symbols with error bars satisfy the fraction of frequency (>5 % in Fig. S2) and the number of data for each bin (N>5 in
Fig. S4). The open symbols with a dashed error bar were excluded from the
analysis because they did not satisfy the criteria. It should be noted that
the total number of data for dominant emission regions in this study was 2.7
times higher than that used by Kanaya et al. (2016), indicating significant
improvement in the representativeness of the regional variation. Due to the
large spatial variations in BC and CO in the REAS emission inventory
depending on the dominant emission region, the coefficient of variation (CV;
standard deviation divided by the mean) of the BC/CO ratio from the REAS
emission inventory (0.65; over the six regions) was much higher than the ratios
from the measurements (0.09–0.13) at each site. The CV from the REAS
emission inventory was still as high as 0.27 when the highest (South Korea)
and the lowest ratios (North Korea) were excluded. Moreover, the BC/CO ratio
from the REAS emission inventory was slightly higher than the measured
ratios, except for North Korea, indicating that the REAS BC/CO ratio did not
represent the real value. It should be noted that there were no significant
changes in trends for the long-term variation in the ΔBC/ΔCO
ratios of all sites as well as BC/CO ratios from the Emissions Database for
Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR version 4.3.2; Crippa et al., 2018)
emission inventory since 2008 and the MIX emission inventory (Li et al.,
2017) in 2008 and 2010 (Fig. S6). This result implied that comparison
between the measurements and the REAS emission inventory was a reasonable
approach even though the timescale between them did not match. The
differences in the ratios between the REAS and the measurements will be
discussed further in Sect. 3.3.
ΔBC/ΔCO ratios at the four measurement sites and
Fukue from Kanaya et al. (2016) according to the dominant emission region.
The symbols with vertical lines are the means and standard deviations of the
ΔBC/ΔCO ratio. The bar graph on the bottom indicates the
number of data in the dominant emission region. Open symbols with dashed
vertical lines indicate data excluded because of a low number of data. The
solid blue horizontal lines with dashed lines for each region indicate the
means and standard deviations of the measured ΔBC/ΔCO,
excluding the areas with limited data. The solid red horizontal lines depict
the overall mean BC/CO ratios of dominant emission regions from the REAS
version 2.1 emission inventory (Kurokawa et al., 2013).
The ΔBC/ΔCO ratio in North China showed the lowest average
value across China, at 6.2±0.5 ng m-3 ppb-1, followed by
East China (6.8±0.3 ng m-3 ppb-1) and Northeast China (7.9±0.7 ng m-3 ppb-1). The ratios of two or three regions in China showed significant differences at all sites when Welch's t test or the ANOVA test was applied (p<0.05), except for Baengnyeong. The lower
ΔBC/ΔCO ratio in North China than in East China was also
reported with 5.3±2.1 and 6.4±2.2 ng m-3 ppb-1 in
Fukue, 7.0±3.3 and 7.5±4.6 ng m-3 ppb-1 in Cape
Hedo, and 6.5±0.4 and 8.8±0.9 ng m-3 ppb-1 in Mt. Huang, respectively (Kanaya et al., 2016; Pan et al., 2011; Verma et al.,
2011). In the case of Northeast China, the variation in the ratio over the
measurement sites (0.09 of the CV) was higher than that over other Chinese
regions (0.07 and 0.04 of the CV in East China and North China, respectively).
The reason why a higher CV was observed even in the same emission source
region is that the pathways of the backward trajectories were different,
depending on the measurement site (Fig. S7); the backward trajectory of
Noto passed over the eastern region (Heilongjiang), whereas that of
Baengnyeong passed over the western region of Northeast China (Liaoning).
The information of emissions of Northeast China obtained from measurements at
Gosan might have been more strongly affected by emissions from South Korea
than that at Baengnyeong (Sect. S5).
The mean ΔBC/ΔCO ratios of North Korea and South Korea were similar, at 7.3 and 7.8±1.2 ng m-3 ppb-1, respectively. Verma et al. (2011) reported a lower ratio for the Korean Peninsula (both South and North Korea) of 5.7±2.0 ng m-3 ppb-1. It should
be noted that the ΔBC/ΔCO ratios for South Korea estimated
from observations at Korean and Japanese sites were significantly different, at 8.9±5.3 ng m-3 ppb-1 and 6.7±3.8 ng m-3 ppb-1, respectively (p≤0.01). These differences were also
consistent with previous studies that reported ratios of 8.5 ng m-3 ppb-1 at Gosan (Sahu et al., 2009) and 6.7±3.7 ng m-3 ppb-1 at Fukue (Kanaya et al., 2016). The difference between the
ratios could also be caused by the different influences of the emission
source regions, similar to the case in Northeast China. Baengnyeong and
Gosan were mainly influenced by the southwestern region of South Korea, including
the Seoul metropolitan area (SMA), whereas the Fukuoka and Noto sites were
mainly influenced by the southeastern region of South Korea (Fig. S8),
suggesting large spatial variation in BC/CO over the Korean Peninsula. In
the case of Japan, the mean ΔBC/ΔCO ratio was 6.8±0.2 ng m-3 ppb-1, which was higher than or similar to the reported
values of 5.9±3.4 ng m-3 ppb-1 at Fukue, 5.7±0.9 ng m-3 ppb-1 at Tokyo, and 6.3±0.5 ng m-3 ppb-1
at Nagoya (Kondo et al., 2006; Kanaya et al., 2016). Moreover, there were no
significant differences in the ΔBC/ΔCO ratio between Noto
and Fukuoka, although the trajectories passed through different regions of
Japan (Fig. S9), suggesting that the spatial variation in the ΔBC/ΔCO ratio of Japan was smaller than that of South Korea. The
higher ΔBC/ΔCO ratio of South Korea could be explained by
the higher ratio of diesel to gasoline vehicles in South Korea (0.88) than in
Japan (0.09) in 2015 (MLIT, 2019; MOLIT, 2019) because the BC/CO ratio from
diesel vehicles is higher than that from gasoline vehicles due to the
different carbon atom contents (Zhou et al., 2009; Guo et al., 2017).
Comparison between the REAS version 2.1 and measured ΔBC/ΔCO ratios
In this section, we investigated the differences in ΔBC/ΔCO
between the measured values and the REAS version 2.1 emission inventory. We adopted
the mean fractional bias (MFB; ranging from -2 to 2), defined by
MFB=2N∑i=Ni=1Ri-MiRi+Mi,
where Ri and Mi denote the REAS emission inventory and the measured
ratio corresponding to sample i, respectively.
East China showed the lowest MFB value among Chinese regions, at 0.12, and
the other two regions had similar MFB values of 0.48 for North China and
0.35 for Northeast China, indicating an overestimation of the REAS emission
inventory in China. The BC/CO ratio from the REAS emission inventory showed
a higher ratio in North China (10.0 ng m-3 ppb-1) than in East
China (7.7 ng m-3 ppb-1), which is an opposite pattern to that of
the measured ratios. Considering that most trajectories passed Inner Mongolia
(12.5 ng m-3 ppb-1) and Hebei (6.6 ng m-3 ppb-1) in
North China with lower measured ΔBC/ΔCO ratios, the BC/CO ratio in Inner Mongolia was likely overestimated. In Northeast China, the higher
BC/CO ratio in Heilongjiang (14.0 ng m-3 ppb-1 in REAS) than in
Liaoning (11.3 ng m-3 ppb-1 in REAS) was consistent with the
tendency of the measured ΔBC/ΔCO ratio.
The BC/CO ratios from the REAS emission inventory for South Korea (23.2 ng m-3 ppb-1) and North Korea (3.7 ng m-3 ppb-1) were
highly over- and underestimated along with large absolute values of MFB of
0.99 (by factor 3.0) and -0.66 (by factor 2.0), respectively. The ΔBC/ΔCO ratio in South Korea was still found to be 9.6±0.5 ng m-3 ppb-1 when the condition was restricted to less than the
25th percentile of the maximum relative humidity during the previous 72 h (less than 67.2 %) to ensure choosing cases without wet-deposition
effects. Kanaya et al. (2016) pointed out that the industry and transport
sectors could be the sources of the large discrepancy between the REAS
emission inventory and the measurements. Although the ratio of the industry
sector in South Korea (41.4 ng m-3 ppb-1) is also much higher (13
times) than that in Japan, BC and CO from industrial emissions in South
Korea only accounted for 13.4 % and 7.9 % of the total, respectively.
Here, we identify the relative importance of the road transport sector; the
BC/CO ratio from road transportation in South Korea was 26.8 ng m-3 ppb-1, which was 3.6 times higher than the ratio in Japan of 7.4 ng m-3 ppb-1. Upon looking more closely into the transportation
sector, the BC/CO ratios from diesel vehicles were found to be similar
between South Korea (120 ng m-3 ppb-1) and Japan (109 ng m-3 ppb-1), although the BC emissions could vary depending on the
installation of diesel particulate filters.
To easily compare the CO emission rates from gasoline vehicles between South
Korea and Japan, we roughly estimated the CO emission factor from gasoline
vehicles. This hypothetical CO emission factor was calculated by considering
the actual mean daily mileage (31 and 12 km d-1 for South Korea
and Japan, respectively), the actual number of gasoline vehicles in 2008
(MLIT, 2016, 2019; MOLIT, 2019; TS, 2009), and the total CO emission rates in
the REAS emission inventory; the hypothetical CO emission factor in Japan
(15.8 CO g km-1; 2.82 Tg yr-1 from 40.8 million) was 6.9
times higher than that in South Korea (2.3 CO g km-1; 0.22 Tg yr-1 from 8.3 million). Underestimation of the hypothetical CO emission factor in South Korea was also observed in motorcycles (2.8 CO g km-1; 0.06 Tg yr-1 from 1.8 million), which was lower
than that in Japan (14.7 g km-1; 0.15 Tg yr-1 from 1.5
million), assuming the same motorcycle mileage in South Korea. Clearly the
hypothetical CO emission factor thus derived for South Korea is unlikely, pointing
to underestimation of the assumed CO emission rate. We can roughly revise
the total CO emission rates (2.2 Tg) from gasoline vehicles (1.46 Tg) and
motorcycles (0.31 Tg) by applying the hypothetical CO emission factor of
Japan. Although the hypothetical CO emission factors had large uncertainties
due to inaccurate mileage for gasoline vehicles and motorcycles, the
revised REAS BC/CO ratio decreased to 7.3 ng m-3 ppb-1, which was closer to that of the observations.
The recently updated Korean emission inventory Clean Air Policy Support
System (CAPSS; Lee et al., 2011; Yeo et al., 2019) based on the year 2015 also showed
a high BC/CO ratio of 25.1 ng m-3 ppb-1 (Table 3), with much lower
hypothetical CO emission factors for gasoline vehicles (1.1 CO g km-1) and motorcycles (1.7 CO g km-1) with similar mean
mileage values (30.4 km d-1; TS, 2016), suggesting that BC and
CO emissions still need to be improved. This high BC/CO ratio (35.6 ng m-3 ppb-1) was also found in the MIX emission inventory, whereas
the BC/CO ratio from the EDGAR inventory in 2010 was much closer to the
measured ratio of 7.68 ng m-3 ppb-1. Many researchers have been
trying to improve the accuracy of the CO emission rate in South Korea
through the bottom-up emission inventory (0.90 Tg) and top-down estimation
(1.10 Tg) derived from the KORUS-AQ campaign (Table 3). However,
discrepancies still exist in not only the ΔBC/ΔCO ratio but
also the CO emission rate. In particular, the CO emission rate in South
Korea showed large variations according to the emission inventory,
suggesting that CO emission rates over South Korea should be improved
preferentially.
(a) Regional ΔBC/ΔCO (ng m-3 ppb-1) ratios and emission rates of
(b) BC and (c) CO (in Tg per
year) over East Asia from various emission inventories.
a With uncertainty (1σ) calculated by regional and seasonal
mean values.
b Calculated based on administrative division from the emission
inventory, which did not provide regional emission rates.
c Based on the improved CAPSS for 2015 and CREATE v3 in China for 2015
using SMOKE-Asia emission processing at a 0.1∘ resolution (Woo et
al., 2012).
d From multiconstituent data assimilation; more details can be found in
Miyazaki et al. (2019).
e Using the BC emission rate from the REAS version 2.1 emission inventory.
In the case of North Korea, the CO emission rate (5.14 Tg) from REAS was
considerably higher than that of South Korea by a factor of 7.4 and was
especially higher than that of Japan, resulting in a low BC/CO ratio of 3.7 ng m-3 ppb-1. The domestic and industrial sectors in North Korea
showed relatively low BC/CO ratios of 6.79 and 4.45 ng m-3 ppb-1, respectively, compared to those in China (9.5–10.5 ng m-3 ppb-1
for industry and 13.9–15.6 ng m-3 ppb-1 for the domestic
sector). The BC and CO emission rates were under- and/or overestimated,
respectively, although the quality of fuel and/or end-of-pipe technology
could be different. In addition, when we considered registered vehicles in
North Korea (0.26 million) and South Korea (16.8 million), the CO emission
from road transportation in North Korea (1.75 Tg) was similar to the roughly
revised CO emission in South Korea (1.88 Tg), implying a highly
overestimated CO emission rate for the transportation sector (Statics of
Korea, 2017). The Comprehensive Regional Emissions inventory for Atmospheric
Transport Experiment (CREATE; Woo et al., 2014) in 2015 and EDGAR reported
much lower CO emission rates in North Korea (1.41 and 1.55 Tg,
respectively). As a result, the BC/CO ratio from EDGAR falls within a
reasonable range as 6.85 ng m-3 ppb-1, indicating agreement with
the measured ratio (7.3 ng m-3 ppb-1). This is because the ratio
in EDGAR CO emission rates relative to REAS rates (30 % of REAS) was much
smaller than that for EDGAR BC (56 % of REAS; Table 3), especially in the
road transportation (9 % for CO and 21 % for BC) and industry sectors
(38 % for CO and 51 % for BC). Kim and Kim (2019) pointed out that the
uncertainty in the REAS CO emission rate in North Korea could result from
inaccurate emission factors for biofuel compared to fossil fuels because the
REAS emission inventory included several biofuel sources (such as fuel wood,
crop residue, and animal waste).
The mean ΔBC/ΔCO ratio in Japan showed good consistency
between the REAS emission inventory (6.84 ng m-3 ppb-1) along
with the lowest absolute MFB, at -0.05, which was close to the value of 0.09 from Kanaya et
al. (2016). The BC and CO emission rates from EDGAR, MIX, and ECLIPSE V5a
were close to those from the REAS emission inventory, indicating that the BC
and CO emission rates over Japan were more accurate than those over other
regions (Table 3).
In the case of the MIX emission inventory, the emission rates from North and
South Korea were derived from the REAS and CAPSS inventories, respectively,
and both the emission rates and BC/CO ratio were within a narrow range of
those of the REAS inventory. However, for EDGAR, while the BC/CO ratios in
North Korea, South Korea, and Japan were relatively consistent with the
ratios from measurements, the overestimation for China was remarkable
compared to both the measurement ratios and other emission inventories.
Especially North China showed the highest BC/CO ratio compared to East and
Northeast China because the industry sector in North China has the largest
BC and CO emission rates (63 % and 35 % of total, respectively) along
with a high BC/CO ratio (38.5 ng m-3 ppb-1).
Seasonal variation in the ΔBC/ΔCO ratio
The regional ΔBC/ΔCO ratios in the previous sections might
still contain variability because of spatial (differences in the pathways of
trajectories) and/or temporal variation (differences in monthly emissions)
even within the same dominant emission region. To explore this finer
spatio-temporal variability in the ΔBC/ΔCO ratio, the
monthly BC and CO emission rates in each grid (0.25∘ by
0.25∘) in the REAS emission inventory were integrated over the
pathway of the backward trajectory satisfying altitudes ≤2.5 km and
were compared with the observations. Figure 4 shows the seasonal variation
in the recalculated BC/CO ratios from the REAS emission inventory and the
measured ΔBC/ΔCO ratios regardless of the measurement sites.
The seasonal ΔBC/ΔCO ratios from four measurement
sites (filled blue circles) and recalculated REAS BC/CO ratios according to
the pathway of the trajectory (open orange squares), depending on the
dominant emission region. The symbols with vertical lines are the means and
standard deviations of the ΔBC/ΔCO ratios. Open-circle
symbols with dashed vertical lines indicate data excluded because of a low
number of data (≤50). The horizontal lines for each region indicate
the overall mean values of the ΔBC/ΔCO ratios of dominant
emission regions from the REAS version 2.1 emission inventory (Kurokawa et
al., 2013). The bar graph on the bottom indicates the number of data in each
season and the dominant emission region. The abbreviations “Sp”, “Su”, “Fa”, and “Wi” indicate spring, summer, fall, and winter, respectively.
The recalculated BC/CO ratios of China and North Korea showed similar
seasonal variations, being relatively high in winter and low in summer. This
result was caused by the seasonal variation in the BC emission rate (CV:
0.11–0.17) being higher than that in the CO emission rate (CV: 0.07–0.14) according to REAS in China, and domestic heating is the main factor
affecting the seasonality. In contrast, the seasonal pattern in the REAS
BC/CO ratios of South Korea and Japan, higher in summer than in spring or
winter, can be explained by the term of the CO emission rate (CV: 0.05 for
South Korea and 0.12 for Japan) compared to that of BC (CV: 0.005 for South
Korea and 0.03 for Japan), which showed a relatively constant rate
throughout the year.
Spatial distribution of the PSCF results for the mean fractional
bias (MFB) ≥ 0.5 for overestimation cases at the (a) Baengnyeong, (b) Gosan, (c) Fukuoka, and (d) Noto sites. MFB is calculated from 2×
(Ri-Mi)/(Ri+Mi), where Ri and Mi denote the mean values of the recalculated REAS BC/CO ratio along with the
backward trajectory and the measured BC/CO ratio, respectively.
The average absolute MFB of ΔBC/ΔCO between the recalculated
REAS and the measured values in all regions was 0.29, and that in spring was
the lowest, at 0.19, followed by winter (0.33), fall (0.34), and summer
(0.61). However, the MFB in summer decreased to 0.30, which was close to
that in fall and winter, when the low ΔBC/ΔCO ratio in North
China and Northeast China was excluded due to the small number of data (≤50). The MFB in South Korea was too high, ranging from 0.64 to 0.93, due
to underestimation of the CO emission rate, as discussed in Sect. 3.3. It
should be noted that the measured ΔBC/ΔCO ratios in spring
were the highest among the seasons for all dominant emission regions except
for North Korea; in particular, those in East China, South Korea, and Japan
showed significant differences in the ΔBC/ΔCO ratios between
spring and winter (p≤0.05). These higher ΔBC/ΔCO ratios
in spring than in winter were also observed at Hedo, Okinawa (Verma et al.,
2011). This difference might be caused by the seasonality of BC emissions
from the domestic sector between spring and winter, which was overwhelmed by
the seasonality of CO emissions. The annual consumption of coal (high BC/CO
ratios) for households slightly decreased, from 1.004×108 to 9.35×107 t, whereas that of natural gas (non-emitted BC) showed a significant
increase, from 7.9×109 to 3.6×1010 m3, a factor of 3.6 times, from 2005
to 2015 (National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2017). This fuel transition
for the domestic sector could have caused a decreased ΔBC/ΔCO ratio in winter due to the constant BC emission rate along with
an increasing CO emission rate.
Same as Fig. 5, except for the mean fractional bias (MFB) ≤-0.5 for underestimation cases.
Although the ΔBC/ΔCO in Japan showed good agreement with the
regional REAS BC/CO ratio, the mean absolute MFB was 0.30, which was not
low, as we expected. In the REAS emission inventory, the CO emission rates
in South Korea and Japan mainly varied due to the domestic sector and road
transportation, respectively, and those rates were maximum in winter and
minimum in summer. The reason why the observed ΔBC/ΔCO
ratios in both South Korea and Japan showed the highest values in spring and
not summer is that the ratio of ΔBC in spring to that in summer was
higher than the corresponding ratio of ΔCO, implying that seasonal
variations in the CO emission rate could not represent the seasonal
characteristics.
Similar to the regional variation, the seasonal variation in other
inventories also showed large differences not only in the variation pattern
but also in magnitude (Fig. S10). As discussed for the regional variations
in the emission inventory (Sect. 3.3), the MIX inventory showed similar
seasonal variations to those of the REAS emission inventory, indicating high
BC/CO ratios in winter for China (due to residential heating) and high
values in summer for Japan (due to traffic). On the other hand, the seasonal
variation in EDGAR reached the maximum in summer for China and in winter for
South Korea and Japan, which is an opposite seasonal pattern to that of the
REAS and MIX emission inventories. The reason why the summer ratio was high
in China is that the emission rates from industry increased in summer. This
tendency was prominent in North China due to the much higher BC/CO ratio
(this was especially relevant for oil refineries and the transformation
industry). High BC/CO ratios in winter in South Korea and Japan were due to the
reduced effect from road transportation, which has a low BC/CO ratio.
Estimated potential regions of over- and underestimation for ΔBC/ΔCO
An investigation of the potential locations for over- and underestimated
ΔBC/ΔCO ratios was performed using a potential source
contribution function (PSCF). Typically, the PSCF has been widely applied to
identify source regions of aerosols on regional scales as well as to
identify long-range transported pollution to a receptor site (Guo et al.,
2015; Kim et al., 2016). Unlike the grid size of the REAS emission
inventory, the trajectory endpoints are assigned to cells of 0.5∘×0.5∘ geographic coordinates with a latitude (i) and
longitude (j), and the number of trajectory segment endpoints within the grid
cell are counted. The PSCF at the i,jth grid cell can be calculated by the
following:
PSCFi,j=∑mi,j∑ni,j,
where ni,j is the total number of trajectory endpoints over the i,jth grid cell and mi,j is the number of these endpoints that corresponds to values higher or lower than certain criteria over a certain grid cell. We applied MFB values higher
than 0.5 and lower than -0.5 for over- and underestimated criteria,
respectively. If the total number of trajectory segment endpoints in a
particular cell ∑ni,j is small, the PSCF value may be biased toward overestimation, especially
when the value of ∑mi,j
is higher at the receptor site. To reduce the effect of abnormal and large
PSCFi,j values with low ∑ni,j, a weight function (Guo et al., 2015) was applied with the power law of the
total number of trajectories (NAPT=0 for each site in Table 2).
For overestimated cases (MFB≥0.5; Fig. 5), South Korea was clearly
identified as a region with a higher PSCF value regardless of the
measurement site. In particular, the western region of South Korea,
including the SMA and the southwestern region, showed the highest PSCF
values. High PSCF values in Baengnyeong were observed in the SMA region
(17.2 ng m-3 ppb-1 from REAS) with 0.60, whereas those in Gosan
were located in the southwestern region of South Korea (30.7 ng m-3 ppb-1 from REAS) with 0.65, suggesting that the southwestern region of
South Korea is more overestimated than the SMA region. Although the measured
ΔBC/ΔCO ratios were similar at Fukuoka and Noto, the
overestimated region for Fukuoka was more emphasized in SMA, with a higher
PSCF value (0.61) than that for Noto, which indicated that the southeastern
region (27.0 ng m-3 ppb-1 from REAS) had a relatively low PSCF
(0.42). In China, Liaoning (10.8 ng m-3 ppb-1 from REAS) in
Northeast China revealed the highest PSCF (0.43), followed by Tianjin (7.0 ng m-3 ppb-1 from REAS) in North China at Baengnyeong, along
with similar results in Gosan. Fukuoka and Noto did not directly point out
the overestimated regions in China. Nonetheless, Noto may indicate that
Heilongjiang (14.0 ng m-3 ppb-1) is related to a large
overestimation of the ratio, as deduced from the pathway of air mass toward
Northeast China. For Japan, the Kyushu and central region (Kansai, Kanto,
and Chubu) showed moderate PSCF values (∼0.3), implying
relatively good consistency between the REAS and the measured ratios.
On the other hand, a PSCF value higher than 0.2 for an underestimated case
(MFB≤-0.5, Fig. 6) was observed only at the Baengnyeong site for
North Korea. The most underestimated regions were identified as the western
regions of North Korea, such as Pyongyang (4.72 ng m-3 ppb-1 from REAS) and nearby. These regions showed the highest CO emission rates (Fig. 1), especially from the industrial sector, suggesting that the accuracies of
the CO emission rates from not only road transportation but also the
industrial sector should be improved. The results of PSCF analysis provided
useful information on the potentially over- and underestimated BC/CO ratio
regions where the BC and CO emission rates should be preferentially updated.
Conclusions
To verify the REAS bottom-up emission inventory, the ΔBC/ΔCO ratios were diagnosed from long-term, best-effort observations at four sites in East Asia, including two sites in South Korea (Baengnyeong and Gosan) and two sites in Japan (Fukuoka and Noto). Based on the backward trajectories
covering the past 72 h, dominant emission regions were assigned to six
study domains divided by country and/or administrative district, including
three Chinese regions (East, North, and Northeast China), two Korean Peninsula
regions (South and North Korea), and Japan. To choose cases without wet-deposition effects, the ΔBC/ΔCO ratio was considered only
when the accumulated precipitation along a backward trajectory (APT) for
3 d was equal to zero.
The regional ΔBC/ΔCO ratios were overestimated in the REAS
emission inventory from East, North, and Northeast China. The REAS BC/CO ratio of South Korea was 3.0 times higher than the measured ΔBC/ΔCO ratio, whereas Japan showed good consistency between the two
ratios. The plausible reason was that the CO emissions rates from gasoline
vehicles and motorcycles in South Korea were highly underestimated when
considering hypothetical CO emission factors compared to those in Japan.
However, North Korea revealed a highly underestimated region by a factor of
2.0 due to unrealistically overestimated CO emissions from vehicles,
although it is hard to directly compare these emissions with those in other
countries due to the possibility of differences in fuel usage and combustion
technology. The seasonal variation in the ΔBC/ΔCO ratio
revealed different tendencies. The BC/CO ratios from REAS (and MIX) peaked
in winter (China and North Korea) and in summer (South Korea and Japan),
which is an opposite seasonal pattern to that of EDGAR values. In contrast,
the measured ratio was the highest in spring, implying that the REAS and
other emission inventories did not reflect the major seasonality driver.
From the PSCF analysis, the potentially over- and underestimated regions
were emphasized in the SMA and southwestern regions of South Korea and
Pyongyang of North Korea, respectively. In addition to the highlighted
regions in the Korean Peninsula, moderate PSCF values for overestimation
were also observed at Tianjin (East China), Liaoning, Heilongjiang (Northeast China), on Kyushu, and in the central region in Japan.
This study provided the overall mean BC/CO ratio with uncertainty for each
dominant emission region by taking into consideration the full range of the
ΔBC/ΔCO ratio based on spatial (four sites) and temporal
variations (four seasons; Table 3). The BC emissions over East Asia can be
estimated by multiplying the observed ΔBC/ΔCO ratio by
reliable estimates of the CO emission rate. The discrepancy in the BC/CO
ratio is largely contributed by inaccurate CO emission rates in emission
inventories in addition to BC emission factors. Therefore, to enhance the
accuracy of the BC emission rate over East Asia, a comprehensive and
in-depth investigation of CO emissions should be performed to accurately
assess the CO emission rate by considering not only the annual total but
also the monthly basis, particularly in the Korean Peninsula.
Data availability
The observational data set for BC is available upon request to the corresponding author.
The supplement related to this article is available online at: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-83-2020-supplement.
Author contributions
YC and YK designed the study and prepared the paper, with contributions
from all co-authors. SMP, HK, and DHJ were responsible for measurements at
Baengnyeong. AM and YS conducted measurements at Noto, and IU provided the
data at Fukuoka. SWK and ML contributed to ground observations and quality
control at Gosan. XP contributed the data analysis. All co-authors provided
professional comments to improve the paper.
Competing interests
The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
Acknowledgements
The authors thank NOAA ARL for providing the HYSPLIT backward trajectories.
Financial support
This research has been supported by the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund of the Ministry of the Environment, Japan (grant no. 2-1803).
Review statement
This paper was edited by Qiang Zhang and reviewed by two anonymous referees.
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