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  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ACP</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ACP</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Atmos. Chem. Phys.</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1680-7324</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/acp-20-14457-2020</article-id><title-group><article-title>Amplification of South Asian haze by water <?xmltex \hack{\break}?>vapour–aerosol interactions</article-title><alt-title>Amplification of South Asian haze by water vapour–aerosol interactions</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Amplification of South Asian haze by water vapour--aerosol interactions}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{V. S. Nair et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Nair</surname><given-names>Vijayakumar Sivadasan</given-names></name>
          <email>vijayakumarsnair@gmail.com</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8236-3590</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Giorgi</surname><given-names>Filippo</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1 aff3">
          <name><surname>Keshav Hasyagar</surname><given-names>Usha</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>Space Physics Laboratory, Vikram Sarabhai Space Centre,
Thiruvananthapuram, Kerala, India</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Earth System Physics, International Centre for Theoretical Physics,
Trieste, Italy</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>Department of Physics, University of Kerala, Thiruvananthapuram, India</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Vijayakumar Sivadasan Nair (vijayakumarsnair@gmail.com)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>28</day><month>November</month><year>2020</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>20</volume>
      <issue>22</issue>
      <fpage>14457</fpage><lpage>14471</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>24</day><month>May</month><year>2020</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>6</day><month>July</month><year>2020</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>7</day><month>October</month><year>2020</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>13</day><month>October</month><year>2020</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Copyright: © 2020 Vijayakumar Sivadasan Nair et al.</copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2020</copyright-year>
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/20/14457/2020/acp-20-14457-2020.html">This article is available from https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/20/14457/2020/acp-20-14457-2020.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/20/14457/2020/acp-20-14457-2020.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/20/14457/2020/acp-20-14457-2020.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract><title>Abstract</title>
    <p id="d1e113">Air pollution and wintertime fog over South Asia is a
major concern due to its significant implications for air quality, visibility
and health. Using a regional climate model coupled with chemistry,
we assess the contribution of the hygroscopic growth of aerosols (ambient–dry)
to the total aerosol optical depth and demonstrate that the increased
surface cooling due to the hygroscopic effects of aerosols further increases
the humidity in the boundary layer and thus enhances the confinement of
pollutants through aerosol–boundary layer interactions. This positive
feedback mechanism plays an important role in the prevalence of wintertime
fog and poor air quality conditions over South Asia, where water vapour
contributes more than half of the aerosol optical depth. The
aerosol–boundary layer interactions lead to moistening of the boundary layer
and drying of the free troposphere, which amplifies the long-term trend in
relative humidity over the Indo-Gangetic Plain during winter. Hence, the
aerosol–water vapour interaction plays a decisive role in the formation and
maintenance of the wintertime fog conditions over South Asia, which
needs to be considered for planning mitigation strategies.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <label>1</label><title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d1e125">South Asia experiences severe air pollution events during the
winter season. Widespread haze and fog over the northern parts of the Indian
subcontinent, especially the Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP), are associated with
anthropogenic activities and are noticeable even from space during the
winter season (Ali
et al., 2019; Gautam and Singh, 2018; Ghude et al., 2017). Poor air quality
and visibility persisting throughout the winter period has been a major
concern for more than 900 million people living in the IGP (Gautam
and Singh, 2018; Gurjar et al., 2008; Lelieveld et al., 2015). Indeed,
various studies have shown that the winter concentrations of fine particles
(PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) and gaseous pollutants exceed national and international air quality
standards over most of the IGP region and are considered extremely hazardous
for human health (Ali
et al., 2019; Bharali et al., 2019; Ghude et al., 2017; Gurjar et al., 2008;
Kumar et al., 2015a; Nair et al., 2007; Rengarajan et al., 2011; Safai et
al., 2008). A recent estimate of premature mortality related to air pollution
over India is <inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.65 million per year, mostly found to occur in the IGP
due to residential emissions (Lelieveld et al., 2015). Traffic
disruptions and air quality alerts are quite frequent during the winter
season over megacities such as Delhi, Kolkata, Karachi, Lahore and Dhaka (Ghude et al., 2017, 2008). During the last few decades, the
intensity of fog and haze events has increased over the region by a factor
of 3 (Ghude
et al., 2017; Syed et al., 2012), which is in line with the observed
increase in aerosol optical loading (2.3 % yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> from 1985 onwards) and
surface dimming over South Asia reported from a network of radiometer
observations (Babu
et al., 2013).</p>
      <p id="d1e156">The sources of primary emission of anthropogenic aerosols include
residential, transport, industrial and agricultural sectors (Kumar et al.,
2015b). The extensive burning of stubble in agricultural fields has been
reported to be a major contributor to the formation of haze at the beginning
of winter. Mineral-dust transport from west Asia and the Thar Desert also
causes the deterioration of air quality over the<?pagebreak page14458?> region. In addition to the emission
sources, low temperatures, a shallow boundary layer and low-wind-speed
conditions hinder the vertical and horizontal mixing (ventilation) of
aerosols, which favours the accumulation of pollutants within the boundary
layer (Bharali
et al., 2019; Nair et al., 2007). Even though the aerosol loading within the
boundary layer is very high over the IGP, measurements on board aircraft show
relatively clean free-troposphere conditions. The vertical extent of this
high aerosol loading is thus limited and mostly confined to the first 2 km
near the surface with an exponential decrease above the boundary layer (Babu et al., 2016). Mass concentrations of
fine particles (size <inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 2.5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>m, PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) near the surface
measured by the Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB) clearly indicate the
poor air quality conditions prevailing over the IGP. The seasonal mean
PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> values estimated over urban centres such as Delhi, Kanpur,
Lucknow and Patna are higher than 150 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>g m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, and even higher
values (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 300 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>g m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are reported during fog events (Bharali et al., 2019). High aerosol
loadings over the IGP prevail during most of the winter period, with more
than 60 % of days being foggy (Ghude
et al., 2017). The seasonal mean value of PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> reported at Delhi is 3
times higher than the national standard of 60 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>g m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> for
satisfactory levels of ambient air quality, and the aerosol optical depth
(AOD) exceeds 1.0 quite frequently over most of the IGP region.</p>
      <p id="d1e273">In contrast to the numerous studies on the effects of aerosols on the Indian
summer monsoon rainfall characteristics (e.g. see references in Li et al., 2016), the impact of high wintertime aerosol loadings on regional haze and
fog conditions has been little explored, although some studies have focused
on the implications of regional emission sources for air quality or aerosol
loading over the region. For example, Nair
et al. (2007) showed that the aerosol variability over the IGP has strong
relations with the boundary layer variability, whereas Bharali et al. (2019) reported
that the aerosol forcing strongly influences the boundary layer evolution,
thus strengthening the accumulation of pollutants near the surface. Hence,
boundary layer variability affects the aerosol loading and the aerosol
forcing influences the evolution of the boundary layer as reported by
several studies over polluted urban centres (Bharali
et al., 2019; Ding et al., 2016; Huang et al., 2014; Li et al., 2017; Tie et
al., 2017). Similarly, several observational studies have investigated the
correlation between meteorological parameters, especially temperature and
humidity, with aerosol loadings (Kumar
et al., 2015a). However, these observational studies have inherent
difficulties in separating the aerosol forcing on meteorological conditions
from the effects of meteorology on the aerosol loading. Generally, low
temperatures and high humidity are observed over the IGP during winter, when
the climate over the region is influenced by the western disturbances
originating from the Mediterranean and bringing cold moist air over the
aerosol-laden IGP. In addition, irrigation, water bodies (rivers and lakes)
and farming activities enhance evapotranspiration and relative humidity in
the lower troposphere which, together with high aerosol loadings, lead to
extensive and frequent fog events over the region (Gautam
et al., 2007; Ghude et al., 2017; Goswami and Sarkar, 2015; Syed et al.,
2012).</p>
      <p id="d1e276">The effect of aerosols on regional climates depends on the aerosol–radiation
interactions, which are influenced by the water affinity of particles and
the ambient relative humidity. The optical properties of aerosol
(AOD, scattering and extinction coefficient) are enhanced by more than 2
times at conditions of higher relative humidity (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 80 %), which has
a strong dependence on the relative dominance of organic and inorganic
species (chemical composition) and size of the particles. However, the
direct measurements of hygroscopic-growth functions for physical (size) or
optical (scattering coefficient) properties of aerosols are limited over the
Indian landmass (Mandariya et al.,
2020). Even though several studies have addressed the implications of aerosols for
air quality, health, and regional and global climate, there have been only very limited
efforts to understand the implications of aerosol hygroscopicity on regional
meteorology, visibility and air quality.</p>
      <p id="d1e287">Based on these considerations, in this study, we use a regional climate
model (RegCM4; Giorgi et al., 2012) coupled to air chemistry and aerosol models to assess the
contribution of the aerosol hygroscopic growth to the total aerosol optical
depth over the IGP. Since the total radiative impacts of aerosols on surface
temperature, cloud properties and precipitation through various forcing
pathways are more comprehensively explored by several studies (e.g. Li et al., 2016), we focus only on the effects of the increase in AOD due to relative humidity. Further, we quantify the effects and feedbacks of the aerosol
hygroscopic growth on the regional meteorology, visibility and low-air-quality conditions over the region. The model configuration and experimental
details are given in the next section.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <label>2</label><title>Materials and methods</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <label>2.1</label><title>Regional climate model (RegCM4)</title>
      <p id="d1e305">For our study, we use the regional climate model version 4 (RegCM4) coupled
with an atmospheric chemistry and aerosol module. RegCM4 is a limited-area
model with a hydrostatic dynamical core and sigma-pressure vertical
coordinates (Giorgi
et al., 2012). The Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) South Asia domain is used in this study (Fig. 1) with 50 km horizontal grid spacing, 18 vertical levels and a model top at
50 hPa (Giorgi et al., 2012; Nair et al., 2012; Usha et al., 2020). The meteorological initial and lateral boundary conditions for our
simulations are provided by the ERA-Interim reanalysis (Dee
et al., 2011) for the three winter seasons (December to February) from November 2014 to March 2017, where the first month of simulation
(November) of each year is discarded from the<?pagebreak page14459?> analysis as model spin-up.
Optimum-interpolation weekly sea surface temperature data from the National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) are used as lower boundary
conditions over the ocean. The parameterization schemes used in the
simulations are (1) for boundary layer, the University of Washington (UW) planetary boundary layer scheme; (2) for convection over land and ocean, the Tiedtke scheme; (3) for radiative transfer, the
Community Climate Model (CCM3) scheme; (4) for cloud microphysics, a subgrid
explicit moisture scheme; and (5) for land surface, the Biosphere–Atmosphere Transfer
Scheme. More details on the model configurations and physics have already been
discussed in earlier papers (Ajay
et al., 2019; Giorgi et al., 2012; Usha et al., 2020). Note that in the
validation and analysis of the model output we always consider the average
over the three winter seasons unless otherwise specified.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Figure 1</label><caption><p id="d1e310">Study domain centred over South Asia. Colour map shows the topography (km), and circles indicate the near-surface mass loading (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>g m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) of particles below the 2.5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>m size range (PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>). PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> data are taken from the Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB), India.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/20/14457/2020/acp-20-14457-2020-f01.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e365">RegCM4 has an online chemistry module, which is extensively used for
understanding aerosol–climate interactions (Nair
et al., 2012; Shalaby et al., 2012; Solmon et al., 2015). The aerosol and
trace gas emission fluxes are adopted from the IIASA dataset, and chemical
boundary conditions are from the global model MOZART (Model for Ozone and
Related chemical Tracers). Gas-phase chemistry is based on the CBMZ
(Carbon-Bond Mechanism version Z) scheme and ISORROPIA II is used for
inorganic aerosols (Shalaby et al., 2012).
The aerosol scheme includes sulfate, nitrate, ammonia, sea salt (two size
bins), mineral dust (four size bins), black carbon (hydrophilic and
hydrophobic) and organic carbon (hydrophilic and hydrophobic). The sources,
sinks, atmospheric processes and transport of the aerosol species are
detailed in Solmon
et al. (2006) and Zakey et al. (2008). The mass
concentration of each aerosol species is converted into optical properties
using a mass extinction cross section, which depends on the ambient relative
humidity and species-specific hygroscopic-growth functions (Solmon et
al., 2006). We use the growth function described by Kiehl et al. (2000) for
sulfate, nitrate and ammonia aerosols, in which the growth function
increases exponentially with humidity. For example, at 80 % relative
humidity, the particle mass extinction cross section increases by a factor
of 3 compared to its dry value. The model emits carbonaceous aerosols as
hydrophobic, and the optical properties of these carbonaceous aerosols are
invariant with relative humidity. These particles change from hydrophobic
to hydrophilic due to ageing at a fixed timescale of 1.15 d
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 27.6 h; Solmon
et al., 2006). The hydrophilic part of the carbonaceous aerosols (black
carbon and organic carbon) has a weak affinity to water compared to sulfate
aerosols (Kasten, 1969). At 80 %
relative humidity, the growth factor is 1.37 and 1.49 for hydrophilic black
carbon and organic carbon, respectively. Mineral dust is considered fully
hydrophobic. The sea salt size increases by 2 times at 80 % relative
humidity compared to in dry conditions, but this is of little importance over
the IGP during winter. In general, most of the aerosols grow with relative
humidity, and this enhances the optical depth.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <label>2.2</label><title>Experiments</title>
      <p id="d1e383">RegCM4 has been widely used to investigate aerosol–hydroclimate interactions
and the impacts of various forcings on monsoon characteristics (e.g. Solmon
et al., 2015, and Usha et al., 2020). The model can be run with and
without radiative feedbacks of aerosols. In the former case, aerosols affect
the radiation balance and change the surface temperature and meteorology
through direct and indirect pathways. In the latter, the aerosol radiative
forcing is calculated but it does not have effects on the meteorology,
surface temperature and atmospheric thermodynamics. In the present study,
model simulations with (ambient) and without (dry) hygroscopic growth of
aerosols are named as experiments 1 and 2, respectively. Experimental details
are summarized in Table 1. In the case of the dry-aerosol simulations, we
forced the aerosol hygroscopic-growth functions to be equal to 1 in the
model code. The model runs without meteorological feedbacks (Exp1 and Exp2)
are considered control runs for the ambient- and dry-aerosol cases. Since the
effect of aerosol–radiation interactions on land and meteorological
parameters are switched off (no meteorological feedback), the difference
between these two experiments provides the contribution of hygroscopic
growth to the aerosol properties (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>):
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E1" content-type="numbered"><label>1</label><mml:math id="M25" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mtext>AOD</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mtext>AOD</mml:mtext><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mtext>Ambient</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>nofeedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mtext>AOD</mml:mtext><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mtext>Dry</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>nofeedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          Experiments 3 and 4 are similar to Exp1 and Exp2 but with meteorological
feedbacks (Table 1). The difference between<?pagebreak page14460?> Exp3 and Exp4 provides the net
effect of the hygroscopic growth of aerosols on the regional climate, which
includes (i) changes due to the radiative forcing of the aerosol hygroscopic
growth and (ii) its meteorological feedback. For example, the change in
temperature (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) due to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and its feedback is
estimated as
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E2" content-type="numbered"><label>2</label><mml:math id="M29" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mtext>Ambient</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mtext>Dry</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          The effect of the total aerosol system on meteorological variables (e.g. temperature) is estimated as
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E3" content-type="numbered"><label>3</label><mml:math id="M30" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mtext>aerosol</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mtext>Ambient</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mtext>Ambient</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>nofeedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          The <inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is a subset of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mtext>aerosol</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>
      <p id="d1e563">The change in AOD solely due to the meteorological feedback of the total aerosol system
(dry <inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> hygroscopic growth) is estimated as
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E4" content-type="numbered"><label>4</label><mml:math id="M34" display="block"><mml:mtable rowspacing="0.2ex" class="split" columnspacing="1em" displaystyle="true" columnalign="right left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mtext>AOD</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mtext>AOD</mml:mtext><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mtext>Ambient</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mtext>AOD</mml:mtext><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mtext>Ambient</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>nofeedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
          Hence, the AOD(Ambient<inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) is the sum of dry AOD, its hygroscopic growth and the meteorological feedback:
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E5" content-type="numbered"><label>5</label><mml:math id="M36" display="block"><mml:mtable columnspacing="1em" class="split" rowspacing="0.2ex" displaystyle="true" columnalign="right left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>AOD</mml:mtext><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mtext>Ambient</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mtext>AOD</mml:mtext><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mtext>Dry</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>nofeedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mtext>AOD</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mtext>AOD</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.25em"/><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula></p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Table 1</label><caption><p id="d1e686">Experimental details.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="3">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="center"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Hygroscopic</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Meteorological</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Experiment name</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">growth</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">feedback</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Exp1 – Ambient<inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>nofeedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Yes</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">No</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Exp2 – Dry<inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>nofeedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">No</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">No</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Exp3 – Ambient<inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Yes</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Yes</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Exp4 – Dry<inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">No</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Yes</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3">
  <label>2.3</label><title>Model validation</title>
      <p id="d1e817">Several earlier studies have used RegCM4 to simulate the meteorology of South
Asia (Ajay
et al., 2019; Giorgi et al., 2012; Nair et al., 2012; Usha et al., 2020). In
general, the model captures the basic features of seasonal precipitation
(monsoon), though it is sensitive to the convection schemes used and the
extent of the ocean–atmosphere coupling (Ajay
et al., 2019; Di Sante et al., 2019). Studies on the validation of chemical
constituents simulated by the model are rather limited over South Asia (Nair
et al., 2012; Solmon et al., 2015; Usha et al., 2020). A qualitative
inter-comparison of the chemical composition of aerosols simulated by RegCM4
with in situ measurements at distinct locations over the Indian region is
shown in Fig. 2. The measurements of columnar aerosol optical depth are
taken from AERONET (Aerosol Robotic Network) radiometer observations at
Jaipur, Kanpur, Gandhi College and Delhi. The black carbon measurements were
carried out using Aethalometers installed under the ARFI (Aerosol Radiative
Forcing over India) project. Since the measurements of aerosol composition
are sparse over the Indian region, we have taken values reported from
earlier studies for the winter season, and therefore the organic-carbon and
sulfate measurements are for different years than those of the model
simulations (Ali
et al., 2019; Aswini et al., 2019; George et al., 2008; Ram et al., 2010,
2012; Rengarajan et al., 2011; Safai et al., 2008; Satsangi et al., 2012).
Despite these shortcomings, compared to earlier studies, the present model
configuration simulates black carbon mass loading and AOD which are closer
to the observed values (Nair et
al., 2012). Though RegCM4 has a simple scheme for organic aerosols, the
organic carbon mass concentration broadly matches the observed seasonal mean
values. In fact, most climate and chemical transport models fail to capture
the high aerosol loading over this region, a problem which has been mostly
attributed to the parameterization of stable boundary layer conditions (Nair et al., 2012), unaccounted for
emissions (e.g. Nair et al., 2012, references therein), and biases in simulating relative humidity and precipitation (Chatani and Sharma,
2018; Feng et al., 2016). In the present study, AOD and the near-surface
mass concentrations of black carbon, organic carbon, sulfate and dust
simulated by the model are in the range of values reported by several
studies over the region. One of the main challenges in simulating the AOD
over the region is the accurate simulation of relative humidity, which
affects hygroscopic growth (Chatani and Sharma,
2018). The mean relative humidity estimated from several reanalysis
datasets and measurements in different locations of the IGP varies from 60 % to 80 % (Chatani
and Sharma, 2018; Gautam et al., 2007; Ghude et al., 2017; Goswami and
Sarkar, 2015). A good agreement between measured and simulated (with aerosol
feedback) relative humidity over the IGP (Fig. 2e) is important for the
estimation of aerosol optical properties from simulated speciated aerosol
mass concentrations. The RegCM4-simulated relative humidity values are
approximately 10 % higher than the measured RH, with a mean absolute error of 6.6 % and root mean square error (RMSE) of 7.3 %. During winter,
aerosols are confined within the boundary layer, and changes in the boundary
layer height play a major role in the dilution (ventilation) of aerosols
over the IGP (Bharali
et al., 2019; Nair et al., 2012). Shallow and stable boundary layers
prevail during the simulated winter seasons. A comparison with IGRA
(Integrated Global Radiosonde Archive) radiosonde data indicates that the UW
scheme is able to simulate the boundary layer height over the region
reasonably well (Fig. 2f) with a mean absolute error of 200 m (26 % of
mean boundary layer height) and RMSE of 240 m. Further intercomparison of
modelled and measured PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, AOD and black carbon (BC) mass concentration at
various locations over the Indian region is shown in Figs. S1, S2 and S3 in the Supplement.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><label>Figure 2</label><caption><p id="d1e831">Validation of RegCM4-simulated (Exp3) aerosol parameters (<bold>a</bold>, black carbon – BC; <bold>b</bold>, organic carbon – OC; <bold>c</bold>, sulfate; <bold>d</bold>, AOD), <bold>(e)</bold> relative humidity and <bold>(f)</bold> boundary layer height with measurements over different locations in India. The measurements of OC and sulfate mass loading are taken from earlier measurements (Kanpur<inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> – Ram et al., 2012; Delhi<inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> – Ali et al., 2019; Agra<inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> – Satsangi et al., 2012; Manora Peak<inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> – Ram et al., 2010; Ahmedabad<inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> –  Rengarajan et al., 2011; Trivandrum<inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> – Aswini et al., 2019; Agra<inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">7</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> –  Safai et al., 2008; Trivandrum<inline-formula><mml:math id="M49" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">8</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> – George et al., 2008), and these values represent the winter season but for different years than those of the model simulations.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/20/14457/2020/acp-20-14457-2020-f02.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
</sec>
<?pagebreak page14461?><sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <label>3</label><title>Results and discussions</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <label>3.1</label><title>Hygroscopic growth of aerosols</title>
      <p id="d1e948">The particulate mass loadings (PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) measured over most cities in the IGP during winter are well above the air quality standards, as shown in Fig. 1. The total column AOD at ambient humidity simulated by RegCM4 with
meteorological feedbacks shows very high values over the IGP, mostly
consisting of boundary layer aerosols. The comparison of measured and
simulated AOD for dry and ambient humidity conditions (Fig. 3) over the
distinct environments of the IGP indicates an almost 2-fold increase in
AOD due to the hygroscopic growth of aerosols and its meteorological
feedback. The mean observed AODs (simulated ambient and dry AODs) for
Jaipur, Kanpur, Pune and Gandhi College are 0.53 (0.51, 0.26), 0.83 (0.81,
0.34), 0.48 (0.32, 0.15) and 1.15 (0.92, 0.36), respectively. In general,
both the magnitude and large day-to-day variability in AOD (Fig. 3) are
captured by the model when the hygroscopic growth (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and meteorological feedback (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M53" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M54" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) are included in the
simulation. Except for dust and freshly emitted black carbon, most of the
aerosol species have an affinity towards water vapour, with the hygroscopic
growth of inorganic aerosols such as sulfate, ammonia, nitrate and sea salt
being more pronounced compared to organic carbon (Solmon et al., 2006). Due
to ageing, a fraction of hydrophobic black carbon also becomes slightly
hydrophilic (Solmon et al., 2006) and contributes, though not to a large
extent, to the AOD at ambient humidity. Observations close to the Thar
Desert (Fig. 1a, Jaipur) show lower hygroscopic growth (43 %) compared to
other IGP stations because of the dominance of dust aerosols and relatively
low humidity conditions prevailing there.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><label>Figure 3</label><caption><p id="d1e997">Wintertime AOD measured using AERONET radiometers and simulated with RegCM4 for ambient and dry humidity conditions with meteorological feedback at <bold>(a)</bold> Jaipur, <bold>(b)</bold> Kanpur, <bold>(c)</bold> Pune and <bold>(d)</bold> Gandhi College. Stations <bold>(b)</bold> and <bold>(d)</bold> are located in the IGP, while <bold>(a)</bold> and <bold>(c)</bold> are located outside the IGP. One season (December 2015–February 2016) of data is shown here for inter-comparison; the same is the case for the other years. <bold>(e)</bold> Spatial distribution of satellite-retrieved (MODIS) aerosol optical depth at 550 nm.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/20/14457/2020/acp-20-14457-2020-f03.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e1034">Our study shows that the large day-to-day and spatial variability in AOD
over the IGP is mostly contributed by relative humidity (Fig. 3), with lower
contributions from changes in source characteristics and synoptic-scale
circulation. The simulated AOD at ambient relative humidity matches<?pagebreak page14462?> well
with the measured AOD (mean absolute error of 0.12 and RMSE of 0.15), whereas
the dry AOD is significantly lower and less variable in time. The standard
deviation of measured and simulated AOD at ambient humidity conditions is
nearly half of the mean AODs (coefficient of variation of 50 %; Fig. 3),
whereas, for dry aerosols, the standard deviation of the AOD is low (0.05 to
0.1), with a coefficient of variance ranging between 20 % and 30 %. All the
meteorological conditions, associated processes (winds, chemistry,
deposition and transport) and anthropogenic emissions remained the same for
dry and ambient AOD simulations, except the hygroscopic growth of AOD with
relative humidity for the ambient AOD. Compared to the dry AOD, the ambient
AOD shows large variability associated with the variability in humidity. The
AOD due to dry aerosols has 10 % to 15 % less variability compared to that
of the total AOD.</p>
      <p id="d1e1038">The AOD due to hygroscopic growth (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M55" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> estimated using Eq. (1) is shown in Fig. 4a. The <inline-formula><mml:math id="M57" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M58" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> values are high over the IGP, especially the eastern IGP and Bangladesh (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M59" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). The ratio of AOD(Dry<inline-formula><mml:math id="M61" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>nofeedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) to AOD(Ambient<inline-formula><mml:math id="M62" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>nofeedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>)
shown as contours in Fig. 4a indicates that dry aerosols contribute 50 % to
60 % of the AOD over most of the Indian subcontinent (Fig. 4a), except
over western India, where the contribution of hydrophobic dust to the total
AOD is high even during winter. The contribution of the aerosol hygroscopic
growth is more than 50 % of the total AOD over the northern Indian Ocean,
which is attributed to the dominance of hydrophilic aerosols (sea salt) and
high relative humidity. It is interesting to note that the increase in AOD
due to hygroscopic growth (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M63" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M64" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> AOD(ambient) <inline-formula><mml:math id="M65" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> AOD(dry))
is <inline-formula><mml:math id="M66" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.23 over the IGP (Fig. 4a), which is higher than the
global mean AOD (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M67" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.155</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.018</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) reported by Watson-Parris et al. (2020) using various satellite
observations. Mandariya et al. (2020) have reported that wintertime aerosols over the central IGP show an
increase in particle diameter of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M68" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.34</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.07</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> times that of the dry
particles at 85 % relative humidity. This increase in particle diameter
corresponds to a doubling of the scattering coefficient for anthropogenic
aerosols (McInnes et al., 1998).
In the present study, the mean dry AOD increases almost 1.7 times due to
relative humidity over the IGP, which is slightly lower than the estimated
AOD for the hygroscopic factor reported by Mandariya et al. (2020). Since organic aerosols dominate the aerosol system over the IGP (Ram
et al., 2012), there could be a substantial decrease in the hygroscopic
growth of particles as discussed by several studies. Mandariya et al. (2020) have reported that 150 nm particles are more hygroscopic than 100 nm
particles due to the higher organic fraction present in the 100 nm particle
mass concentration. In addition, although most observational studies
consider 40 % as the reference humidity level (dry) for estimating the
hygroscopic growth, the model estimates the dry AOD for zero relative
humidity. Titos
et al. (2016) reported that the assumption of no growth at 40 % humidity
contributes to higher uncertainty in the estimates of measurement-based
hygroscopic growth.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{4}?><label>Figure 4</label><caption><p id="d1e1176"><bold>(a)</bold> Aerosol optical depth (AOD) simulated using RegCM4 for dry and ambient humidity conditions. Colour map indicates AOD(ambient) – AOD(dry) for simulations without meteorological feedback, and line contours show AOD(dry) <inline-formula><mml:math id="M69" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> AOD(ambient). <bold>(b)</bold> Difference in aerosol direct radiative effects (DREs) at the surface for dry and ambient humidity conditions (without meteorological feedbacks).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/20/14457/2020/acp-20-14457-2020-f04.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e1197">In general, the mean AOD over the IGP stations (Kanpur and Gandhi College)
is <inline-formula><mml:math id="M70" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.7, indicating significant surface dimming of solar radiation
(Fig. 4b). The increase in AOD due to the hygroscopic growth alone reduces
the surface solar flux by 10 to 20 W m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M71" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> over the IGP. Nair et al. (2016a) reported a
mean surface forcing of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M72" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">28.2</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">12</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> W m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M73" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> due to<?pagebreak page14463?> the total aerosol
system over the entire Indian region during winter. The surface dimming due
to aerosol–radiation interactions results in the reduction in surface
temperature, heat fluxes (sensible and latent) and boundary layer height (Bharali
et al., 2019; Ding et al., 2016; Li et al., 2017). As a result, aerosol
forcing leads to the accumulation of pollutants in the boundary layer (as
discussed later). Since water vapour contributes significantly to the total
AOD, most of the effects of aerosols on regional climate, visibility and air
quality are strongly associated with meteorological conditions.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{5}?><label>Figure 5</label><caption><p id="d1e1247">Change in <bold>(a)</bold> 2 m air temperature, <bold>(b)</bold> relative humidity and <bold>(c)</bold> cloud fraction solely due to the hygroscopic growth of aerosols (ambient <inline-formula><mml:math id="M74" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> dry). Change in temperature, relative humidity (RH) and cloud fraction due to the total effect of aerosols (dry <inline-formula><mml:math id="M75" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> hygroscopic growth) is shown in <bold>(d)</bold>, <bold>(e)</bold> and <bold>(f)</bold>. Dots indicate statistical significance of Student's <inline-formula><mml:math id="M76" display="inline"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> test at a 90 % level.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/20/14457/2020/acp-20-14457-2020-f05.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <label>3.2</label><title>Effects on regional meteorology</title>
      <p id="d1e1304">The effects of the increase in AOD solely due to the hygroscopic growth of
particles (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M77" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M78" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) on surface temperature, relative humidity
and cloud fraction (Eq. 2) are illustrated in Fig. 5a–c, which
shows a surface cooling of about 0.5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M79" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C and a 3 % increase in
relative humidity over the IGP during winter. This is mostly due to the
direct solar dimming at the surface and to a cloud cover change (up to
3 %) induced by the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M80" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M81" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. 5c). The total effect of
aerosols on temperature, relative humidity and cloud fraction (Eq. 3) is
shown in Fig. 5d–f. Nearly 40 % to 50 % of the aerosol-induced
surface cooling is contributed by water vapour through the hygroscopic growth
of particles. The cloud cover increases by 3 % to 5 % over the IGP due to
ambient aerosol forcings (Fig. 5f). These effects are more prominent over
the IGP and central India, whereas high <inline-formula><mml:math id="M82" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M83" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and surface
dimming is seen over the eastern IGP (Fig. 4). Although AOD and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M84" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M85" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> are high, the change in relative humidity due to the hygroscopic
growth of aerosols (Fig. 5b) is negligible over Bangladesh and the eastern
IGP. The presence of relatively high cloud fraction over the eastern IGP
mask the aerosol-induced surface cooling which is attributed to the contrast
in the spatial pattern of surface temperature and AOD. The change in
shortwave flux at the surface shows an almost similar pattern to that of
change in temperature (Fig. S4). Bharali et al. (2019) have
reported that the strength of land–atmosphere interactions through the
exchange of heat and moisture fluxes plays a major role in determining the
aerosol-induced dimming effects on meteorology (more details
are available in Li et al., 2017). At the surface, an observed decrease in
evapotranspiration (and associated rainfall) due to solar dimming further
confirms a slowing down of the hydrological cycle induced by the aerosol
hygroscopic growth (Liepert et al., 2004;
Ramanathan, 2001). In other words, water vapour itself reduces the
evaporation through dimming associated with the aerosol hygroscopic growth.</p>
      <p id="d1e1381">The mean vertical profiles of change in temperature and relative humidity
over the IGP due to total aerosol and hygroscopic effects are shown in
Fig. 6. Significant cooling and associated moistening are noticeable in
the boundary layer followed by a weak drying in the lower free troposphere
(1 to 3 km) and a negligible influence above (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M86" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 3 km). Based<?pagebreak page14464?> on
extensive measurements from Delhi during wintertime fog campaigns, Ghude
et al. (2017) have reported high values of relative humidity (70 %) within the boundary
layer and dry conditions (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M87" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 20 %) above 3 km. A similar pattern is
observed for specific humidity, with an increase of 0.6 g kg<inline-formula><mml:math id="M88" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> at the
surface, which confirms that the hygroscopic growth is the single largest
contributor to the total aerosol effects over the IGP during winter (Fig. S5).</p>
      <p id="d1e1410">Aerosol-induced surface cooling and weak entrainment of dry air mass from the
free troposphere lead to an increase in relative and specific humidity at
the surface (Fig. 5a). Based on extensive measurements of aerosol and
humidity profiles, Feng et al. (2016) reported up to 30 % underestimation of relative humidity within the
boundary layer and 20 % overestimation in the free troposphere by the
WRF-Chem model over a north Indian station (Nainital) during the winter
season. They cited this dry bias in boundary layer humidity as one of
the major reasons for the underestimation of AOD by climate models over the
region. Most reanalysis datasets (National Centers for Environmental Prediction – NCEP – and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts – ECMWF) have a negative bias
(underestimate) in simulating relative humidity over this region, especially
during winter (Chatani
and Sharma, 2018; Feng et al., 2016), which<?pagebreak page14465?> significantly affects the
simulation of aerosol optical depth, aerosol radiative forcing and fog
prediction. The present study shows that the negative bias (underestimation)
of relative humidity could be reduced, especially at high relative
humidities (RH <inline-formula><mml:math id="M89" display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 70 %), by including the meteorological
feedback of ambient aerosols (Exp4). In contrast to boundary layer
moistening, drying in the lower free troposphere (1.5 to 3.5 km) by 1 % to
2 % was attributed to the aerosol-induced warming, which decreases
humidity and suppresses mixing of air mass between the free troposphere and
boundary layer. Compared to dry conditions, the warming of the top of the
boundary layer occurs at a lower altitude for ambient aerosol forcing.</p>
      <p id="d1e1420">We analysed reanalysis data and in situ observations for the long-term
trend in wintertime relative humidity within the boundary layer and free
troposphere over the IGP during the last 4 decades (Fig. 7). In contrast
to the global scenario, relative humidity increased over the Indian region
at the rate of 1 % per decade, together with a concurrent increase in
aerosol loadings (Babu et al., 2013)
and the number of foggy days (Ghude
et al., 2017; Syed et al., 2012). Based on the above discussions (Fig. 6),
it can be argued that the aerosol forcing contributes significantly to the
observed increasing trend in wintertime moistening of the boundary layer and
enhanced occurrence of fog events over the IGP. The aerosol radiative
forcing increases the stability of the atmosphere and decreases the
transport of moisture from the boundary layer to the free troposphere, which
favours the drying trend in the lower free troposphere shown in Fig. 7b.
Earlier studies have also attributed the humidification of the boundary layer and
drying of the free troposphere during winter to the aerosol forcing (Li et al., 2017; Tie et
al., 2017). Our analysis shows that aerosol feedback processes significantly
increase the near-surface relative humidity due to weak turbulent
diffusivity in the stratified boundary layer (Bharali et al.,
2019; Li et al., 2017). The increase in relative humidity, when surface
temperature decreases, is due to the increase in water vapour content in the
atmosphere as seen in the specific humidity trend reported by Mukhopadhyay et al. (2017). In contrast to the
negative trend in relative humidity in the lower free troposphere during
winter (Fig. 7b), Mukhopadhyay et al. (2017) show
a positive trend for annual mean humidity, which is largely dominated by the
positive trend during summer. Global analyses have shown that most
continental regions exhibit a long-term warming trend and decrease in
relative humidity (Dai,
2006), which has strong implications for the land–ocean warming contrast (Hodnebrog et al., 2019). The long-term trend in the
moistening of the boundary layer and drying of the free troposphere over the
Indian region during winter is further amplified by the aerosol radiative
forcing, primarily through the hygroscopic growth. However, the masking
effects of surface warming by aerosols and the contribution of aerosols to
the increasing trend in humidity are yet to be quantified.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6"><?xmltex \currentcnt{6}?><label>Figure 6</label><caption><p id="d1e1426">Vertical profiles of change in relative humidity and temperature due to the total aerosol effect (Ambient<inline-formula><mml:math id="M90" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M91" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ambient<inline-formula><mml:math id="M92" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>nofeedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>; black line) and only due to hygroscopic growth of aerosols (Ambient<inline-formula><mml:math id="M93" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M94" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> dry<inline-formula><mml:math id="M95" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>; red line).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/20/14457/2020/acp-20-14457-2020-f06.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F7" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{7}?><label>Figure 7</label><caption><p id="d1e1488"><bold>(a)</bold> Relative humidity in the boundary layer (975 hPa) from reanalysis (interim ECMWF Re-Analysis, ERA-Interim; Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, MERRA2; and Climatic Research Unit, CRU) and in situ observations. <bold>(b)</bold> Relative humidity in the free troposphere (700 hPa) taken from reanalysis data.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/20/14457/2020/acp-20-14457-2020-f07.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS3">
  <label>3.3</label><title>Implications for visibility and air quality</title>
      <p id="d1e1510">A regional mean AOD increase of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M96" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.23 is contributed by the
hygroscopic growth of aerosols (Fig. 3), which further increases the AOD
through meteorological feedbacks (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M97" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M98" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>; Fig. 8a),
whose contribution can be estimated using Eq. (4). Overall, the hygroscopic
growth (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M99" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M100" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.23) and associated
meteorological feedback (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M101" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M102" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.17)
contribute significantly to the total AOD (0.72) over the IGP. This positive
feedback is stronger over the central IGP than the eastern IGP, though the
eastern IGP has higher AOD and relative humidity. The moisture content in
the atmosphere increases the AOD directly by its hygroscopic effect (Fig. 3)
while high AOD increases the surface relative humidity through its radiative
and meteorological feedbacks (Fig. 8a). Even though the spatial patterns of
change in AOD and relative humidity due to aerosol feedbacks are slightly
different, the anomalies in AOD and relative humidity show a significant
correlation over most of the Indian subcontinent, especially over the IGP
(Fig. 8b). Since the aircraft and lidar observations over the IGP clearly
showed that aerosols are mostly confined within the boundary layer during
the winter season with lower contributions from the free tropospheric
aerosols (Nair et al., 2016b), we
have used AOD and surface-level parameters like PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M103" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, and visibility to
investigate the implications of aerosol-induced forcing on air quality and
visibility.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F8" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{8}?><label>Figure 8</label><caption><p id="d1e1586"><bold>(a)</bold> Change in AOD due to the meteorological feedbacks of the hygroscopic growth of aerosols ((Ambient<inline-formula><mml:math id="M104" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M105" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Dry<inline-formula><mml:math id="M106" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) <inline-formula><mml:math id="M107" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> (Ambient<inline-formula><mml:math id="M108" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>nofeedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M109" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Dry<inline-formula><mml:math id="M110" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>nofeedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). <bold>(b)</bold> Correlation coefficient of AOD and relative humidity due to the meteorological feedback of hygroscopic growth of aerosols.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/20/14457/2020/acp-20-14457-2020-f08.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F9" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{9}?><label>Figure 9</label><caption><p id="d1e1663">Frequency of occurrence of <bold>(a)</bold> AOD and <bold>(c)</bold> PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M111" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> for dry and ambient relative humidity conditions with meteorological feedback over the Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP). <bold>(b)</bold> The frequency distribution of the ratio of AOD for ambient and dry humidity with and without meteorological feedback. Dotted vertical lines on PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M112" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> frequency of occurrence <bold>(c)</bold> show the breakpoint concentration for the air quality index categories for satisfactory (60 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M113" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>g m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M114" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), moderately polluted (90 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M115" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>g m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M116" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) and poor (150 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M117" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>g m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M118" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) conditions as proposed by the Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB), India.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/20/14457/2020/acp-20-14457-2020-f09.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e1765">The frequency of occurrence of AOD and PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M119" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> for dry and ambient humidity conditions with meteorological feedback over the IGP is shown in Fig. 9. The inclusion of meteorological feedback and hygroscopic aerosol growth (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M120" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M121" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) produces an increase in AOD along the IGP (Fig. 5). The narrow frequency distribution for dry AOD broadens substantially when
including the effect of ambient humidity, which implies an increase in the
number of days with hazy skies, high AOD and significant dimming at the surface.
The frequency distribution of the ratio of AOD for ambient and dry humidity
with and without meteorological feedback is shown in Fig. 9b. The
no-feedback simulation shows a mean ratio of 1.72, which increases to 2.3 at ambient humidity with meteorological feedbacks. Due to the<?pagebreak page14467?> positive
feedback as mentioned above, AOD at ambient humidity increases to more than 3
times its dry AOD, depending on the strength of the land–atmosphere and
aerosol–boundary layer interaction. The magnitude of the meteorological
feedback due to the total aerosol system (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M122" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M123" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>feedback</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) is
comparable to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M124" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M125" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> over the IGP. This clearly indicates that
not only the hygroscopic growth of aerosols but also the meteorological
feedback is important over the IGP. Therefore, the aerosol feedbacks
on regional meteorology need to be investigated further to better
understand and predict the fog events over the IGP (Bharali et al., 2019). Although the
dominance of organics in the aerosol mass loading over the IGP is expected
to decrease the hygroscopic growth of pure inorganic aerosols (Mandariya et al., 2020), the meteorological feedback processes (Eq. 3) increase the AOD by
moistening the boundary layer (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M126" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>RH<inline-formula><mml:math id="M127" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>aerosol</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>). The frequency of occurrence of high values of PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M128" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> mass concentration for ambient humidity shows deterioration of air quality due to aerosol–radiation interaction, and the aerosol forcing itself increases the aerosol loading through aerosol–boundary layer interaction.</p>
      <p id="d1e1851">In fact, generally calm winds (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M129" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 2 m s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M130" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), low temperatures,
a shallow boundary layer and a slow descending motion prevail over the IGP
during winter, which favours the accumulation of aerosols within the
boundary layer (Ghude
et al., 2017; Kumar et al., 2015a; Nair et al., 2007). In addition, the
aerosol effects further weaken the horizontal and vertical circulations and
decrease the boundary layer height (Fig. S6), which results in more
accumulation of aerosols and thus poorer air quality (Bharali
et al., 2019; Ding et al., 2016). Although wintertime aerosols are mostly
confined within the boundary layer, near-surface PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M131" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and columnar aerosol loading show poor correlation over the IGP as reported by Kumar
et al. (2015a). Our study also shows a poor correlation between ambient AOD
and PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M132" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>; however, a high correlation is found between the dry AOD and
PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M133" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>. This result has implications for the estimation of PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M134" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> from
satellite observations or for finding an empirical relationship between AOD
and PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M135" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> for air quality applications since the high relative humidity
causes the association between AOD and PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M136" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> to deteriorate. By and large, the
offline filter-based PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M137" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> measurements have issues associated with sampling
aerosols at ambient humidity conditions. This also points to the need for
dedicated field experiments focusing on the size-segregated hygroscopic-growth functions of physical and optical properties of aerosols over the IGP
(Mandariya et al., 2020).</p>
      <p id="d1e1937">As shown in Fig. 10, there also exists an enhancement in near-surface
aerosol mass loading (carbonaceous, inorganics and PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M138" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) due to the
suppression of the boundary layer height induced by the meteorological feedbacks
from the aerosol–radiation interaction. This results in further degradation
of the air quality of this region. The aerosol concentration increases along the
IGP due to aerosol-induced weak ventilation. Figure 11 shows the estimated
visibility using the aerosol extinction coefficient. Due to high aerosol
loading and high humidity conditions, visibility is low over the region.
Compared to the dry aerosols, there is a 60 % reduction in visibility
because of the aerosol hygroscopic growth (Fig. S7). In
addition, the enhancement in relative humidity due to aerosol forcing again decreases the visibility. This analysis further confirms that the air
quality problems in the IGP are associated not only with the aerosol source
strength but also with the ambient humidity conditions and their (aerosol)
radiative forcing and meteorological feedback.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F10" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{10}?><label>Figure 10</label><caption><p id="d1e1951">Change in near-surface mass loading (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M139" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>g m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M140" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) due to
the meteorological feedback of total aerosol radiative forcing for <bold>(a)</bold> carbonaceous aerosols, <bold>(b)</bold> inorganic aerosols and <bold>(c)</bold> PM<inline-formula><mml:math id="M141" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/20/14457/2020/acp-20-14457-2020-f10.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F11"><?xmltex \currentcnt{11}?><label>Figure 11</label><caption><p id="d1e2001">Spatial variation in mean visibility over the Indian region for
ambient feedback simulation. The percentage variation in visibility changes
due to hygroscopic growth with respect to visibility due to dry aerosols is
given as line contours.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=170.716535pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/20/14457/2020/acp-20-14457-2020-f11.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e2011">As discussed above, the AOD increase via hygroscopic growth of aerosols
under high-relative-humidity conditions further decreases the incoming solar
radiation at the surface, which results in enhanced surface cooling
(compared to dry aerosols) and a decrease in the exchanges between the
boundary layer and free troposphere. Aerosol–radiation interactions lead to
a significant increase in cloud cover over the IGP region (2 % to 8 %),
which is further increased by the<?pagebreak page14468?> hygroscopic effect of aerosols. The
increase in cloud cover leads to more sulfate formation and thus again
influence the radiative balance. Hence, the hygroscopic effects of aerosols
significantly strengthen the observed aerosol–boundary layer interactions
over the region (Bharali et al.,
2019). Recent studies have shown that the high aerosol concentrations at the
surface over urban centres are strongly related to positive-feedback
processes associated with the boundary layer and water vapour (Ding
et al., 2016; Huang et al., 2014; Li et al., 2017; Tie et al., 2017). The
surface solar dimming and atmospheric warming due to black carbon in the
upper boundary layer decrease the height of the mixed layer (increasing
stratification) and increase the accumulation of aerosols within the
boundary layer (Bharali
et al., 2019; Ding et al., 2016; Nair et al., 2007). The aerosol-induced
increase in relative humidity (1 %–10 %) over most land regions (Fig. 5),
especially the central IGP, further increases the AOD. Tie et al. (2017) have reported that a
decrease in the dispersion of water vapour leads to a self-amplifying
feedback mechanism through which an increase in relative humidity further
increases the AOD due to hygroscopic growth (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M142" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M143" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>). All these pathways further increase moisture in the boundary layer and, consequently, the AOD  (Tie et al., 2017). These feedback
processes significantly cause air quality conditions during winter to deteriorate (Li et al., 2017).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4" sec-type="conclusions">
  <label>4</label><title>Conclusions</title>
      <p id="d1e2039">In this work, the regional climate model RegCM4 interactively coupled with
atmospheric chemistry and aerosols is used to investigate the contribution
of the hygroscopic growth of aerosols to the total aerosol optical depth and
its meteorological feedback over the Indian subcontinent. Our analysis
shows that the aerosol hygroscopic growth can contribute up to 40 % of the
total AOD and that feedback processes significantly increase near-surface
relative humidity and decrease lower-free-troposphere humidity. This might
strengthen the long-term trend in boundary layer moistening and free
tropospheric drying over the IGP during winter. We<?pagebreak page14469?> also show that the
inclusion of the meteorological feedback due to the hygroscopic growth of
aerosols (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M144" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>AOD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M145" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>RH</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) produces an increase in AOD along the IGP,
especially over the central IGP regions. The moisture content in the
atmosphere increases the AOD not only directly by its hygroscopic effect but
also indirectly through its radiative and meteorological feedbacks. Briefly,
aerosol forcing due to dry aerosols and their hygroscopic growth at high-relative-humidity conditions increases the relative humidity in the boundary
layer, which further increases the AOD through positive feedback. Our
analysis demonstrates that the aerosol–moisture interaction is the most
significant contributor favouring and strengthening the high-aerosol
conditions (poor air quality) prevailing over the IGP during winter.</p>
      <p id="d1e2058">Our study also highlights the need to increase understanding of
aerosol–climate–air quality interactions over the India subcontinent
through (i) the inclusion of hygroscopic growth and related feedbacks in
climate–chemistry models; (ii) direct measurements of hygroscopic-growth
functions of aerosols, which are rather limited over the region (Mandariya et al., 2020); and (iii) measurements and model descriptions of the effect of ageing
and mixing state on the water affinity of hydrophobic aerosols. Some model
limitations specific to this study are worth noting here. The RegCM4 has a
simple organic aerosol module and a single growth function for the hundreds
of organic species present in the atmosphere which are characterized by a
wide range of affinity towards water vapour. The model does not include the
effects of organic aerosols on the water affinity of inorganic aerosols, and
in addition the effect of aerosols on cloud characteristics (indirect
aerosol effect) is not included. All these aspects of model development are
underway in the next version of the RegCM4 modelling system.</p>
      <p id="d1e2061">Notwithstanding these limitations, our study clearly shows that
understanding the interactions of natural factors (moisture fluxes and
relative humidity) with anthropogenic aerosols (organic and inorganic)
is essential for predicting fog and haze events over the IGP and devising
appropriate pollution mitigation strategies. In this regard, the
aerosol–water vapour interaction is a unique example of the amplification of
anthropogenic forcing (aerosols) by natural agents (water vapour) leading to
significant changes in regional climate and air quality. To date, low-air-quality and low-visibility events over the IGP have been considered essentially a problem of emission sources and transport of particles; however, our
study highlights the important, and in fact sometimes dominant,
contributions of atmospheric water vapour to these events and thus the need
to consider this natural factor in air quality assessments and related
policymaking.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><notes notes-type="dataavailability"><title>Data availability</title>

      <p id="d1e2069">Data are available upon request
from the contact author, Vijayakumar S. Nair (vijayakumarsnair@gmail.com).</p>
  </notes><app-group>
        <supplementary-material position="anchor"><p id="d1e2072">The supplement related to this article is available online at: <inline-supplementary-material xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-14457-2020-supplement" xlink:title="pdf">https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-14457-2020-supplement</inline-supplementary-material>.</p></supplementary-material>
        </app-group><notes notes-type="authorcontribution"><title>Author contributions</title>

      <p id="d1e2081">VSN conceived the research theme. VSN and FG
wrote the manuscript. UKH supported the data analysis.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="competinginterests"><title>Competing interests</title>

      <p id="d1e2087">The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p id="d1e2093">The work has been carried out under the Simons Associate Programme of the International
Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Trieste, Italy. Vijayakumar Sivadasan Nair acknowledges
the support received from the Aerosol Radiative Forcing over India (ARFI)
project of the Indian Space Research Organisation. The authors acknowledge the Central Pollution
Control Board (CPCB) for the air quality data.</p></ack><notes notes-type="financialsupport"><title>Financial support</title>

      <p id="d1e2098">This research has been supported by the Simons Associate Programme of the International Centre for
Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Trieste, Italy.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="reviewstatement"><title>Review statement</title>

      <p id="d1e2104">This paper was edited by Armin Sorooshian and reviewed by two anonymous referees.</p>
  </notes><ref-list>
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    <!--<article-title-html>Amplification of South Asian haze by water vapour–aerosol interactions</article-title-html>
<abstract-html><p>Air pollution and wintertime fog over South Asia is a
major concern due to its significant implications for air quality, visibility
and health. Using a regional climate model coupled with chemistry,
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to the total aerosol optical depth and demonstrate that the increased
surface cooling due to the hygroscopic effects of aerosols further increases
the humidity in the boundary layer and thus enhances the confinement of
pollutants through aerosol–boundary layer interactions. This positive
feedback mechanism plays an important role in the prevalence of wintertime
fog and poor air quality conditions over South Asia, where water vapour
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and drying of the free troposphere, which amplifies the long-term trend in
relative humidity over the Indo-Gangetic Plain during winter. Hence, the
aerosol–water vapour interaction plays a decisive role in the formation and
maintenance of the wintertime fog conditions over South Asia, which
needs to be considered for planning mitigation strategies.</p></abstract-html>
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